Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 15.3%
12 points   3-3-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls 0 Union 2 +5.5
+0.2
+0.1
-11.2
+0.4
Impact 2 FC Dallas 1 -0.5
+0.9
Toronto FC 1 Timbers 0 -0.3
-0.1
Crew 2 Fire 2 +0.2
+0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 NYCFC 0 +0.1
-1.5
+0.0
Timbers 1 DC United 0 +0.1
+0.5
Revolution 1 DC United 1 +0.1
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.1
Rapids 1 Whitecaps 0 +0.5
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Union-2.9+0.4+9.7
-0.1+0.0+0.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+2.6-0.9-7.7
-0.2+0.0+0.6
Union vs Crew+6.4-2.3-5.6
+0.3-0.1-0.2
-5.9+1.7+5.5
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Impact vs Whitecaps-0.9+0.4+1.0
+0.3-0.1-0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Earthquakes-0.5+0.3+0.8
DC United vs Fire+0.3+0.1-0.9
-0.3+0.1+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Crew-0.5+0.5+0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.4
Revolution vs Galaxy-0.3+0.3+0.6
Fire vs Impact-0.2+0.6-0.3
+0.3-0.3-0.3
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.2-0.1-0.5
NYCFC vs Dynamo-0.2+0.1+0.2
+2.9-1.2-2.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake-0.1+0.0+0.3
Rapids vs Timbers+0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
64-75In99.8%100No3,303*
6316-3-2In77.6982No58*
6216-2-3In74.5973No110*
6115-4-2In65.2937No256*
6015-3-3In53.789110No490*
5914-5-2In39.684151No1,011*
5814-4-3In28.178202No1,954*
5714-3-4In18.6682930No3,707*
5613-5-3In10.0563770No6,829*
5513-4-4In4.944431210No11,950*
5413-3-5In1.932461930No20,573*
5312-5-4In0.6224427610No34,405*
5212-4-5In0.11338351220No54,268*
5111-6-4100.0%0.06294021400No84,561*
5011-5-5100.0No318373110100No128,605*
4911-4-699.7No110303718400No188,625*
4810-6-599.0No04203729910No268,587*
4710-5-696.8No0111313617300No370,145*
4610-4-791.4No004203828810No497,857*
459-6-681.3No0011132371620No648,819*
449-5-766.1No0005223927600No823,336*
439-4-848.3No0021235371410No1,013,125*
428-6-731.0No005254124400.0%1,210,155*
418-5-817.5No002154034800.01,402,697*
407-7-78.6No001832431610.01,579,577*
397-6-83.7No00423462520.31,723,708*
387-5-91.4No00115443641.01,825,458*
376-7-80.5No008384783.0892,432
7-4-100.5No009394572.6987,315*
366-6-90.1No0043053126.41,870,403*
356-5-100.0No0222581912.21,803,615*
345-7-90.0No0115582620.01,685,550*
335-6-100.0No009553529.31,519,080*
325-5-110.0No005504439.51,328,627*
314-7-10OutNo03445349.71,117,536*
304-6-11OutNo02376259.3908,932*
294-5-12OutNo01306967.9709,979*
283-7-11OutNo00237675.5533,310*
273-6-12OutNo0188281.6385,623*
263-5-13OutNo0138786.7266,044*
252-7-12OutNo099190.8175,507*
242-6-13OutNo069493.6110,118*
232-5-14OutNo49695.865,663*
222-4-15OutNo39797.236,918*
211-6-14OutNo19998.419,927*
201-5-15OutNo19999.09,679*
191-4-16OutNo19999.54,391*
181-3-17OutNo010099.81,870*
170-5-16OutNo010099.7695*
12-16OutNo100Yes3,577*
Total:15.3%0.0%0112471221312017.6%26,340,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedRevolutionRed BullsToronto FCCrewImpactOrlandoFireNYCFC
58-7512.3%Yes
5714-3-411.8100000
5613-5-312.8100000000
5513-4-412.89900000000
5413-3-512.897010000000
12-6-312.49700010000
5312-5-412.093111111000
13-2-612.19311111110
5212-4-511.686222221110
11-7-311.987222231110
13-1-711.78522233211
5111-6-410.975344442210
12-3-610.774344442220
10-9-212.375344442220
5011-5-59.759576674320
12-2-79.956576774430
10-8-39.958576674330
4911-4-68.241798995540
10-7-48.441798995540
12-1-88.2397989105540
4810-6-56.6258101010106640
11-3-76.4248111010116640
9-9-36.8248101010106650
4710-5-64.8128111010117650
9-8-44.8128111010106650
11-2-84.7118111010117650
4610-4-73.35799996640
9-7-53.25798996640
11-1-93.24699996640
8-10-33.15798896550
459-6-61.92576774430
10-3-81.91576774430
8-9-41.91566664430
449-5-71.10344443320
8-8-51.00344442220
10-2-91.00344443320
439-4-80.50122221110
8-7-60.50122221110
7-10-40.40122221110
428-6-70.20111111100
9-3-90.20111111100
7-9-50.20111110000
418-5-80.10000000000
7-8-60.10000000000
408-4-90.00000000000
397-6-80.0000000000
387-5-90.0000000000
377-4-100.000000000
366-6-9No0000000
12-35No
Total:0.5%1.90.71.00.91.01.00.60.60.40.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Red Bulls 0 Union 2 -0.9
Impact 2 FC Dallas 1 +0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 NYCFC 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Union+0.4-0.1-1.3
Union vs Crew-0.8+0.3+0.7
Impact vs Whitecaps+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
7521-0-01000
6618-0-3100
6517-2-2919
6416-4-18713
6316-3-278212
6216-2-375233
6115-4-265287
6015-3-354351010
5914-5-240441511
5814-4-328501732
5714-3-41950245300
5613-5-310462611700
5513-4-4540251811110
5413-3-52311927163300
5312-5-412112322076010
5212-4-50136322015111200
5111-6-40622715241744000
5011-5-530188291911911000
4911-4-6101032716211534000
4810-6-500411982918108110
4710-5-60101132815221433000
4610-4-70004020831171171000
459-6-600010112301323135100
449-5-700005021733151251000
439-4-800020122331219145100
428-6-7000502571824155100
418-5-80002015212252613300
407-7-700108151931251010
397-6-80004021026332050
387-5-9001004173331121
376-7-80000182638223
366-6-90000031739346
356-5-1000019334412
345-7-900004255120
335-6-100002165229
325-5-110001105039
314-7-100054550
304-6-110033859
294-5-120013168
283-7-11012475
273-6-12001882
263-5-1301387
252-7-120991
242-6-130694
232-5-140496
222-4-15397
211-6-14298
201-5-15199
191-4-16199
181-3-170100
170-5-160100
12-16100
Total:000001021316235811152218