"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.007 to 36.4%
23 points   5-8-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 1 Sporting KC 2 +0.7
+0.1
New England 1 Crew 2 -0.6
Impact 2 Timbers 3 +0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Union-5.5+0.7+16.2
-0.5+0.0+1.5
+0.3-0.2-0.7
-0.2+0.0+0.7
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls+1.6+0.0-3.7
+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Rapids-2.6+0.6+2.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Whitecaps-1.6+0.7+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Toronto FC+0.6-0.1-1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Fire vs Crew+0.2+1.0-1.4
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs New England-0.7+1.6-0.4
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Impact vs Toronto FC+1.0+0.3-1.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Dynamo vs DC United-0.5+0.1+0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Chivas USA vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6213-0-0In51.2%87130No1,660,694
6012-1-0In24.1673120No195,252
5912-0-1In14.3524350No260,648
5811-2-0In6.8424990No1,021,544
5711-1-1In2.928551700No2,691,265
5610-3-0In0.918552710No4,972,243*
5510-2-1In0.210503810No12,555,058
5410-1-2100.0%0.054249400No22,932,614*
539-3-1100.00.023159700No41,776,670*
529-2-2100.00.0121641400No76,686,239*
518-4-1100.00.00136323100No120,243,550*
508-3-299.90.0075633400No190,444,148*
498-2-399.6No0345438000No284,348,877*
487-4-298.6No01324916100No391,039,113*
477-3-395.9No00204926400No530,669,122*
467-2-490.0No001143379100No380,619,492
6-5-290.0No001143369100No294,240,345*
456-4-379.6No05314318200No578,610,877
7-1-579.2No05314418200No234,083,270*
446-3-464.4No02194329600No686,261,176
5-6-263.7No02194330600No263,774,600*
435-5-345.9No001036391410No537,358,282
6-2-546.0No001036391410No508,096,417*
425-4-428.7No004254424400No786,964,128
6-1-628.0No004244425400No311,264,639*
415-3-515.0No011440369000.0%727,664,743
4-6-314.6No011340369000.0382,087,562*
404-5-46.4No006304418100.0595,584,509
5-2-66.4No006304418100.0462,982,557*
394-4-52.3No002194630300.0680,434,560
3-7-32.1No002194630300.0283,917,441*
384-3-60.6No001104042700.0511,373,278
3-6-40.6No001104043700.0328,327,456*
373-5-50.1No00429511500.1403,595,263
4-2-70.1No00429511500.1285,849,692*
363-4-60.0No00118532610.6375,031,239
2-7-40.0No00118542610.6163,456,175*
353-3-70.0No009483932.1399,149,409*
342-5-60.0No004385175.4277,305,978*
332-4-70.0No00126581411.4181,618,831*
322-3-8OutNo0016612320.4111,702,492*
311-5-7OutNo008583431.763,459,757*
301-4-8OutNo004504644.333,359,149*
291-3-9OutNo01415856.916,131,412*
281-2-10OutNo00316968.26,951,606*
270-4-9OutNo0227877.92,636,335*
260-3-10OutNo0148685.5871,264*
250-2-11OutNo099191.0226,259
240-1-12OutNo59594.937,857
230-0-13OutNo29898.01,646,875
Total:36.4%0.0%0161217202016711.0%12,558,171,962

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCDC UnitedToronto FCCrewRed BullsNew EnglandFireDynamoImpact
6213-0-012.5%Yes
6012-1-012.410000
5912-0-112.51000000
5811-2-012.5100000000
5711-1-112.5100000000000
5610-3-012.599000000000
5510-2-112.499000100000
5410-1-212.396000111000
539-3-112.292001322100
529-2-211.985002543100
8-5-011.987002433100
518-4-111.577004764200
9-1-311.475004865200
508-3-210.8630161197300
9-0-410.7610171297300
7-6-010.9660161086300
498-2-39.948011015129400
7-5-110.049011014129400
487-4-28.9341213181411500
8-1-48.9331213201411510
6-7-09.1361213171411500
477-3-37.7201216221613610
6-6-17.8211216201713610
8-0-57.6190216231612610
467-2-46.4110217231713610
6-5-26.4110217221713710
456-4-35.050216221612610
7-1-55.050216221612610
5-7-15.050216201612710
446-3-43.720113191310510
5-6-23.620113181310510
7-0-63.620113191310510
435-5-32.4001101497410
6-2-52.400191497410
4-8-12.3001913107410
425-4-41.40016964200
6-1-61.400161054210
4-7-21.30006964200
415-3-50.70003532100
4-6-30.70003532100
404-5-40.30001211000
5-2-60.30001211000
394-4-50.10000100000
384-3-60.00000000000
373-5-50.0000000000
363-4-60.0000000000
353-3-70.0000000000
342-5-60.0000000
332-4-70.000
23-32No
Total:2.6%6.90.10.66.18.96.24.72.40.30.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/26100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC 1 Sporting KC 2 -0.1
New England 1 Crew 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Union+0.5-0.1-1.5
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.2
New England vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Whitecaps+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Lottery seed
Impact vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.1
Red Bulls vs New England+0.0-0.1+0.0
Galaxy vs Earthquakes-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.0
Galaxy vs Timbers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
6213-0-0513612000
6012-1-02443274200
5912-0-11438358500
5811-2-07353415900
5711-1-13253322161000
5610-3-01172431242100
5510-2-10101535326100
5410-1-205834351430000
539-3-102328322771000
529-2-2011202439122000
518-4-10001314491671000
508-3-20007650171630000
498-2-30032431529620000
487-4-200103294110610000
477-3-3000020446111531000
467-2-400011141928731000
6-5-200011142729631000
456-4-30050314398830000
7-1-50050315381083000
446-3-40020192428151020000
5-6-2002019142715113000
435-5-3000100365172192000
6-2-5000100366182081000
425-4-4000402521428206100
6-1-6000402421428206100
415-3-5001014182631164000
4-6-301013072432184000
404-5-400060215323012200
5-2-600060317332811200
394-4-50002017243623600
3-7-3002006233625700
384-3-600010021332351520
3-6-40010021232351620
373-5-500000521392860
4-2-700001522392760
363-4-6000002113339141
353-3-7000052344262
2-6-5000042345262
342-5-6000011341405
332-4-700006325111
322-3-8002215720
311-5-7001115632
301-4-80055044
291-3-90024157
281-2-10013168
270-4-9002278
260-3-1001486
250-2-110991
240-1-12595
230-0-13298
Total:000115111215259111110851