Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.2 to 37.9%
30 points   7-9-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 2 Crew 0 +2.5
+0.2
+0.1
Toronto FC 0 New England 3 -2.1
-0.1
-0.1
DC United 2 Red Bulls 0 +1.6
+0.1
+0.1
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.9
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Toronto FC+12.0-7.6-16.5
+1.1-0.7-1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.8
New England vs Sporting KC-2.3+0.6+2.3
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC vs Union-10.8-0.5+19.9
-1.1-0.1+2.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
Crew vs Chivas USA-2.1+2.2+3.9
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Red Bulls vs DC United-2.9+1.1+2.5
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC-2.8+1.2+2.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
New England vs Fire-1.2+1.3+0.8
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Dynamo vs Impact-0.7+0.5+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Impact vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
579-0-0In0.2%425440No3,244,240
558-1-0In0.016642000No11,974,192
548-0-1In0.08623010No14,952,715
537-2-0InNo3484720No40,096,653
527-1-1100.0%No13559500No98,302,288
516-3-0100.0No021681100No76,905,717
7-0-2100.0No0246412000No59,134,328
506-2-1100.0No0106523200No277,502,308
496-1-299.8No045237600No327,449,012
5-4-099.9No0457344000No93,117,046
485-3-199.1No01384613100No439,810,401
6-0-398.7No01344716100No126,119,768
475-2-294.9No00194729500No763,898,694
4-5-096.4No0234825300No73,943,364
465-1-383.5No07344215100No577,464,332
4-4-186.5No09384012100No428,692,673
454-3-266.4No02204428500No975,060,400
5-0-462.9No02184331600No160,120,998
3-6-070.2No03234425400No38,520,172
444-2-339.7No00732421720No1,085,975,984
3-5-143.3No01934411510No263,512,404
433-4-219.9No02184331600No736,347,732
4-1-417.6No02164333600No592,061,073
2-7-021.9No0319433050No12,718,167
423-3-36.2No00631451710No1,075,454,946
4-0-55.3No00530461810No126,431,428
2-6-16.7No00631451610No99,833,287
413-2-41.3No00115463440No865,778,888
2-5-21.5No00116463240No331,886,233*
402-4-30.2No000635481100.0%592,273,660
3-1-50.2No00534491200.0364,291,304
1-7-10.2No00635481100.021,350,257
392-3-40.0No00120542400.0626,426,142
1-6-20.0No00120552400.081,169,728*
3-0-60.0No0119542500.062,620,598
382-2-50.0No009494100.0389,964,986
1-5-30.0No009504000.0174,126,202*
371-4-40.0No003385810.0224,516,081
2-1-60.0No003375910.0140,836,427*
361-3-5OutNo01247330.3183,965,681
0-6-3OutNo01247230.320,655,932
2-0-7OutNo01237330.218,919,001
351-2-6OutNo00138261.092,579,018
0-5-4OutNo00138161.031,911,019
340-4-5OutNo0684103.132,292,873
1-1-7OutNo0684102.726,178,322
330-3-6OutNo0281176.824,603,582*
320-2-7OutNo0752513.38,989,419
310-1-8OutNo0663422.12,166,790
300-0-9OutNo564434.81,917,029
Total:37.9%0.0%0181316181916900.1%12,898,063,494

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedSporting KCToronto FCNew EnglandCrewRed BullsFireDynamoImpact
579-0-012.5%100000000
558-1-012.510000000000
548-0-112.599000000000
537-2-012.498001000000
527-1-112.395002111000
516-3-012.089004222000
7-0-211.987004332000
506-2-111.475017654110
496-1-210.45602121097210
5-4-010.7620112877210
485-3-19.3390217141211320
6-0-39.1360317151410310
475-2-27.6190320181612420
4-5-08.0240221161414420
465-1-35.670320191712420
4-4-16.090221181613420
454-3-23.920217151410320
5-0-43.62021615149320
3-6-04.230118151412430
444-2-32.0001111096210
3-5-12.31011210107220
433-4-20.90006553110
4-1-40.80005542110
2-7-01.10006554110
423-3-30.30002221000
2-6-10.30002121000
4-0-50.20001111000
413-2-40.10000000000
2-5-20.10000000000
1-8-00.1001000000
402-4-30.00000000000
3-1-50.0000000000
1-7-10.0000000000
392-3-40.0000000000
1-6-20.000000000
3-0-60.0000000000
0-9-00.0000000
382-2-50.00000000
1-5-30.0000000
0-8-10.0000
371-4-40.00000
2-1-60.00000
0-7-2No
30-36No
Total:2.9%9.50.00.97.76.86.34.51.40.90.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 2 Crew 0 -0.1
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Toronto FC 0 New England 3 +0.1
DC United 2 Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Whitecaps 0 Timbers 3 +0.1
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 1 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Toronto FC-1.0+0.6+1.4
New England vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC vs Union+0.9+0.0-1.6
Red Bulls vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.1
Crew vs Chivas USA+0.1-0.1-0.2
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Dynamo vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Fire+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
579-0-00428463100
558-1-0016163712000
548-0-108061723000
537-2-030485421100
527-1-1103535533000
516-3-0002116737000
7-0-20023262480000
506-2-100100644191000
496-1-20405243351000
5-4-000405733131000
485-3-1010382451041000
6-0-301034244124100
475-2-200019146161350000
4-5-0002304813123000
465-1-30070341725133000
4-4-100903815251120000
454-3-202020103322102000
5-0-402018113224112000
3-6-00302383518102000
444-2-30007428262581000
3-5-10109331232481000
433-4-20211717332271000
4-1-40021151834226100
2-7-0031191532237100
423-3-3000672735205000
4-0-5000582835194000
2-6-1000662635215000
413-2-40001213313416300
2-5-20001112313417300
402-4-300000317353211100
3-1-50000418363110100
1-7-10000315353312200
392-3-4000016233925600
1-6-200005224026600
3-0-60016254023500
382-2-500011033391510
1-5-300011033391610
371-4-40000319433240
2-1-60000321433030
361-3-50018354690
0-6-300083447100
2-0-700110384370
351-2-60032355191
0-5-40022155201
340-4-50011053333
1-1-70011354303
330-3-600545447
320-2-7001335313
310-1-800225522
300-0-90125335
Total:000108012411911111196410