Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Salt Lake44214-2-223100.0%692172000000001.4-0.012at RGVReal Monarchs SLC
Swope Park38212-4-21599.8-0.018372611521000000002.6-0.026Swope Park Rangers FC
San Antonio37210-1-71899.4-0.011293214732100000003.0-0.031San Antonio FC
Charleston35110-4-51598.128231712853211000003.04at PittsburghCharleston Battery
Charlotte3239-3-51297.0-0.028211612864211000003.23RichmondCharlotte Independence
Louisville3239-3-51296.8+0.027221611864221000003.25Louisville City FC
Tampa Bay318-5-7882.6-0.0481214141211865321005.77Tampa Bay Rowdies
Reno2737-4-61979.5+0.0138161614121075421006.3-0.0311Reno 1868 FC
SacramentoWSeattle 2-02828-6-4679.0+10.8037161615121086421006.4+0.818Sacramento Republic FC
Cincinnati308-6-6677.6+0.03610121313111086432106.210FC Cincinnati
Bethlehem2728-7-3476.9-0.0471011121211986432106.218Bethlehem Steel FC
Rochester2636-3-8274.5+0.047911121211986532106.49TorontoRochester Rhinos
Orange County2266-4-4373.0-0.0138131413111087542106.7-0.0315Orange County SC
Tulsa2538-8-1-170.8-0.1025121414131197642107.1-0.0314Tulsa Roughnecks FC
Phoenix2246-6-4-655.7-0.00137101112121110975208.1-0.0113Phoenix Rising FC
Ottawa2135-6-6040.4+0.0123467910111111109639.220Ottawa Fury FC
RGV2136-8-3-739.4-0.10013681011121212118509.319Salt LakeRio Grande Valley FC
Orlando2225-6-7-136.3-0.0012356810111111119739.512Orlando City B
OKC2226-8-4-535.7-0.1001357911121313129609.521OKC Energy FC
New York247-10-3-933.6+0.00123468101112131210629.728New York Red Bulls II
St Louis1935-8-4-1128.1-0.001124578101112121210610.317Saint Louis FC
Col Springs246-8-6-228.0-0.200023571012131414116010.0+0.0116Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Pittsburgh2215-7-7-426.7+0.00112356810111213139510.324CharlestonPittsburgh Riverhounds
Harrisburg236-9-5-725.2+0.00012346810121313139410.422Harrisburg City Islanders
SeattleLSacramento 0-2237-11-2-1324.8-10.10001357911131415138110.3-0.7123Seattle Sounders FC 2
Vancouver1724-9-5-69.7-0.1000012346811152225411.9+0.0225Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2
Los Angeles1524-11-3-235.1-0.000000112468132136712.6+0.0226Los Angeles Galaxy II
Toronto1423-10-5-173.7+0.000000112346914253613.327at RochesterToronto FC II
Richmond1513-10-6-102.600000011235814254013.529at CharlotteRichmond Kickers
Portland611-15-3-210.00000000001298714.830Portland Timbers 2

Tulsa forfeited its March 25 match to Colorado Springs due to multiple ineligible players.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/22
Cincinnati 3 Harrisburg 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+12.2
+1.0
Ottawa-0.2
Orlando-0.2
New York-0.3
St Louis-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.2
Harrisburg-10.4
-0.8
Tulsa 3 Phoenix 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento-0.3
Orange County-0.3
Tulsa+11.7
+0.8
Phoenix-9.5
-0.7
RGV-0.3
OKC-0.3
Col Springs-0.3
Seattle-0.3
Sacramento 2 Seattle 0
11:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento+11.0
+0.8
Col Springs-0.2
Seattle-10.3
-0.7
Orange County 4 RGV 0
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County+10.7
+0.8
RGV-10.5
-0.7
Col Springs-0.1
OKC 4 Col Springs 3
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OKC+10.5
+0.8
Col Springs-10.6
-0.7
Seattle+0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Charleston 0
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston-0.9
-0.4
Tampa Bay+10.3
+1.0
Cincinnati-1.0
Bethlehem-0.6
Rochester-0.8
Ottawa-1.0
Orlando-1.1
New York-1.1
St Louis-1.0
Pittsburgh-0.9
Harrisburg-1.0
St Louis 1 Louisville 4
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville+3.9
+0.7
Tampa Bay+0.5
Cincinnati+0.6
Bethlehem+0.4
Rochester+0.5
Ottawa+0.6
Orlando+0.6
New York+0.6
