How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -3.4
-0.1
-0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -0.6
-0.7
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.5
+0.4
+0.0
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.3
-0.8
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.1
-0.4
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 *+0.1
+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Parana vs Cruzeiro-6.0-3.0+5.2
-6.9-2.5+5.3
-0.4-0.2+0.3
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo+3.7+1.8-3.7
-1.2+0.2+0.7
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.6+0.3+0.6
-0.9+0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.9+0.6+1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.8
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.3+0.4-0.5
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.5+0.2+0.4
Juventude vs Goias+0.3+0.2-0.3
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras+6.5-2.2-5.9
+6.8-1.2-7.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Juventude vs Cruzeiro-6.7-3.7+4.2
-8.0-3.5+4.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.5-0.2+0.3
Sao Paulo vs Parana-3.4+2.2+4.8
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+4.7+2.1-3.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.2+0.5-0.6
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.4+0.3-0.5
+1.0+0.5-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.2+0.6-0.6
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.3+0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.5-0.3
Corinthians vs Santos*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.7
Santos vs Internacional-0.5+0.5+0.1
Nautico vs Internacional+0.5+0.3-0.4
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.4+0.2+0.3
Goias vs Figueirense-0.4+0.2+0.3
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.1+0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Figueirense-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-92YesYes100No3,676*
8515-2-199.7%Yes1000No3,152
8415-1-299.2Yes991No5,790*
8314-3-198.4Yes982No10,853*
8214-2-297.2Yes973No19,317*
8113-4-195.6Yes964No31,553*
8013-3-293.0Yes937No51,555*
7913-2-390.0Yes90100No78,197*
7812-4-285.5Yes86140No114,656*
7712-3-380.2Yes80200No162,712*
7611-5-273.5Yes742600No221,508*
7511-4-366.2Yes663310No291,412*
7411-3-457.5Yes584110No368,962*
7310-5-348.3Yes484930No450,616*
7210-4-439.3100.0%3955500No533,721*
719-6-330.5100.03060900No306,869
10-3-529.3100.029611000No304,104*
709-5-421.7100.0226215100No676,392*
699-4-514.699.9156023200No430,954
8-7-314.799.915602320No292,980*
688-6-49.399.795531500No416,197
9-3-68.799.795431500No335,142*
678-5-55.099.15463910100No753,616*
668-4-62.497.62354317200No386,272
7-7-42.497.42344317200No346,213*
657-6-51.193.81244326600No689,392*
647-5-60.486.9014383411100No629,446*
637-4-70.175.507293920400No554,119*
626-6-60.059.80319372910100No472,586*
616-5-70.041.60110303618400No389,085*
605-7-60.024.3004203628102000No311,714*
595-6-7No11.601102834205100No238,570*
585-5-8No4.200417332913300No178,802*
574-7-7No1.200182434238100No127,307*
564-6-8No0.200313293217510No87,521*
554-5-9No0.001518322813300No58,140*
543-7-8No0.000182332249200No36,966*
533-6-9NoNo003112632206100No22,580*
523-5-10NoNo01415293116410No12,960*
512-7-9NoNo01619312813300No7,367*
502-6-10NoNo019233124920No3,922*
492-5-11NoNo0021327321961No1,974*
482-4-12NoNo0318283115400.4%915*
471-6-11NoNo07213328821.7417*
461-5-12NoNo31228282266.3176*
451-4-13NoNo223393066.364*
441-3-14NoNo1137262626.319*
430-5-13NoNo2575No4*
420-4-14NoNo100Yes1
380-0-18NoNo01205523098.51,294
Total:19.0%83.8%1933201274211000000000000.0%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship