How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -5.2
-0.6
-1.2
+0.9
-0.4
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.9
+0.1
+0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.2-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+6.2-4.3-8.5
+0.6-0.4-0.7
+0.5-0.4-0.7
-2.3+1.3+3.6
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.6+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.3+0.6+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.3+0.5*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4+0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.2
Orlando vs Union-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1*-0.0+0.2
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Whitecaps finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
74-97InYes100No39,806*
7322-6-4In99.9%1000No2,173*
7222-5-5In99.61000No4,047*
7121-7-4In99.31000No7,403*
7021-6-5In98.8991No12,814*
6921-5-6In98.0991No21,642*
6820-7-5In96.8991No36,001*
6720-6-6In95.49820No60,453*
6619-8-5In93.09730No97,312*
6519-7-6In89.595500No152,993*
6419-6-7In84.792700No235,984*
6318-8-6In78.4891100No356,180*
6218-7-7In70.4851510No526,195*
6118-6-8In60.57920100No762,691*
6017-8-7In49.47226300No1,083,154*
5917-7-8In37.663325000No1,504,915*
5817-6-9In26.153388100No2,050,538*
5716-8-8In16.2434213200No2,737,312*
5616-7-9100.0%8.63244203000No3,584,191*
5515-9-8100.03.82343277100No4,599,480*
5415-8-9100.01.3143833122000No5,779,589*
5315-7-10100.00.383037195100No7,126,610*
5214-9-999.90.14213627102000No8,609,790*
5114-8-1099.50.021331331740000No10,192,101*
5014-7-1198.40.01723342592000No11,828,468*
4913-9-1095.40.003143032164000No13,474,995*
4813-8-1188.9No01722342592000No15,023,524*
4713-7-1277.6No003132932175100No16,421,032*
4612-9-1161.5No001621332610200No17,594,744*
4512-8-1243.2No000312283319510No18,465,275*
4411-10-1126.3No000162034281120No18,988,197*
4311-9-1213.7No000211283419400.0%19,134,716*
4211-8-136.1No00152035281010.018,892,988*
4110-10-122.3No00021231351730.018,259,618*
4010-9-130.7No001623382660.117,267,066*
3910-8-140.2No0003153635110.715,991,798*
389-10-130.0No00193042182.314,503,094*
379-9-140.0No00042345276.012,861,364*
369-8-150.0No00216453812.411,161,716*
358-10-140.0No00110414821.79,467,230*
348-9-150.0No0006355933.27,851,515*
338-8-16OutNo003296845.46,357,466*
327-10-15OutNo002227657.45,033,125*
317-9-16OutNo001178268.23,890,798*
307-8-17OutNo00128877.12,930,336*
296-10-16OutNo0089184.02,154,237*
286-9-17OutNo0069489.31,541,946*
276-8-18OutNo049693.01,076,074*
265-10-17OutNo029895.6729,510*
255-9-18OutNo019997.3482,266*
245-8-19OutNo019998.4309,567*
234-10-18OutNo019999.0192,514*
224-9-19OutNo010099.4115,820*
214-8-20OutNo010099.767,834*
203-10-19OutNo010099.838,198*
193-9-20OutNo010099.921,154*
183-8-21OutNo010099.910,927*
173-7-22OutNo0100100.05,411*
162-9-21OutNo010099.92,712*
1-15OutNo100100.039,655*
Total:38.7%1.3%35678911121313137.3%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Whitecaps finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersReal Salt LakeMinnesotaGalaxy
66-9712.4%Yes
6519-7-612.51000
6419-6-712.4100000
6318-8-612.510000000
6218-7-712.51000000000000
6118-6-812.51000000000000
6017-8-712.51000000000000
5917-7-812.51000000000000
5817-6-912.4990000000000
5716-8-812.4980000000000
17-5-1012.4980000000000
5616-7-912.3960000000000
15-10-712.3960111000000
5515-9-812.1921111111100
16-6-1012.1931111111100
5415-8-911.8862222211111
16-5-1111.8862222211111
14-11-711.8852222221111
5315-7-1011.2763333332211
14-10-811.2753333332211
5214-9-910.2615555543322
15-6-1110.4634555443322
13-12-710.3615555543322
5114-8-109.1466666654422
13-11-88.9446666654422
15-5-129.2476666654422
5014-7-117.6317777765533
13-10-97.4297787765533
15-4-137.6307787765533
4913-9-105.7177888776633
14-6-125.9187888876633
12-12-85.7167888776633
4813-8-114.186777765533
12-11-93.976777765533
14-5-134.286777765533
4713-7-122.635555554422
12-10-102.435555554422
11-13-82.535555554422
4612-9-111.413333333222
13-6-131.413333333322
4512-8-120.702222221111
4412-7-130.301111111100
4311-9-120.100000000000
4211-8-130.000000000000
4111-7-140.000000000000
4010-9-130.00000000000
3910-8-140.00000000000
3810-7-150.00000000000
379-9-14No0000000
1-36No
Total:2.6%13.71.81.91.91.91.91.71.41.40.80.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.8
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-1.0+0.6+1.3
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
74-97100
7322-6-410000
7222-5-510000
7121-7-49900
7021-6-59911
6921-5-69811
6820-7-59721
6720-6-695220
6619-8-5934300
6519-7-69055000
6419-6-78587000
6318-8-6781111000
6218-7-77014150100
6118-6-860182001000
6017-8-749222513000
5917-7-8382530250000
5817-6-92627343801000
5716-8-816273671302000
5616-7-9924331119130000
5515-9-84192616252701000
5415-8-9113182128512020000
5315-7-10089212710181501000
5214-9-90431820162439020000
5114-8-10021121120258161400000
5014-7-1101064191915223902000
4913-9-100003113102023816140000
4813-8-1100107319171622392000
4713-7-1200003113821221016510000
4612-9-1100010621815182213410000
4512-8-1200000201262220221131000
4411-10-1100001062181324221131000
4311-9-1200000201151726221241000
4211-8-1300010518192723113100
4110-10-1200000202921282211300
4010-9-13000100311232921920
3910-8-14000000141427301861
389-10-130000016183028132
379-9-140000002102534236
369-8-1500001416333312
358-10-140000029274022
348-9-15000004204233
338-8-16002134045
327-10-15000173557
317-9-1600042868
307-8-170022177
296-10-160011584
286-9-170001089
276-8-1800793
265-10-1700496
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
234-10-180199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
203-10-190100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-210100
152-8-22100
142-7-230100
131-9-22100
121-8-23199
1-11100
Total:1222333444455556667777