Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011121314151617Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Cincinnati309-3-31299.3%+0.042251485311000000002.3+0.013.585FC Cincinnati
Louisville2437-3-2797.5+0.1282517117532110000003.0+0.022.559Louisville City FC
Nashville2326-5-2693.4+0.31217181612964321100004.2+0.041.526Nashville SC
Pittsburgh2426-6-11091.5+0.41015171612975321100004.5+0.047.540Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Indy2126-3-4274.6+0.83691113121110865321006.5+0.0610.499Indy Eleven
Charlotte2216-4-4467.6+1.02479111212111086431007.1+0.0716.494Charlotte Independence
Charleston2115-6-3267.5+0.92479111212111086431007.1+0.059.480Charleston Battery
New York IITBethlehem 2-2215-6-4548.8-1.20135791112121110863108.5-0.1018.461New York Red Bulls II
Tampa Bay1825-3-5247.1+1.01235791011111110964108.6+0.0612.458PennTampa Bay Rowdies
BethlehemTNew York II 2-2205-5-5344.1-5.30134681011121211974108.9-0.408.448Bethlehem Steel FC
Penn1814-6-4-131.7+1.10113468911121312107309.8+0.0715.439at Tampa BayPenn FC
Ottawa1524-3-6-819.0+0.300112356810131515136011.0+0.0124.416Ottawa Fury FC
North Carolina1424-2-7010.2+0.300011234581014192012012.0+0.0227.403North Carolina FC
Richmond1324-1-8-106.7+0.30000112346913182418012.5+0.0325.389Richmond Kickers
Atlanta II1112-5-7-121.0+0.1000000011236112254214.1+0.0226.343Atlanta United 2
Toronto II210-2-12-200.00000000000000029716.033.219Toronto FC II

Team names for MLS affiliates were changed due to a site problem that doesn't allow teams in different leagues/same sport to have the same short name.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/16
Toronto II 1 Indy 3
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville-0.4
-0.0
Pittsburgh-0.5
-0.0
Indy+7.4
+0.6
Charlotte-0.7
-0.1
Charleston-0.8
-0.1
New York II-0.8
-0.1
Tampa Bay-0.9
-0.1
Bethlehem-0.9
-0.1
Penn-0.8
-0.1
Ottawa-0.6
North Carolina-0.5
Richmond-0.4
Pittsburgh 3 New York II 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+5.3
+0.6
Indy+0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Charleston+0.1
New York II-6.2
-0.5
Tampa Bay+0.1
Bethlehem+0.1
Penn+0.1
Bethlehem 2 New York II 2
5:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.3
Indy+0.6
Charlotte+0.7
Charleston+0.7
New York II-0.6
-0.1
Tampa Bay+0.7
Bethlehem-4.4
-0.3
Penn+0.7
Ottawa+0.5
North Carolina+0.3
Richmond+0.2
Nashville 1 North Carolina 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville+4.3
+0.5
North Carolina-3.7
-0.4
Charlotte 1 Charleston 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.3
Indy+0.4
Charlotte-3.7
-0.4
Charleston+0.1
-0.0
New York II+0.4
Tampa Bay+0.4
Bethlehem+0.5
Penn+0.4
Ottawa+0.3
North Carolina+0.3
Richmond+0.2
Cincinnati 4 Richmond 0
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+0.9
+0.3
Louisville-0.0
Indy+0.1
Charlotte+0.2
Charleston+0.2
New York II+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.2
Bethlehem+0.2
Penn+0.2
Ottawa+0.0
North Carolina+0.0
Richmond-2.4
-0.3
Louisville 3 Penn 3
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville-0.5
-0.2
Indy+0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Tampa Bay+0.1
Bethlehem+0.1
Penn*-0.1
+0.0
Ottawa*+0.1
Week of 6/22
Tampa Bay vs PennIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New York II48.449.648.6
Tampa Bay55.842.235.4
8.09.09.5
Bethlehem43.844.943.9
Penn25.131.244.3
10.39.88.8
Charlotte vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte75.563.256.2
6.47.48.0
Tampa Bay40.247.160.7
9.18.67.6
New York II vs OttawaHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte67.168.367.9
Charleston67.068.367.8
New York II57.343.236.4
7.98.99.4
Tampa Bay46.547.947.4
Bethlehem43.544.944.4
Penn31.232.432.0
Ottawa14.318.729.2
11.411.010.0
Charleston vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh88.291.495.6
5.04.53.8
Indy74.074.975.1
Charlotte66.968.068.2
Charleston76.564.758.6
6.47.47.9
New York II48.049.249.4
Tampa Bay46.347.447.7
Bethlehem43.344.544.7
Penn31.032.132.2
Richmond vs CharlotteHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy75.175.074.0
6.46.46.5
Charlotte59.665.476.8
7.77.36.3
Charleston68.067.966.8
7.17.17.2
New York II49.449.247.9
Tampa Bay47.647.546.2
Bethlehem44.744.643.2
Penn32.232.130.9
Richmond10.55.63.8
12.012.713.0
Nashville vs IndyHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville96.192.289.3
3.74.44.9
Indy69.774.784.1
6.96.55.5
North Carolina vs LouisvilleHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville96.197.398.8
3.43.12.6
North Carolina15.39.06.8
11.412.112.5
Louisville vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville98.797.095.8
2.63.23.5
Pittsburgh89.291.795.7
4.94.43.7
Toronto II vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati98.599.099.6
2.82.62.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.