SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG 1 Botafogo 2 -0.1
-2.5
+1.5
-0.7
Sao Paulo 5 Nautico 0 -0.1
-0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.2
+0.0
Figueirense 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.4
-0.1
Flamengo 3 Goias 1 +0.2
+0.3
America-RN 1 Santos 4 -0.2
-0.1
Parana 3 Juventude 1 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians+1.5-0.6-1.1
-3.2+0.4+3.1
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo-0.2+0.0+0.1
Parana vs Cruzeiro+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Flamengo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Nautico-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.7
Santos vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Goias+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Fluminense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Figueirense vs America-RN+0.4-0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.1-0.3-0.9
-3.4-0.3+1.8
+1.2-0.0-0.5
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MG-1.1-0.6+1.3
+3.9+0.4-3.4
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.2*+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras+0.1+0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.1
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3*+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Cruzeiro+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
Gremio vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.1
Corinthians vs Santos+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Santos vs Internacional-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Nautico vs Internacional+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Goias vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Goias vs Figueirense-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.1-0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs America-RN+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
America-RN vs Juventude-0.2-0.1+0.2
Flamengo vs Figueirense-0.1-0.1+0.2
Flamengo vs Sport Recife+0.2-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7917-0-092.7%Yes937No1,295
7716-1-0YesYes100No4
7616-0-1NoYes100No1
7515-2-054.5Yes55369No11
7415-1-156.3Yes56386No32
7314-3-055.2Yes55387No87*
7214-2-138.1Yes385470No244
7114-1-228.7Yes2952181No502*
7013-3-122.5Yes2255202No1,046*
6913-2-213.899.7%14483260No2,217*
6812-4-18.399.184239101No3,970*
6712-3-23.897.3433441730No7,689*
6612-2-31.893.52224426600No13,273*
6511-4-20.786.6113383512200No22,318*
6411-3-30.275.407293920400No36,720*
6310-5-20.059.9031938309100No56,530*
6210-4-30.042.40110313618300No84,453*
6110-3-40.026.0005213727810No123,748*
609-5-3No13.202123135174000No171,895*
599-4-4No5.40052136279100No233,858*
589-3-5No1.7002112934185100No305,865*
578-5-4No0.4004183429122000No387,016*
568-4-5No0.100192634227100No471,131*
558-3-6No0.0000314313116400No557,141*
547-5-5No0.0001620332711200No638,151*
537-4-6NoNo002102633217100No705,115*
526-6-5NoNo0003153031164100No754,525*
516-5-6NoNo00161932271220000.0%777,818*
506-4-7NoNo002925332381000.0779,385*
495-6-6NoNo0031329321751000.0750,142*
485-5-7NoNo0015193328122000.2697,072*
475-4-8NoNo00192534237100.8626,613*
464-6-7NoNo003143133163002.9542,465*
454-5-8NoNo00162236278108.1450,222*
444-4-9NoNo002123236162018.0361,384*
433-6-8NoNo00052240275032.6277,341*
423-5-9NoNo00213363811149.6202,920*
413-4-10NoNo006284520265.9143,344*
402-6-9NoNo021846304079.795,381*
392-5-10NoNo011041408089.360,246*
382-4-11NoNo005334813095.036,513*
371-6-10NoNo02245321097.820,786*
361-5-11NoNo1165231199.210,828*
351-4-12NoNo094842299.85,262*
341-3-13NoNo0539542100.02,453*
330-5-12NoNo230626Yes993*
320-4-13NoNo125659Yes329*
310-3-14NoNo176716Yes103*
300-2-15NoNo136721Yes24
290-1-16NoNo255025Yes4
280-0-17NoNo46037Yes1,295
Total:0.0%2.1%0011346791010101098642005.9%10,421,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)