Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 35.3%
30 points   7-9-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union 4 Earthquakes 2 +8.6
+0.6
-0.2
+0.4
Red Bulls 4 Impact 2 -2.2
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
New England 1 Chivas USA 0 -2.1
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
Crew 3 Dynamo 0 -1.5
-0.1
Toronto FC 2 Fire 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Dynamo+0.2-0.0-0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union vs Toronto FC+11.6-6.9-14.6
+1.0-0.6-1.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.6
DC United vs Red Bulls+2.1+0.0-4.7
+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs Sporting KC-3.5+0.8+2.8
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Impact vs Crew+2.6+0.9-2.7
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs New England+0.7+0.6-2.4
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fire vs FC Dallas-1.0+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
579-0-0In0.9%464680No4,797,911
558-1-0In0.018532900No16,410,377
548-0-1In0.09474320No20,942,608
537-2-0100.0%0.043558400No56,273,341
527-1-1100.0No122651100No141,103,058
516-3-0100.0No0126819100No110,406,482
7-0-2100.0No0126323100No86,941,216
506-2-199.9No055635400No407,610,033
496-1-299.3No02394712100No492,441,487
5-4-099.5No024544900No136,683,142
485-3-197.4No00255022300No660,236,613
6-0-396.8No00224925300No194,346,339
475-2-290.9No00114237910No1,173,402,677
4-5-092.2No00144434700No110,750,815
465-1-377.6No04284620200No907,974,992
4-4-179.7No0530451820No656,709,455
454-3-260.2No01154433700No1,527,382,987
5-0-457.7No01144334800No257,815,410
3-6-061.5No02174332600No58,858,400
444-2-338.0No00632441710No1,740,097,967
3-5-139.4No00633441610No411,329,501
433-4-220.8No02194631300No1,174,757,483
4-1-419.8No0118453230No970,300,749
2-7-020.4No0219463130No19,795,335
423-3-38.8No0083745900No1,753,359,847
4-0-58.2No0083746900No211,777,200
2-6-18.5No0083746800No158,648,722
413-2-42.9No00324531910No1,441,712,894
2-5-23.0No00325541810No538,420,510*
402-4-30.8No001135232200.0%980,988,425
3-1-50.8No01135133300.0619,263,681
1-7-10.7No0112533220No34,503,242
392-3-40.2No0054246700.01,058,604,340
1-6-20.1No0054346600.0133,445,023
3-0-60.2No0054047700.0108,891,301*
382-2-50.0No00228561500.0671,742,406
1-5-30.0No00229551400.0292,518,773*
371-4-40.0No0016572600.0384,396,909
2-1-60.0No0015572800.0246,243,541*
361-3-50.0No007504210.1320,667,329
0-6-30.0No008514100.135,164,513
2-0-70.0No007504310.133,730,417
351-2-60.0No002385810.4163,975,765
0-5-40.0No003395710.455,281,607
340-4-5OutNo01257131.456,861,923
1-1-7OutNo01257131.347,045,389
330-3-6OutNo00148073.644,063,243*
320-2-7OutNo0682127.716,267,371
310-1-8OutNo02801813.83,958,843
300-0-9OutNo0732622.73,139,240
Total:35.3%0.0%0161117222414400.0%20,752,040,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Union finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedSporting KCToronto FCCrewRed BullsNew EnglandFireDynamoImpact
579-0-012.5%100000000
558-1-012.5100000000000
548-0-112.498000100000
537-2-012.396001211000
527-1-112.088002432000
516-3-011.680004754000
7-0-211.476005855000
506-2-110.6610181387100
496-1-29.4401114191211100
5-4-09.8470112161210100
485-3-18.2261117221514100
6-0-37.8221218241513100
475-2-26.4111119251614210
4-5-06.8141119231715210
465-1-34.641118241413210
4-4-14.951118231614210
454-3-23.210115201210110
5-0-43.01011420109100
3-6-03.320015191311110
444-2-31.800091476100
3-5-11.9000101376100
433-4-20.90005833000
4-1-40.90005833000
2-7-00.90005843000
423-3-30.40002411000
4-0-50.30002411000
2-6-10.40002411000
413-2-40.10001100000
2-5-20.10001100000
1-8-00.10001100000
402-4-30.00000000000
3-1-50.0000000000
1-7-10.0000000000
392-3-40.0000000000
1-6-20.0000000000
3-0-60.0000000000
0-9-00.0000000
382-2-50.0000000000
1-5-30.0000000000
0-8-10.0000000
371-4-40.0000000
2-1-60.00000000
0-7-20.00000
361-3-50.00000
0-6-30.000
2-0-7No00
351-2-6No00
0-5-4No0
30-34No
Total:2.4%6.40.20.47.19.75.65.00.60.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/23100.0*Lottery seed
Union 4 Earthquakes 2 -0.9
Red Bulls 4 Impact 2 +0.1
New England 1 Chivas USA 0 +0.1
Timbers 2 Sounders 4 -0.1
Crew 3 Dynamo 0 +0.0
Toronto FC 2 Fire 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Union vs Toronto FC-0.9+0.5+1.2
New England vs Sporting KC+0.2-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.2
Impact vs Crew-0.1-0.0+0.1
Fire vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Timbers-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
579-0-014511356200
558-1-00182501019000
548-0-10914610331000
537-2-00403465222000
527-1-1102236257000
516-3-000121674151000
7-0-200121626171000
506-2-100505643041000
496-1-200203934493100
5-4-00204524173000
485-3-1000251491392000
6-0-30002214816103000
475-2-200011042172081000
4-5-000014044142071000
465-1-300402814321750000
4-4-100503013321640000
454-3-20101583624132000
5-0-40101493527132000
3-6-00201773722133000
444-2-30006329262691000
3-5-100063302426101000
433-4-20021181733226100
4-1-400111819342151000
2-7-0020181533247100
423-3-3000882934173000
4-0-50008103133153000
2-6-1000872735184000
413-2-40003317353011100
2-5-20003215343212200
402-4-30001062438256100
3-1-5001172538235000
1-7-100105223826710
392-3-40000111323616300
1-6-20000110313717300
3-0-60000213333514200
382-2-500004193830810
1-5-300003183831910
371-4-40001729412030
2-1-60001830401930
361-3-50000216403480
0-6-3000215403480
2-0-70000318413270
351-2-6000073044180
0-5-4000063045190
340-4-50021747331
1-1-70021948301
330-3-600841474
320-2-700330598
310-1-801206514
300-0-900106723
Total:0001060114131013131295310