St Louis-9.0
-0.8
Pittsburgh+0.5
Harrisburg+0.6
Richmond 3 Bethlehem 2
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.5
Cincinnati+0.5
Bethlehem-6.3
-0.7
Rochester+0.4
Ottawa+0.5
Orlando+0.6
New York+0.6
St Louis+0.5
Pittsburgh+0.5
Harrisburg+0.5
Richmond+1.2
+0.4
Rochester 0 Pittsburgh 0
6:05 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.5
Cincinnati+0.6
Rochester-1.4
-0.2
Ottawa+0.6
Orlando+0.6
New York+0.5
Pittsburgh-3.3
-0.3
Harrisburg+0.5
Reno 1 Portland 1
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno-1.6
-0.2
Sacramento+0.2
Orange County+0.2
Tulsa+0.2
Phoenix+0.2
RGV+0.2
OKC+0.2
Col Springs+0.2
Seattle+0.1
Portland-0.0
San Antonio 2 Salt Lake 2
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Antonio-0.1
RGV vs Salt LakeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV50.736.030.3
8.59.59.9
Pittsburgh vs CharlestonHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston96.6*98.199.5
3.43.12.4
Pittsburgh37.023.318.4
9.410.611.0
Rochester vs TorontoHomeTieAway
7:05 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester83.772.866.5
5.56.67.2
Toronto1.62.76.4
13.813.512.8
Charlotte vs RichmondHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte98.996.895.2
2.63.33.7
Richmond1.11.84.6
13.913.713.0
Week of 7/29
Orlando vs HarrisburgIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orlando48.833.125.9
8.59.710.4
Harrisburg15.922.036.6
11.210.69.4
Col Springs vs SeattleHomeTieAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Col Springs39.824.618.4
9.110.210.7
Seattle15.821.835.8
11.010.59.4
OKC vs RenoHomeTieAway
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno71.478.488.2
7.06.55.6
OKC47.932.325.7
8.69.710.2
Vancouver vs RGVHomeTieAway
3:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV29.736.251.2
10.09.58.4
Vancouver15.47.75.2
11.212.112.4
Tampa Bay vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay91.081.574.8
4.85.96.5
Pittsburgh17.823.337.6
11.110.69.4
Louisville vs New YorkHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville98.996.794.8
2.63.33.7
New York23.930.145.5
10.49.98.7
Cincinnati vs RochesterHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati87.575.968.8
5.36.57.1
Rochester65.873.084.3
7.26.65.4
Charleston vs OrlandoHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston99.598.196.6
2.43.13.5
Orlando27.032.947.9
10.39.88.6
Los Angeles vs OKCHomeTieAway
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OKC26.432.347.2
10.29.78.6
Los Angeles8.63.92.4
12.012.813.1
Ottawa vs TorontoHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa51.837.131.1
8.29.410.0
Toronto1.62.76.4
13.813.512.7
Portland vs RGVHomeTieAway
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV30.336.050.7
9.99.58.5
Phoenix vs San AntonioHomeTieAway
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phoenix66.652.846.7
7.38.38.8
Richmond vs St LouisHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St Louis20.024.938.1
11.010.59.4
Richmond4.71.81.0
13.013.714.0
Salt Lake vs TulsaHomeTieAway
9:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa62.668.580.4
7.77.36.3
Orange County vs VancouverHomeTieAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County82.071.365.2
6.06.97.4
Vancouver5.37.715.3
12.412.111.2
Bethlehem vs CharlotteHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte95.196.898.9
3.73.32.6
Bethlehem85.974.969.1
5.36.47.0
Los Angeles vs Orange CountyHomeTieAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County65.571.281.8
7.46.96.0
Los Angeles8.63.82.4
12.012.813.0
Swope Park vs RenoHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno72.677.887.4
6.96.55.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rob Hoffmann for adding this league.