Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 99.4%
40 points   11-7-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Orlando 2 NYCFC 1 -0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Red Bulls 1 Revolution 0 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fire vs Union-0.6+0.1+0.5
-1.1-0.2+1.4
-0.4-0.3+0.7
-0.4-0.1+0.6
NYCFC vs DC United+0.2+0.0-0.4
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Galaxy vs Crew+0.0+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Revolution vs Rapids+0.1+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls+0.2+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Timbers-0.2+0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Union vs Impact+0.5-0.1-1.1
+1.3-0.8-2.4
+0.4-0.3-0.4
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Impact vs Orlando+0.1+0.0-0.4
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Crew vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC-0.1+0.0+0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Revolution vs NYCFC+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Real Salt Lake+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Rapids-0.1+0.2+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
617-0-0In73.1%1000No27,001,339
596-1-0In43.19820No133,067,295
586-0-1In26.99550No206,351,926
575-2-0In13.292800No358,615,886
565-1-1In5.3792010No1,087,867,770
555-0-2In1.46333400No811,647,548
4-3-0In1.27127300No520,071,314
544-2-1In0.24842900No2,310,395,328
534-1-2In0.0274822300No3,357,001,521
3-4-0In0.0334718200No438,351,828
523-3-1In0.0164433700No2,531,277,206
4-0-3In0.01242361000No1,590,393,020
513-2-2In0.0530432020No5,365,439,040
2-5-0In0.0630441920No214,963,969
503-1-3100.0%0.01144137700No4,931,940,785
2-4-1100.0No2164235600No1,511,598,740
492-3-2100.0No0630471600No4,153,957,449
3-0-4100.0No0528491800No1,652,534,342
1-6-0100.0No0529481700No56,888,421
482-2-3100.0No0115503210No5,559,715,345
1-5-1100.0No0114493410No467,615,170
472-1-4100.0No0063951400No3,612,275,286
1-4-2100.0No0063951400No1,563,053,580
0-7-0100.0No005375350No6,275,265
461-3-399.9No0022563900No2,711,647,618
2-0-599.9No00124641000No908,621,356
0-6-199.9No00122641200No58,722,678
451-2-499.4No00126720100No2,568,924,280
0-5-299.2No0011652310No229,403,021
441-1-597.2No0045835300No1,257,698,722
0-4-397.2No0045835300No484,510,926
430-3-492.2No014348800No596,515,880
1-0-691.3No014149900No248,429,598
420-2-580.4No00255519100No427,443,001
410-1-661.7No0115135400No165,142,177
400-0-739.0No3365110000.0%33,039,290
Total:99.4%0.5%1116202523510000.0%52,158,397,920

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCNYCFCRed BullsImpactDC UnitedOrlandoCrewFireRevolution
58-6112.5%Yes
575-2-012.510000
565-1-112.510000000000
555-0-212.5100000000000
4-3-012.5100000000000
544-2-112.5100000000000
534-1-212.497000200000
3-4-012.498001100000
523-3-112.293102400000
4-0-312.190112610000
513-2-211.6792241211000
2-5-011.7802151011000
503-1-310.6563582232000
2-4-110.7594491932000
492-3-29.43658123053000
3-0-49.233510113353000
1-6-09.23466152962000
482-2-37.817612143974000
1-5-17.615810173774000
472-1-46.36715144375000
1-4-26.26813174174000
0-7-05.95911203974100
461-3-35.02714154264000
2-0-54.91617124265000
0-6-14.61811173964000
451-2-43.80614113854000
0-5-23.50711143643000
441-1-52.7051383133000
0-4-32.70511103132000
430-3-41.804962311000
1-0-61.7031052112000
420-2-51.002631301000
410-1-60.4131600000
400-0-70.1010200
Total:9.0%46.83.76.98.023.03.52.20.20.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
Red Bulls 1 Revolution 0 +0.1
Orlando 2 NYCFC 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fire vs Union+0.9+0.2-1.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls-0.2-0.1+0.2
NYCFC vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Lottery seed
Union vs Impact-0.9+0.6+1.5
Revolution vs NYCFC-0.2-0.0+0.2
Fire vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.2
Impact vs Orlando+0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
617-0-0732700
596-1-043552000
586-0-127684100
575-2-0137853000
565-1-15749111000
555-0-216192431000
4-3-017072021000
544-2-1048637540000
534-1-202734681420000
3-4-003324561310000
523-3-101614462752000
4-0-301214172873000
513-2-20503044010102000
2-5-0060303418111000
503-1-301014140112561000
2-4-1201614192561000
492-3-2006030740124000
3-0-4005028841144000
1-6-0005028642134000
482-2-300101534719141000
1-5-100101424719151000
472-1-400006139203131000
1-4-20006139193231000
0-7-0000503620335100
461-3-300020251350630000
2-0-500010241549730000
0-6-1001022135284000
451-2-40001266110111000
0-5-20001156011121000
441-1-50004256102621000
0-4-3000415692621000
430-3-4001043542431000
1-0-600104164353100
420-2-5000252535951000
410-1-60011050414154000
400-0-70303621528142000
Total:1101152184218152300000000