How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 5/20 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* NWSL Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Reign 1 Pride 1 -4.5 -2.4 +0.4 -0.3 Spirit 0 Kansas 1 -0.7 -0.2 -0.2 Courage 1 Stars 3 -0.6 +1.3 +0.1 Sky Blue 2 Dash 1 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Courage vs Sky Blue -0.1+0.5-0.2 -0.3+0.6-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 5/27 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* NWSL Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Dash vs Reign -9.7-2.6+9.9 -4.3-1.7+4.8 +1.7-0.1-1.4 -0.6-0.1+0.6 Kansas vs Spirit -0.8+0.7+1.1 -0.3+0.3+0.4 -0.2+0.0+0.6 Sky Blue vs Pride -0.5+0.7+0.3 -0.5+0.5+0.6 -0.1*+0.0+0.2 Thorns vs Breakers -0.2+0.7-0.2 -0.2+0.5-0.1 Stars vs Courage -0.2+0.5-0.1 -0.0+0.6-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Reign finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in NWSL Chance will finish regular season at seed Wooden TP W - D - L playoffs Shield 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Spoon Count 59 -63 In Yes 100 No 229,784 * 58 16 - 1 - 1 In 100.0 % 100 0 No 7,856 57 15 - 3 - 0 In 100.0 100 0 No 15,020 * 56 15 - 2 - 1 In 100.0 100 0 No 40,861 55 15 - 1 - 2 In 100.0 100 0 No 81,630 * 54 14 - 3 - 1 In 100.0 100 0 No 160,440 * 53 14 - 2 - 2 In 99.9 100 0 No 326,337 * 52 13 - 4 - 1 In 99.8 100 0 No 572,217 * 51 13 - 3 - 2 In 99.6 100 0 0 No 1,015,720 * 50 13 - 2 - 3 In 99.1 99 1 0 No 1,736,026 * 49 12 - 4 - 2 In 98.3 98 2 0 0 No 2,748,105 * 48 12 - 3 - 3 In 96.9 97 3 0 0 No 4,337,312 * 47 12 - 2 - 4 In 94.4 94 6 0 0 No 6,516,998 * 46 11 - 4 - 3 In 90.6 91 9 0 0 No 9,359,998 * 45 11 - 3 - 4 In 84.7 85 15 0 0 No 13,215,847 * 44 10 - 5 - 3 100.0 % 76.3 76 22 1 0 0 No 17,852,945 * 43 10 - 4 - 4 100.0 65.4 65 31 3 0 0 No 23,300,929 * 42 10 - 3 - 5 100.0 52.1 52 40 7 0 0 0 No 29,699,086 * 41 9 - 5 - 4 100.0 37.7 38 46 14 1 0 0 No 36,384,714 * 40 9 - 4 - 5 99.8 24.0 24 47 24 4 0 0 0 No 43,275,209 * 39 9 - 3 - 6 99.1 12.8 13 41 35 10 1 0 0 No 50,057,065 * 38 8 - 5 - 5 96.5 5.4 5 29 42 20 3 0 0 0 No 55,833,649 * 37 8 - 4 - 6 89.7 1.7 2 16 39 32 9 1 0 0 No 60,536,863 * 36 8 - 3 - 7 75.3 0.3 0 6 28 40 21 4 0 0 0 No 63,716,141 * 35 7 - 5 - 6 53.4 0.0 0 2 14 37 34 11 1 0 0 No 64,790,053 * 34 7 - 4 - 7 29.7 0.0 0 0 5 25 41 24 5 0 0 No 63,993,415 * 33 6 - 6 - 6 12.0 0.0 0 0 1 11 35 38 14 1 0 No 61,260,420 * 32 6 - 5 - 7 3.4 No 0 0 3 21 42 28 5 0 0 0.0 % 56,682,556 * 31 6 - 4 - 8 0.6 No 0 0 1 9 34 41 15 1 0 0.0 50,858,503 * 30 5 - 6 - 7 0.1 No 0 0 3 20 44 29 5 0 0.1 44,145,173 * 29 5 - 5 - 8 0.0 No 0 0 1 9 36 41 13 1 0.7 37,005,910 * 28 5 - 4 - 9 0.0 No 0 0 3 23 46 25 3 2.7 30,018,546 * 27 4 - 6 - 8 0.0 No 0 0 1 13 43 37 7 6.9 23,484,647 * 26 4 - 5 - 9 Out No 0 0 6 33 47 14 13.9 17,698,472 * 25 4 - 4 - 10 Out No 0 0 2 23 51 24 23.6 12,854,203 * 24 3 - 6 - 9 Out No 0 1 14 50 35 35.3 8,982,171 * 23 3 - 5 - 10 Out No 0 0 8 45 48 47.5 6,005,575 * 22 3 - 4 - 11 Out No 0 4 37 59 59.4 3,852,172 * 21 2 - 6 - 10 Out No 0 2 28 70 69.9 2,360,224 * 20 2 - 5 - 11 Out No 0 1 21 79 78.8 1,373,743 * 19 2 - 4 - 12 Out No 0 0 14 86 85.6 760,209 * 18 2 - 3 - 13 Out No 0 9 91 90.7 396,041 * 17 1 - 5 - 12 Out No 0 6 94 94.3 193,226 * 16 1 - 4 - 13 Out No 0 3 97 96.8 88,138 * 15 1 - 3 - 14 Out No 2 98 98.3 37,106 * 14 0 - 5 - 13 Out No 1 99 99.1 14,094 * 13 0 - 4 - 14 Out No 0 100 99.6 4,782 * 12 0 - 3 - 15 Out No 0 100 99.9 1,439 * 10 -11 Out No 100 Yes 390 * 9 0 - 0 - 18 Out No 0 100 100.0 225,900 Total: 50.6 % 12.8 % 13 13 13 12 12 11 10 8 5 2 2.3 % 908,107,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs