Scottish Third Division Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed
	12/8		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	Tuesday

Rangers	W	Stirling Albion 2-0	27	2	8	-	3	-	1	22	87.9	%	4.5	87.9	%	4.5	88	9	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.09	1	.713		Rangers

Elgin City	W	Clyde 2-1	25		7	-	4	-	3	9	6.1		-1.2	6.1		-1.2	6	39	25	15	9	4	2	0	0	0	3.0	0.29	4	.574		Elgin City
Queen's Park	W	Annan Athletic 3-2	22	1	6	-	4	-	3	6	4.0		-0.2	4.0		-0.2	4	28	26	18	12	7	3	1	0	0	3.5	0.49	5	.570	at Clyde	Queen's Park
Montrose			22		6	-	4	-	4	1	1.1		-1.1	1.1		-1.1	1	11	19	23	20	14	8	3	1	0	4.4	-0.04	3	.500		Montrose
Peterhead	T	Berwick Rangers 1-1	21		6	-	3	-	5	0	0.5		-0.9	0.5		-0.9	1	8	14	19	22	18	12	4	1	0	4.9	-0.10	2	.490		Peterhead
Berwick Rangers	T	Peterhead 1-1	19		5	-	4	-	5	1	0.3		-0.5	0.3		-0.5	0	4	8	14	20	25	18	8	3	0	5.6	-0.12	6	.502		Berwick Rangers
Annan Athletic	L	Queen's Park 2-3	16	1	4	-	4	-	5	-2	0.1		-0.3	0.1		-0.3	0	1	4	7	12	19	28	19	9	1	6.5	-0.45	9	.471		Annan Athletic
Clyde	L	Elgin City 1-2	13	1	4	-	1	-	8	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	31	31	12	8.1	-0.23	7	.393	Queen's Park	Clyde
East Stirlingsh			12	2	4	-	0	-	8	-15	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	26	36	16	8.3	0.19	8	.353	at Stirling Albion	East Stirlingshire
Stirling Albion	L	Rangers 0-2	7	1	2	-	1	-	10	-15	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	20	71	9.6	-0.11	10	.344	East Stirlingsh	Stirling Albion


Week of 12/8

Rangers 2 Stirling Albion 0

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	3.8		3.8		0.1
Elgin City	-1.6		-1.6		0.0
Queen's Park	-1.0		-1.0
Montrose	-0.5		-0.5
Peterhead	-0.4		-0.4
Berwick Rangers	-0.2		-0.2
Annan Athletic	-0.1		-0.1
Clyde					0.0
East Stirlingsh					0.0
Stirling Albion	0.0		0.0		-0.1

Elgin City 2 Clyde 1

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	-1.9		-1.9
Elgin City	2.5		2.5		0.3
Queen's Park	-0.2		-0.2		0.0
Montrose	-0.2		-0.2		0.0
Peterhead	-0.1		-0.1
Clyde	0.0		0.0		-0.3
East Stirlingsh					0.0
Stirling Albion					0.0

Annan Athletic 2 Queen's Park 3

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	-1.3		-1.3
Elgin City	-0.3		-0.3
Queen's Park	2.1		2.1		0.5
Montrose	-0.1		-0.1
Annan Athletic	-0.3		-0.3		-0.4

Berwick Rangers 1 Peterhead 1

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	0.4		0.4
Elgin City	0.1		0.1
Peterhead	-0.4		-0.4		-0.1
Berwick Rangers	-0.3		-0.3		-0.1

Clyde vs Queen's Park If winner is:HomeDrawAway

Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	89.488.886.6		89.488.886.6		1.11.21.2
Elgin City	6.36.25.8		6.36.25.8		2.93.03.1
Queen's Park	2.02.95.6		2.02.95.6		3.93.63.1
Montrose	1.31.21.1		1.31.21.1		4.34.44.5
Peterhead	0.60.60.5		0.60.60.5		4.84.84.9
Annan Athletic					6.66.56.5
Clyde	0.10.00.0		0.10.00.0		7.68.18.3
East Stirlingsh					8.48.38.2
Stirling Albion					9.69.69.5

Stirling Albion vs East Stirlingsh HomeDrawAway

Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Berwick Rangers					5.55.55.6
Annan Athletic					6.56.56.6
Clyde					8.18.18.2
East Stirlingsh					8.68.37.9
Stirling Albion	0.0NoNo		0.0NoNo		9.39.69.8


Week of 12/15

Montrose vs Rangers If winner is:HomeDrawAway

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	80.685.991.9		80.685.991.9		1.31.21.1
Elgin City	8.97.24.3		8.97.24.3		3.13.03.0
Queen's Park	5.94.82.8		5.94.82.8		3.63.53.4
Montrose	3.31.00.3		3.31.00.3		3.84.44.7
Peterhead	0.90.70.4		0.90.70.4		5.04.94.8
Berwick Rangers	0.40.30.2		0.40.30.2		5.75.65.5
Annan Athletic					6.66.66.5

Rangers vs Annan Athletic HomeDrawAway

Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	91.485.481.0		91.485.481.0		1.11.21.3
Elgin City	4.47.39.3		4.47.39.3
Queen's Park	2.94.86.2		2.94.86.2
Montrose	0.81.41.8		0.81.41.8		4.44.44.5
Peterhead	0.40.70.9		0.40.70.9		4.84.95.0
Berwick Rangers	0.20.30.4		0.20.30.4		5.55.65.7
Annan Athletic	0.00.10.4		0.00.10.4		6.86.55.9
Clyde					8.18.18.2
East Stirlingsh					8.38.38.4

Queen's Park vs Elgin City HomeDrawAway

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	88.189.486.6		88.189.486.6		1.21.11.2
Elgin City	3.35.29.5		3.35.29.5		3.43.12.6
Queen's Park	6.53.21.9		6.53.21.9		3.03.53.9

East Stirlingsh vs Montrose HomeDrawAway

Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	88.388.287.4		88.388.287.4
Elgin City	6.16.16.0		6.16.16.0		3.03.03.1
Queen's Park	4.14.03.9		4.14.03.9		3.43.43.5
Montrose	0.40.71.8		0.40.71.8		4.94.64.0
Peterhead	0.60.60.5		0.60.60.5		4.84.84.9
Berwick Rangers	0.3*0.30.2		0.3*0.30.2		5.55.55.6
Clyde					8.28.18.1
East Stirlingsh	0.10.00.0		0.10.00.0		7.98.38.5
Stirling Albion					9.69.69.5

Peterhead vs Annan Athletic HomeDrawAway

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers	87.688.188.0		87.688.188.0
Elgin City	6.06.16.1		6.06.16.1		3.13.03.0
Queen's Park					3.53.43.4
Montrose	1.1*1.21.2		1.1*1.21.2
Peterhead	1.00.30.2		1.00.30.2		4.35.05.4
Annan Athletic	0.00.00.2		0.00.00.2		7.06.66.0
Clyde					8.18.18.2

Stirling Albion vs Berwick Rangers HomeDrawAway

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Elgin City	6.16.16.0		6.16.16.0		3.03.03.1
Queen's Park					3.43.43.5
Montrose	*1.11.21.1		*1.11.21.1		4.34.44.5
Peterhead					4.84.84.9
Berwick Rangers	0.10.10.4		0.10.10.4		6.15.85.2
Annan Athletic					6.56.56.6
Stirling Albion	0.0NoNo		0.0NoNo		9.39.69.7

Clyde vs East Stirlingsh HomeDrawAway

Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Clyde	0.10.00.0		0.10.00.0		7.78.28.5
East Stirlingsh					8.68.37.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Scottish Third Division Title Chances

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