"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 93.3%
20 points   5-5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 -0.3
-0.1
+0.4
-0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Crew+2.6-1.7-5.0
+0.6-0.4-1.2
+1.9-1.8-2.8
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.6
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
DC United vs Sounders-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.1+0.0-0.2
FC Dallas vs Dynamo-0.3+0.3+0.5
Galaxy vs Sporting KC-0.3+0.3+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-83In100.0%100No2,107,280*
7618-2-1In99.81000No96,176
7518-1-2In99.61000No204,213*
7417-3-1In99.41000No469,396*
7317-2-2In99.01000No990,628*
7216-4-1In98.31000No1,934,978*
7116-3-2In97.41000No3,788,547*
7016-2-3In95.91000No6,889,580*
6915-4-2In93.91000No12,127,668*
6815-3-3In91.01000No20,751,048*
6714-5-2In87.01000No33,748,370*
6614-4-3In82.010000No53,430,418*
6514-3-4In75.610000No81,605,998*
6413-5-3In67.710000No120,117,360*
6313-4-4In58.89910No171,840,026*
6212-6-3In48.89910No237,585,214*
6112-5-4In38.497300No318,078,103*
6012-4-5In28.396400No413,581,629*
5911-6-4In19.293700No520,895,762*
5811-5-5In11.88811000No636,731,665*
5711-4-6In6.48217100No755,958,656*
5610-6-5In3.074242000No870,367,551*
5510-5-6In1.164324000No973,316,293*
549-7-5100.0%0.3523980000No1,057,119,230*
539-6-6100.00.13945142000No1,114,189,050*
529-5-7100.00.02746234000No1,140,606,000*
518-7-6100.00.016423291000No1,133,671,296*
508-6-7100.00.083339173000No1,093,559,469*
498-5-8100.00.0321392781000No1,023,970,657*
487-7-799.8No1113236163000No930,313,058*
477-6-898.9No0521372781000No819,655,598*
467-5-995.8No01113036184000No700,331,708*
456-7-888.1No00419362910100No579,820,793*
446-6-973.7No0019273721500No464,945,619*
436-5-1053.8No000316353212200.0%360,888,665*
425-7-933.3No00017253823500.0270,921,507*
415-6-1017.1No00021535341210.0196,499,545*
405-5-117.3No001726402340.1137,647,393*
394-7-102.6No000216393490.792,933,897*
384-6-110.8No00183243162.660,453,575*
374-5-120.2No00032247277.137,796,936*
363-7-110.0No00114463915.222,690,324*
353-6-120.0No0007405226.813,046,180*
343-5-130.0No004326440.57,164,917*
332-7-120.0No002247454.73,756,328*
322-6-13OutNo01178367.41,864,306*
312-5-14OutNo00118977.8880,497*
301-7-13OutNo0079385.7388,376*
291-6-14OutNo049691.3160,960*
281-5-15OutNo029895.062,450*
271-4-16OutNo19997.121,865*
260-6-15OutNo010098.76,999*
250-5-16OutNo010099.31,930*
240-4-17OutNo010099.8454*
21-23OutNo100Yes111*
200-0-21OutNo0100100.02,052,468
Total:93.3%6.0%362114107532100.1%16,504,038,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeImpactRed BullsToronto FCOrlandoDC UnitedCrewNYCFCRevolutionFire
62-8312.5%Yes
6112-5-412.51000000000
6012-4-512.5100000000000
11-7-312.5100000000000
5911-6-412.5100000000000
12-3-612.5100000000000
5811-5-512.5100000000000
10-8-312.5100000000000
5711-4-612.5100000000000
10-7-412.5100000000000
5610-6-512.5100000000000
11-3-712.5100000000000
5510-5-612.5100000000000
9-8-412.5100000000000
11-2-812.5100000000000
549-7-512.5100000000000
10-4-712.599000000000
539-6-612.498000000000
10-3-812.498000000000
8-9-412.599000000000
529-5-712.396011111000
8-8-512.496011110000
10-2-912.496001110000
518-7-612.190111111110
9-4-812.190111111110
508-6-711.779233332211
9-3-911.780223332211
7-9-511.781233332211
498-5-810.964445554431
7-8-610.964455554431
487-7-79.644677776542
8-4-99.745667776542
477-6-87.926889998753
6-9-67.926889998753
8-3-108.027889998653
467-5-96.012889998753
6-8-75.912889998753
456-7-83.84668777543
7-4-104.04668787653
446-6-92.21445555432
436-5-101.00223332221
425-7-90.40111111110
415-6-100.10000000000
405-5-110.00000000000
394-7-100.00000000000
384-6-110.0000000000
374-5-120.0000000000
363-7-110.0000000000
353-6-12No00
20-34No
Total:10.2%71.32.02.12.42.42.32.11.71.30.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Crew-0.7+0.5+1.2
DC United vs Sounders+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
8321-0-01000
8120-1-01000
8020-0-11000
7919-2-01000
7819-1-11000
7718-3-01000
7618-2-110000
7518-1-210000
7417-3-19910
7317-2-29910
7216-4-19820
7116-3-29730
7016-2-39640
6915-4-29460
6815-3-391900
6714-5-2871300
6614-4-38218000
6514-3-47624000
6413-5-36832000
6313-4-45940100
6212-6-349501000
6112-5-4385920000
6012-4-5286741000
5911-6-41973520000
5811-5-512777400000
5711-4-66768910000
5610-6-5371816100000
5510-5-61637253100000
549-7-505253444000000
539-6-603934259100000
529-5-70271455173100000
518-7-601604242854100000
508-6-708033237611210000
498-5-8030211385225310000
487-7-7101103233389300000
477-6-80050211367206210000
467-5-9001011030431108410000
456-7-800040192341020831000
446-6-9000109027631121031000
436-5-100000301623212181241000
425-7-9000010712582023123000
415-6-1000002014314272411300
405-5-1100010717213023920
394-7-1000002021126322061
384-6-110001014163131153
374-5-1200000172236267
363-7-1100000313323715
353-6-120000016244327
343-5-1300002154241
332-7-120000183655
322-6-130042967
312-5-140022078
301-7-13011486
291-6-1400891
281-5-150595
271-4-160397
260-6-150199
250-5-16199
240-4-170100
21-23100
200-0-210100
Total:63021821228252311111000