USSDA West Playoff Chances 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	1/20		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Avg.	Change	RPI	Saturday

LAFC			36	2	12	-	0	-	0	55	96.7	%	-0.1	52	18	10	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.4	-0.03	1	at Pateadores	Los Angeles Football Club U-13
San Jose			32	1	10	-	2	-	1	67	81.0		-0.6	13	17	14	11	9	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	5.3	-0.07	11		San Jose Earthquakes U-13
San Diego			29	2	9	-	2	-	1	32	70.3		-0.7	9	12	11	10	9	8	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	3	6.8	-0.08	2	at Nomads	San Diego Surf U-13
Sacramento			31	1	10	-	1	-	2	34	65.9		-0.7	6	10	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	3	7.4	-0.08	18		Sacramento Republic FC U-13
Washington			28	2	9	-	1	-	2	34	61.5		-0.8	4	8	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	5	8.2	-0.10	20		Washington Premier FC U-13
LA Galaxy SD			27	2	9	-	0	-	3	12	58.1		-0.7	5	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	6	8.6	-0.08	4	Albion	LA Galaxy San Diego U-13
Albion	W	Pateadores 2-1	28	1	9	-	1	-	3	14	52.6		+10.7	4	6	7	7	8	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	7	9.3	+1.79	9	at LA Galaxy SD	Albion SC U-13
WA Timbers			24	3	7	-	3	-	1	12	46.4		-0.8	3	6	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	11	10.4	-0.10	25		Washington Timbers FC Academy U-13

Crossfire			25	1	8	-	1	-	4	19	30.5		-0.8	1	2	3	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	19	12.9	-0.10	27		Crossfire Premier U-13
Seattle			24	1	7	-	3	-	3	23	30.1		-0.7	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	5	6	6	5	5	4	4	5	5	4	3	18	13.0	-0.10	40		Seattle United U-13
De Anza Force			26		8	-	2	-	4	9	22.5		-0.5	0	1	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	24	14.3	-0.08	36		De Anza Force U-13
Real SoCal			22	2	7	-	1	-	4	1	21.8		-0.6	1	1	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	29	15.1	-0.09	19	at Strikers	Real So Cal U-13
FC Golden State			20	3	5	-	5	-	1	16	20.1		-0.5	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	5	5	4	4	4	32	15.7	-0.08	15	LA Galaxy	FC Golden State U-13
LA Futbol			23	1	7	-	2	-	4	23	19.6		-0.5	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	28	15.2	-0.07	7	Arsenal	Los Angeles United Futbol Academy U-13
Pacific Northwest			23	1	6	-	5	-	2	30	19.1		-0.6	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	30	15.6	-0.08	24		Pacific Northwest Soccer Club U-13
Crossfire OR			23	1	6	-	5	-	2	22	18.7		-0.4	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	30	15.6	-0.08	55		Crossfire Oregon U-13
Santa Cruz			23	1	7	-	2	-	4	-1	16.5		-0.4	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	33	16.2	-0.08	70		Santa Cruz Breakers Academy U-13
FC Portland			22	1	7	-	1	-	5	-3	13.4		-0.4	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	39	17.3	-0.07	46		FC Portland Academy U-13
LA Galaxy			17	3	5	-	2	-	4	7	8.2		-0.2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	54	20.0	-0.03	16	at FC Golden State	LA Galaxy U-13
Santa Barbara			17	3	5	-	2	-	4	6	8.2		-0.3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	54	20.0	-0.04	39		Santa Barbara Soccer Club U-13
Westside			13	5	4	-	1	-	4	5	7.7		-0.3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	60	21.6	-0.03	98		Westside Timbers Soccer Club U-13
Portland			20	1	6	-	2	-	5	3	6.8		-0.3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	4	5	53	20.0	-0.06	34		Portland Timbers U-13
Ballistic	W	EBU 2-0	20	1	6	-	2	-	5	-3	6.6		+2.2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	54	20.1	+1.98	62		Ballistic United SC U-13
Silicon Valley			20	1	6	-	2	-	5	1	6.5		-0.3	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	54	20.1	-0.05	61		Silicon Valley Soccer Academy U-13
Santa Rosa			18	2	5	-	3	-	4	9	6.0		-0.2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	58	20.8	-0.03	59		Santa Rosa United U-13
Strikers			14	3	4	-	2	-	5	4	2.6		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	74	24.3	-0.01	35	Real SoCal	Strikers FC U-13
Placer			17		5	-	2	-	7	-2	0.8		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	83	25.9	+0.02	95		Placer United SC U-13
Seattle Surf			13	2	4	-	1	-	7	-17	0.6		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	88	27.8	+0.03	74		Greater Seattle Surf U-13
Pateadores	L	Albion 1-2	15	1	5	-	0	-	8	2	0.6		-1.3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	86	27.0	-2.04	67	LAFC	Pateadores U-13
San Joaquin			12	2	4	-	0	-	8	-34	0.5		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	89	28.1	+0.04	112		San Joaquin Valley Soccer Association U-13
Arsenal			12	1	3	-	3	-	7	-22	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	95	30.5	+0.04	37	at LA Futbol	Arsenal FC U-13
EastsideFC			12	1	3	-	3	-	7	-15	0.1		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	95	30.6	+0.06	91		Eastside FC U-13
Capital			8	3	2	-	2	-	7	-17	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	96	31.8	+0.06	100		Capital FC Timbers U-13
San Juan			9	2	1	-	6	-	5	-25	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	96	31.8	+0.05	82		San Juan SC U-13
Nomads			6	3	2	-	0	-	9	-24	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	98	33.5	+0.07	86	San Diego	Nomads SC U-13
BSC			10	1	3	-	1	-	9	-12	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	97	32.3	+0.05	109		BSC Oregon U-13
WA Rush			10	1	3	-	1	-	9	-36	0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	98	32.9	+0.07	113		Washington Rush U-13
EBU	L	Ballistic 0-2	3	1	1	-	0	-	12	-55	Out		-0.0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	37.6	-0.85	105		EBU Bay Oaks U-13
Snohomish			2	2	0	-	2	-	10	-54	Out												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	38.0	+0.08	120		Snohomish United U-13
Marin Alliance			1	1	0	-	1	-	12	-34	Out												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	38.3	+0.07	110		Marin FC Alliance U-13
Eastside Timbers			0	3	0	-	0	-	11	-57	Out												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	38.6	+0.08	122		Eastside Timbers U-13

