"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Stars 1 Reign 0 +15.1
No
+0.5
Thorns 3 Dash 1 -3.0
-0.0
Royals 1 Pride 2 -2.7
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Royals vs Courage-2.3+0.1+0.7
+0.0-0.0No
-0.1-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sky Blue vs Thorns+6.4+2.5-3.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pride vs Reign-2.9+0.7+2.8
Spirit vs Dash+0.7+0.4-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inNWSLChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789SpoonCount
466-0-0In0.2%0990No5,333,870
445-1-0InNo9730No20,866,189
435-0-1InNo86140No35,814,062
424-2-0100.0%No851500No40,012,273
414-1-1100.0No6037300No136,002,147
404-0-299.7No35531200No114,673,935
3-3-099.9No5441500No40,320,443
393-2-199.0No26541910No202,967,440
383-1-292.9No84441700No337,398,155
2-4-097.0No16513030No22,424,985
373-0-377.7No223532200No184,724,966
2-3-186.5No434491300No148,234,568
362-2-264.4No114503420No363,113,717
1-5-073.8No121522510No6,499,073
352-1-337.0No03345670No389,346,454
1-4-147.8No06414840No52,741,946
341-3-223.7No012363130No168,401,474
2-0-416.5No001667161No153,688,265
0-6-030.5No022859100No763,809
331-2-38.4No00863272No263,463,601
0-5-111.8No001264231No7,261,651
321-1-42.0No0249436No200,837,218
0-4-23.4No0354384No28,142,248
311-0-50.3No00325413No59,112,757
0-3-30.7No01375111No56,506,756
300-2-40.1No02156230No61,329,801
290-1-50.0No0951390No33,506,585
280-0-6OutNo341550No7,779,716
Total:54.2%0.0%0101826321220No3,141,268,104
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs