Goias Esporte Clube Title Chances 2007 50/50Lost to Flamengo 1-3, title odds down 1.2 to 0.7% 30 points 9-3-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Flamengo 3 Goias 1 | -0.9 | | -6.0 | | +2.1 | | -1.0 | | | Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | -0.2 | | | | | Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 | -0.1 | | -0.6 | | -0.1 | | | | | Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 | -0.1 | | -0.7 | | -0.2 | | | | | Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | | | America-RN 1 Santos 4 | | | -0.6 | | | | -0.1 | | | Parana 3 Juventude 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Juventude vs Goias | -0.4-0.2+0.6 | | -4.3-1.9+5.7 | | +2.8+0.2-2.9 | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | | Parana vs Cruzeiro | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Botafogo vs Flamengo | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Vasco da Gama vs Nautico | | | -0.7+0.2+0.5 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | | Santos vs Atletico-PR | | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | | Sport Recife vs Gremio | | | +0.2+0.2-0.4 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | Internacional vs Fluminense | | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Corinthians | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | | Figueirense vs America-RN | | | | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Goias vs Figueirense | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | +5.8-1.8-4.4 | | -2.9+0.2+2.8 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | | Goias vs Atletico-PR | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | | +5.8-1.9-4.4 | | -3.0+0.2+2.9 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | | Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | | *+0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Sao Paulo vs Parana | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Juventude vs Cruzeiro | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.5+0.2-0.7 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | *-0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | | Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | | Gremio vs Botafogo | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.3-0.4 | | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | | | -0.2+0.4-0.1 | | | | | | | Gremio vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.1+0.3-0.4 | | | | | | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | +0.3+0.2-0.5 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | | Nautico vs Internacional | | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Santos vs Internacional | | | -0.3+0.3*+0.0 | | | | | | | Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Corinthians vs America-RN | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Sport Recife vs Fluminense | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | | Flamengo vs Sport Recife | | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Flamengo vs Figueirense | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Parana vs Nautico | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | | America-RN vs Juventude | | | | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 439 | | | 77 | -79 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9 | * | | 76 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.8 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16 | | | 75 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.9 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39 | * | | 74 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 89.8 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127 | | | 73 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 88.7 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 248 | * | | 72 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 79.8 | | Yes | 80 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 526 | * | | 71 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 73.1 | | Yes | 73 | 26 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,004 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 64.8 | | Yes | 65 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,896 | * | | 69 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 58.1 | | Yes | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,423 | * | | 68 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 44.7 | | Yes | 45 | 46 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,768 | * | | 67 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 35.1 | | 100.0 | % | 35 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,851 | * | | 66 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 24.7 | | 99.9 | | 25 | 49 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,357 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 15.9 | | 99.3 | | 16 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,423 | * | | 64 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 9.1 | | 97.8 | | 9 | 37 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,584 | * | | 63 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 4.5 | | 94.1 | | 4 | 27 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,040 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1.8 | | 86.5 | | 2 | 16 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66,627 | * | | 61 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.5 | | 72.8 | | 1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,448 | * | | 60 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 54.3 | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,705 | * | | 59 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 33.4 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,758 | * | | 58 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 16.2 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 170,239 | * | | 57 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 5.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 198,259 | * | | 56 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 1.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 222,114 | * | | 55 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 242,745 | * | | 54 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 127,706 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 128,048 | * | | 53 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 260,831 | * | | 52 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 256,852 | * | | 51 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 244,344 | * | | 50 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 225,889 | * | | 49 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 199,959 | * | | 48 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.1 | | 172,352 | * | | 47 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 4.7 | | 142,127 | * | | 46 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13.6 | | 113,022 | * | | 45 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29.3 | | 85,953 | * | | 44 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 49.8 | | 62,442 | * | | 43 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 69.0 | | 44,055 | * | | 42 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 83.6 | | 29,311 | * | | 41 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 2 | 93.0 | | 18,877 | * | | 40 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 32 | 3 | 97.0 | | 11,209 | * | | 39 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 40 | 42 | 7 | 99.2 | | 6,303 | * | | 38 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 52 | 12 | 99.8 | | 3,345 | * | | 37 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 19 | 99.9 | | 1,666 | * | | 36 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 57 | 27 | Yes | 716 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 53 | 38 | Yes | 286 | * | | 34 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 55 | 41 | Yes | 104 | * | | 33 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 32 | 64 | Yes | 25 | | | 32 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | Yes | 12 | | | 31 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2 | | | 30 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 19 | 80 | Yes | 439 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.7 | % | 11.8 | % | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | % | 3,527,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |