SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 +2.0
+10.1
-0.0
+0.7
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -0.7
-0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.1
+0.8
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
-1.6
-0.1
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.7
-0.0
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +1.0
+0.0
Parana 3 Juventude 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs Flamengo+2.3-1.3-2.4
+9.0-4.1-10.4
+0.5-0.2-0.6
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo+1.2+0.7-1.3
-2.3+0.4+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Parana vs Cruzeiro+0.6+0.3-0.5
+1.0+0.5-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.6+1.0+2.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Atletico-PR-1.2+0.6+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.7+0.6-0.9
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.7+0.4+0.5
Juventude vs Goias+0.6+0.3-0.5
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Figueirense vs America-RN-0.1*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Palmeiras+2.9-1.0-2.3
+12.1-1.9-11.1
+0.7-0.1-0.6
Gremio vs Botafogo-2.3-1.1+2.6
-10.7-2.9+10.6
-0.6-0.2+0.6
Sao Paulo vs Parana-1.2+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+1.6+0.8-1.2
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+0.7+0.4-0.4
+1.4+0.6-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras-0.5+0.3+0.3
+0.6+0.7-1.3
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.8+0.9-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+1.0-1.1
Corinthians vs Santos+1.1+0.6-1.2
Santos vs Internacional-0.8+0.8+0.3
Nautico vs Internacional+0.8+0.4-0.8
Goias vs Figueirense-0.6+0.3+0.5
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.6+0.3+0.5
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.2+0.2*+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG+0.2+0.1-0.2
Flamengo vs Sport Recife*+0.1+0.1-0.2
Corinthians vs America-RN-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Flamengo vs Figueirense-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8817-0-099.9%Yes1000No1,299
85-86YesYes100No116*
8415-2-099.3Yes991No297
8315-1-198.1Yes982No591
8214-3-097.2Yes973No1,290*
8114-2-194.6Yes955No3,199
8014-1-291.6Yes9280No5,667*
7913-3-188.3Yes88120No10,865*
7813-2-282.6Yes83170No19,674*
7712-4-176.9Yes772210No31,996*
7612-3-268.7Yes693010No53,038*
7512-2-359.7Yes603830No80,875*
7411-4-250.1100.0%5045500No119,221*
7311-3-340.1100.04051900No170,229*
7210-5-230.6100.031551410No230,834*
7110-4-321.9100.022562110No304,089*
7010-3-414.599.9145329300No387,449*
699-5-38.899.794737700No473,423*
689-4-44.999.0538441210No559,512*
679-3-52.497.42284720300No640,404*
668-5-41.094.011946286000No704,550*
658-4-50.487.5011403711100No751,647*
647-6-40.177.2053041193000No397,779
8-3-60.177.706314119300No376,919*
637-5-50.062.9022041298100No770,825*
627-4-60.046.201113436153000No740,322*
616-6-50.029.30052439257100No689,829*
606-5-6No15.60214343314300No620,022*
596-4-7No6.70162436248100No537,800*
585-6-6No2.2002133133164000No449,647*
575-5-7No0.601520342711200No364,012*
565-4-8No0.1002102633217100No281,931*
554-6-7No0.0004153030164100No211,049*
544-5-8NoNo016203227123000No151,850*
534-4-9NoNo00292332239200No105,875*
523-6-8NoNo003122631206100No69,919*
513-5-9NoNo01415292916510No44,015*
503-4-10NoNo016193127123000.0%26,744*
492-6-9NoNo0192332249200.115,345*
482-5-10NoNo003122733196100.68,392*
472-4-11NoNo1417313113202.44,365*
461-6-10NoNo018253424818.82,026*
451-5-11NoNo0313333514216.6950*
441-4-12NoNo16254024428.0368*
431-3-13NoNo113363811250.6160*
420-5-12NoNo216016279.143*
410-4-13NoNo36451863.611*
400-3-14NoNo505050.02
390-2-15NoNo100Yes1
370-0-17NoNo01135233199.41,294
Total:5.4%59.1%51520181410743211000000000.0%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)