Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 99.4%
42 points   11-9-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.7+0.1+1.9
-0.2+0.0+0.6
Toronto FC vs Orlando+0.2+0.1-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.2
Toronto FC vs DC United+0.2+0.0-0.5
+0.3+0.0-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Revolution vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.2+0.3
Impact vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Impact-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.3+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
513-0-0InNo2355013No661,470,294
492-1-0InNo0326701No1,725,031,191
482-0-1InNo0059230No2,559,235,862
471-2-0InNo90100No1,336,219,865
461-1-1InNo82171No3,577,524,472
451-0-2100.0%No6829300No2,145,614,639
0-3-0100.0No6333400No321,418,195
440-2-199.8No464410000No1,199,418,007
430-1-298.1No254924200No1,365,665,406
420-0-386.8No736441210No484,001,589
Total:99.4%No02667195100No15,375,599,520

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCRed BullsNYCFCImpactDC UnitedRevolutionOrlandoCrewFire
513-0-012.1%87742000
492-1-010.02900038228110
482-0-19.15000493110320
471-2-08.6000513311220
461-1-18.1000503210420
451-0-27.400483110720
0-3-07.1000493110320
440-2-16.000046289520
430-1-24.30034237720
420-0-32.20019124710
Total:7.9%7.90.00.10.443.627.69.04.01.90.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union+0.4-0.0-1.2
Toronto FC vs DC United-0.1-0.0+0.3
Impact vs Earthquakes+0.2-0.1-0.2
DC United vs Crew+0.1-0.1-0.1
Dynamo vs NYCFC-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Orlando-0.0-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Impact-0.1-0.1+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
513-0-021351733112
492-1-0003125304010
482-0-10000516762100
471-2-02883700
461-1-108131500
451-0-268128120000
0-3-063132130000
440-2-1460441900000
430-1-22549123110000
420-0-37360432830000
Total:00215760118050000000