Week of 1/20
Pateadores 1 Albion 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAFC	-0.1
San Jose	-0.4		-0.1
San Diego	-0.6		-0.1
Sacramento	-0.5
Washington	-0.6		-0.1
LA Galaxy SD	-0.5
Albion	+11.1		+1.9
WA Timbers	-0.7		-0.1
Crossfire	-0.6
Seattle	-0.6
De Anza Force	-0.5		-0.0
Real SoCal	-0.4
FC Golden State	-0.4
LA Futbol	-0.6		-0.0
Pacific Northwest	-0.4
Crossfire OR	-0.5		-0.0
Santa Cruz	-0.3
FC Portland	-0.3
LA Galaxy	-0.3		+0.0
Santa Barbara	-0.2
Westside	-0.2		+0.0
Portland	-0.2
Ballistic	-0.2
Silicon Valley	-0.2
Santa Rosa	-0.2		+0.0
Strikers	-0.1
Placer			+0.1
Seattle Surf			+0.0
Pateadores	-1.3		-2.0
San Joaquin			+0.1
Arsenal			+0.1
San Juan			+0.1
BSC			+0.1

Ballistic 2 EBU 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sacramento	-0.3
Real SoCal			*-0.1
FC Golden State			*-0.1
LA Futbol			-0.1
Pacific Northwest			*-0.1
Santa Cruz			-0.1
FC Portland			*-0.1
LA Galaxy			-0.1
Santa Barbara			-0.1
Westside			-0.1
Portland			-0.1
Ballistic	+2.4		+2.0
Santa Rosa			-0.1
Strikers			-0.1
EBU			-0.9
Snohomish			+0.1
Marin Alliance			+0.1
Eastside Timbers			+0.1

Chargers 0 Weston 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Strikers			-0.1

Week of 1/27
LA Galaxy SD vs AlbionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LA Galaxy SD	70.255.446.5		6.88.910.2
Albion	40.849.465.0		10.99.77.5

Nomads vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose	81.481.180.6		5.35.35.4
San Diego	61.068.180.0		8.17.15.5
Sacramento	66.566.165.4		7.47.47.5
Washington	62.061.660.9		8.18.28.3
LA Galaxy SD	58.658.257.5		8.58.58.6
Albion	53.252.752.0		9.29.29.3
WA Timbers	46.946.545.8		10.410.410.5
Crossfire	31.030.629.9		12.912.913.0
Seattle	30.630.229.5		12.912.913.0
De Anza Force	22.922.622.0
Real SoCal	22.322.021.3
FC Golden State	20.520.219.7
LA Futbol	20.019.719.1
Pacific Northwest	19.519.218.7
Crossfire OR	19.118.818.3
Santa Cruz	16.816.516.1
Nomads			32.134.034.8

LA Futbol vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose	80.681.281.4
San Diego	69.870.570.7		6.96.86.8
Sacramento	65.466.166.4		7.57.47.4
Washington	60.961.762.0		8.28.28.1
LA Galaxy SD	57.658.358.6		8.68.58.5
Albion	52.052.953.1		9.39.29.2
WA Timbers	45.946.646.8		10.510.410.4
Crossfire	30.030.730.9		13.012.912.9
Seattle	29.530.330.6		13.012.912.9
De Anza Force	22.022.622.9		14.414.314.3
Real SoCal	21.422.022.2		15.115.015.0
LA Futbol	28.515.811.4		12.915.917.3
Pacific Northwest	18.719.319.5		15.615.515.5
Crossfire OR	18.318.919.1		15.715.615.6
Santa Cruz	16.116.616.8		16.316.216.1
Arsenal			32.131.128.9

FC Golden State vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FC Golden State	28.217.212.5		13.516.317.8
LA Galaxy	4.16.412.6		22.220.717.8

Strikers vs Real SoCalHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego	70.770.569.9
Sacramento	66.366.165.5
Washington	61.861.761.1
LA Galaxy SD	58.558.357.7
Albion	53.052.852.1
WA Timbers	46.846.646.0
Crossfire	30.830.730.1
Seattle	30.430.329.7
Real SoCal	14.018.830.2		17.115.612.9
Strikers	4.31.71.0		22.125.026.3

Pateadores vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LAFC	94.796.598.7		2.92.51.9
Pateadores	1.10.30.1		25.027.628.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

USSDA West Playoff Chances 50/50

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