USSDA East Playoff Chances

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	1/20		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	Saturday

NYCFC			39	2	13	-	0	-	1	30	100.0	%		55	25	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.8		6	.865		New York City FC U-13
Philadelphia			33	4	11	-	0	-	1	37	99.9		-0.0	26	32	19	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.6		3	.851		Philadelphia Union U-13
Baltimore			38	2	12	-	2	-	0	28	99.3		+0.0	6	14	22	21	17	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.1	+0.01	13	.859		Baltimore Armour U-13
Atlanta			42	1	14	-	0	-	1	73	99.2		+0.0	6	14	21	23	17	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.1	+0.01	12	.830		Atlanta United FC U-13
NTRB			37	2	12	-	1	-	1	44	99.1		+0.0	6	13	17	20	19	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.4	+0.01	8	.871		New York Red Bulls U-13
Bethesda			36	1	12	-	0	-	3	50	90.3		+0.0	0	2	5	9	15	20	15	11	8	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.9	+0.02	22	.863		Bethesda SC U-13
IMG			24	5	7	-	3	-	1	19	75.5		-1.0	0	1	2	5	9	14	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	8.5	-0.11	47	.798	Weston	IMG Academy U-13
Southern			30	2	9	-	3	-	2	14	67.7		+0.0	0	0	1	2	5	9	13	14	12	11	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	9.4		14	.826		Southern Soccer Academy U-13
Seacoast			24	3	8	-	0	-	5	21	61.9		+0.1		0	0	0	2	6	11	14	15	13	11	8	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	10.1	+0.01	76	.861		Seacoast United U-13
ISL			28	3	8	-	4	-	1	33	55.8		-0.0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	11	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	2	10.5		50	.804		ISL FC U-13

Concorde			29	1	9	-	2	-	4	20	36.4		+0.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	3	5	12.2	-0.02	31	.829		Concorde Fire U-13
Chargers	T	Weston 0-0	20	5	5	-	5	-	1	15	31.5		+0.6	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	9	13.0	+0.24	23	.785	at Florida Rush	Chargers Soccer Club U-13
PDA			23	4	7	-	2	-	3	24	23.6		+0.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	12	14.0	-0.03	60	.857		Players Development Academy U-13
Boston			27	1	8	-	3	-	4	8	21.0		-0.1			0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	6	13.5	-0.03	32	.815		FC Greater Boston Bolts U-13
Bergen			23	3	7	-	2	-	4	6	12.8		+0.0		0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	7	8	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	16	15.3	-0.03	48	.772		Cedar Stars Academy - Bergen U-13
Weston	T	Chargers 0-0	15	6	4	-	3	-	3	10	7.1		+0.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	38	17.6	+0.53	54	.740	at IMG	Weston FC U-13
United Futbol			25	1	7	-	4	-	4	6	5.9		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	10	9	21	16.4	-0.03	28	.727		United Futbol Academy U-13
DC United			21	3	6	-	3	-	4	11	4.1		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	36	17.7	-0.03	58	.840		D.C. United U-13
Arlington			21	3	7	-	0	-	6	2	3.8		+0.0			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	8	10	11	11	10	9	23	16.7	-0.03	51	.638		Arlington Soccer Association U-13
NC South			19	4	5	-	4	-	3	3	2.9		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	42	18.3	-0.03	44	.659		North Carolina FC Youth South U-13
Tampa Bay			18	5	5	-	3	-	3	2	0.8		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	75	21.5	-0.16	68	.602		TBU Rowdies U-13
Orlando City			15	4	4	-	3	-	5	4	0.4		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	5	6	77	21.8	-0.10	65	.692	at Kendall	Orlando City SC U-13
NYSC			23	2	6	-	5	-	3	5	0.4		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	75	21.3	-0.02	49	.707		New York Soccer Club U-13
TSF			20	3	6	-	2	-	5	3	0.3		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	78	21.7	-0.02	94	.670		TSF Academy U-13
Boca			14	4	3	-	5	-	4	4	0.1		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	85	22.7	-0.20	77	.682	at Florida Surf	Boca United Football Club U-13
Kendall			11	5	3	-	2	-	6	-12	0.0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	40.1	+0.34	43	.196	Orlando City	Kendall SC U-13
Armada			14	4	4	-	2	-	6	-9	0.0								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	37.2	+0.46	104	.175		Armada FC Pro Academy U-13
Revolution			18	3	5	-	3	-	5	-2	0.0								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	27.2	-0.01	64	.363		New England Revolution U-13
Florida Surf	W	Florida Rush 1-0	9	5	2	-	3	-	6	-21	0.0									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0	100	45.6	+0.32	117	.193	Boca	South Florida Surf U-13
Beachside			16	3	5	-	1	-	7	-2	0.0									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	27.9		75	.353		Beachside Soccer Club CT U-13
Lanier			16		5	-	1	-	10	-23	0.0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		100	41.8	+0.02	101	.139		Lanier Soccer Association U-13
NC North			16		4	-	4	-	8	-7	0.0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	33.9	-0.01	66	.204		North Carolina FC Youth North U-13
Carolina			12	1	3	-	3	-	9	-28	0.0											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	37.8	-0.01	87	.163		Carolina Rapids U-13
NC Fusion			17		4	-	5	-	7	-8	0.0											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	32.5	-0.01	79	.204		North Carolina Fusion U-13
Lehigh Valley			13	3	3	-	4	-	6	-11	0.0											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	37.6		85	.156		Lehigh Valley United U-13
North Atlanta			14		3	-	5	-	8	-27	0.0												0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	43.1	+0.03	96	.136		North Atlanta Soccer Association U-13
BW Gotthee			19	1	6	-	1	-	8	-4	Out														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	28.8	-0.01	71	.244		BW Gottschee Academy U-13
Westchester			18	1	5	-	3	-	7	-12	Out															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	30.9	-0.01	81	.120		FC Westchester Armour U-13
Richmond			18		6	-	0	-	10	-23	Out														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	34.7	-0.01	78	.120		Richmond United U-13
Continental			14	2	4	-	2	-	8	-9	Out																0	0	0	0	0	0	100	36.6	-0.01	103	.158		Continental FC DELCO U-13
NEFC			14	2	4	-	2	-	8	-15	Out														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	38.4		84	.129		NEFC U-13
Met Oval			14	2	4	-	2	-	8	-12	Out														0		0	0	0	0	0	0	100	38.9	+0.01	92	.132		Met Oval U-13
Loudoun			11	2	3	-	2	-	9	-19	Out																	0	0	0	0	0	100	39.5		93	.131		Loudoun Soccer U-13
Charlotte			12		4	-	0	-	12	-28	Out															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	40.9	+0.02	88	.139		Charlotte Soccer Academy U-13
World Class			11	2	2	-	5	-	7	-17	Out																		0	0	0	0	100	41.1	+0.02	89	.129		World Class FC U-13
Monmouth			13	3	3	-	4	-	6	-18	Out															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	41.5	+0.02	73	.125		Cedar Stars Academy - Monmouth U-13
Lightning			12	1	4	-	0	-	11	-40	Out														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	42.3	+0.03	90	.135		AFC Lightning U-13
Cosmos			8	4	2	-	2	-	8	-25	Out																	0	0	0	0	0	100	43.0	+0.03	108	.133		New York Cosmos U-13
Oakwood			10	1	3	-	1	-	11	-23	Out																						100	43.8	+0.04	111	.118		Oakwood Soccer Club U-13
Virginia			10		2	-	4	-	10	-23	Out																						100	45.5	+0.06	107	.111		Virginia Development Academy U-13
Florida Rush	L	Florida Surf 0-1	6	3	1	-	3	-	9	-20	Out															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	49.9	-1.37	115	.166	Chargers	Florida Rush Soccer Club U-13
PA Classics			1	2	0	-	1	-	13	-42	Out																						100	51.4	+0.06	121	.131		PA Classics U-13

Week of 1/20
Chargers 0 Weston 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	+0.1
NTRB	+0.1
Bethesda	+0.4
IMG	+0.7		+0.1
Southern	+0.9		+0.1
Seacoast	+0.8		+0.0
ISL	+0.6
Concorde	+0.8		+0.1
Chargers	-6.0		-0.6
PDA	+0.8		+0.1
Boston	+0.7		+0.1
Bergen	+0.4
Weston	-1.0		-0.2
United Futbol	+0.2
DC United	*+0.1
Arlington	+0.2
NC South	+0.1

Florida Surf 1 Florida Rush 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bethesda	*-0.1
Florida Surf			+1.4
Lanier			-0.0
Lehigh Valley	*Out
World Class			-0.0
Monmouth			-0.0
Florida Rush			-0.9

Week of 1/27
IMG vs WestonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bethesda	90.190.690.7		6.96.86.8
IMG	83.970.962.2		7.69.19.9
Southern	67.268.268.3		9.59.39.3
Seacoast	61.362.662.8		10.210.110.1
ISL	55.356.456.4		10.510.410.4
Concorde	35.937.037.1
Chargers	31.032.132.4
PDA	23.224.224.3
Boston	20.421.621.8
Bergen	12.513.213.4
Weston	3.76.013.2		18.617.716.0
United Futbol	5.76.06.1		16.416.416.5
DC United	4.04.34.3		17.717.717.8
Arlington	3.74.04.1		16.716.716.8

Florida Rush vs ChargersHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bethesda	91.190.890.2		6.86.86.9
IMG	76.976.475.3		8.48.58.5
Southern	69.668.967.5		9.39.39.4
Seacoast	64.263.461.6		10.010.010.2
ISL	57.757.155.5		10.310.410.5
Concorde	38.237.636.2		12.112.112.2
Chargers	14.320.033.7		15.414.512.7
PDA	25.124.623.4		13.813.914.0
Boston	22.622.220.8		13.313.413.5
Bergen	14.013.512.7		15.115.215.3
Weston	7.57.47.0		17.517.517.6
United Futbol	6.56.35.8		16.216.316.4
DC United	4.54.44.1		17.617.617.7
Arlington	4.34.13.8		16.616.616.7
NC South	3.33.12.9		18.218.318.4
Florida Rush			48.149.550.0

Florida Surf vs Orlando CityHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orlando City	0.00.10.5		23.322.721.5
NYSC			21.221.221.3
TSF			21.521.621.7
Florida Surf	0.0OutOut		42.344.946.0
Lanier			42.041.941.8
North Atlanta			43.343.243.1
Met Oval			39.038.938.9
Loudoun			39.739.639.5
Charlotte			41.040.940.8
World Class			41.341.241.1
Monmouth			41.741.541.5
Lightning			42.542.342.3
Cosmos			43.243.043.0
Oakwood			44.043.943.8
Virginia			45.745.645.5

Kendall vs Orlando CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orlando City	0.00.10.5		23.322.721.5
NYSC			21.221.221.3
TSF			21.521.621.7
Kendall	0.0OutOut		36.439.240.6
Armada			37.437.337.2
Lanier			42.041.941.8
Carolina			38.037.937.8
Lehigh Valley			37.737.637.5
North Atlanta			43.343.243.1
Richmond			34.934.734.7
Continental			36.836.636.6
NEFC			38.638.438.4
Met Oval			39.138.938.9
Loudoun			39.739.639.5
Charlotte			41.040.940.8
World Class			41.341.241.1
Monmouth			41.741.541.5
Lightning			42.542.342.3
Oakwood			44.043.943.8

Florida Surf vs BocaHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TSF			21.521.621.7
Boca			24.223.622.4
Florida Surf	0.0OutOut		42.445.046.1
Lanier			42.041.941.8
North Atlanta			43.343.243.1
Loudoun			39.739.639.5
Charlotte			41.040.940.8
World Class			41.341.241.1
Monmouth			41.741.541.5
Lightning			42.542.342.3
Cosmos			43.243.043.0
Oakwood			44.043.943.8
Virginia			45.745.545.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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