Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength6/2
CharlestonLNew York 1-22317-2-21099.1%-0.65221116421100000002.1-0.392.576Charleston Battery
Louisville1544-1-3390.3-0.6161916121076432211004.2+0.023.520Louisville City FC
Tampa Bay216-3-3890.1-0.8111717141197543211004.5-0.016.526Tampa Bay Rowdies
Rochester1253-1-3179.8-1.271213121198765432105.6-0.044.497Rochester Rhinos
Charlotte1153-2-2173.6-1.459111111109876543216.3-0.075.482Charlotte Independence
St Louis1233-3-3-358.5-1.8256891010998865317.7-0.118.456TorontoSaint Louis FC
Ottawa1233-3-3154.7-2.22467899999876428.0-0.1412.456Ottawa Fury FC
Cincinnati1514-4-3154.3-1.51357891010109976418.1-0.0916.459FC Cincinnati
Pittsburgh1514-4-3052.3-2.313578910101010986418.2-0.1518.459Pittsburgh Riverhounds
New YorkWCharleston 2-11414-5-2-240.4+15.712356789101011109639.2+1.4127.445New York Red Bulls II
BethlehemWHarrisburg 3-11224-6-0-139.0+12.5123467891010111010749.3+1.1423.436Bethlehem Steel FC
Orlando1223-4-3-137.0-1.5123456891010111110849.5-0.1117.436Orlando City B
HarrisburgLBethlehem 1-31022-4-4-420.4-13.30112345679111315151011.0-1.2425.407Harrisburg City Islanders
Richmond1012-5-4-48.1-0.8000111234681116252112.5-0.1429.386Richmond Kickers
Toronto711-6-4-102.3-0.300000011224611215213.8-0.0826.343at St LouisToronto FC II

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/27
Orlando 1 Charlotte 3
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte+11.2
+1.0
Cincinnati-0.1
Pittsburgh-0.1
Orlando-10.5
-0.9
New York 2 Charleston 1
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston-0.3
-0.2
Louisville-0.4
Tampa Bay-0.4
Rochester-0.6
Charlotte-0.7
St Louis-0.9
Ottawa-0.9
Cincinnati-1.0
Pittsburgh-0.9
New York+8.9
+0.8
Bethlehem-0.7
-0.1
Orlando-0.9
Harrisburg-0.8
-0.1
Richmond-0.3
-0.1
Ottawa 5 Richmond 3
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester-0.2
Charlotte-0.3
St Louis-0.3
Ottawa+7.7
+0.7
Cincinnati-0.4
Pittsburgh-0.4
New York-0.3
Bethlehem-0.3
Orlando-0.4
Harrisburg-0.3
Richmond-4.3
-0.5
Cincinnati 1 Toronto 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville-0.2
Tampa Bay-0.2
Rochester-0.4
Charlotte-0.5
St Louis-0.5
Ottawa-0.6
Cincinnati+7.3
+0.6
Pittsburgh-0.6
New York-0.5
Bethlehem-0.5
Orlando-0.6
Harrisburg-0.5
Richmond-0.3
Toronto-2.0
-0.3
Bethlehem 3 Harrisburg 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St Louis-0.1
Ottawa-0.1
Cincinnati-0.1
Pittsburgh-0.1
Bethlehem+7.1
+0.7
Orlando-0.1
Harrisburg-6.5
-0.6
Tampa Bay 1 St Louis 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay-1.3
-0.3
Charlotte+0.1
Ottawa+0.1
Cincinnati+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
New York+0.1
Bethlehem+0.1
Orlando+0.1
Harrisburg+0.1
St Louis vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester79.380.280.4
5.65.55.5
Charlotte73.274.174.3
6.36.26.2
St Louis65.353.147.7
7.18.28.6
Ottawa54.155.355.6
Cincinnati53.654.955.2
Pittsburgh51.652.953.2
New York39.841.041.3
Bethlehem38.439.639.9
Orlando36.437.637.9
Harrisburg20.020.921.1
Toronto1.42.24.6
14.013.813.3
Week of 6/3
Pittsburgh vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati54.055.054.2
Pittsburgh60.847.440.8
7.58.69.2
New York40.141.140.3
Orlando30.536.549.6
10.09.58.4
Bethlehem vs OttawaHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa47.553.966.4
8.68.17.0
Bethlehem47.735.028.9
8.69.710.2
Rochester vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
6:05 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester85.276.871.8
5.05.96.4
Cincinnati47.954.267.0
8.68.17.0
Pittsburgh52.452.751.7
New York40.540.839.8
Orlando vs RochesterHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester74.379.186.8
6.25.74.8
St Louis58.159.058.7
Cincinnati53.954.854.5
Pittsburgh51.852.852.5
New York40.040.940.6
Orlando46.333.728.3
8.79.810.2
Richmond vs New YorkHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte74.074.073.1
St Louis58.958.957.7
Ottawa55.155.153.9
Cincinnati54.754.753.5
Pittsburgh52.752.751.5
New York32.738.251.2
9.99.38.3
Bethlehem39.439.438.3
Orlando37.437.536.2
Richmond12.06.54.6
12.012.813.1
Charlotte vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay86.789.994.9
5.04.53.7
Charlotte80.670.966.0
5.56.57.0
Louisville vs CharlotteHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville93.788.685.4
3.74.54.9
Charlotte69.0*73.782.7
6.86.35.3
Charleston vs LouisvilleHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston99.698.998.3
1.82.22.5
Louisville88.090.594.7
4.64.23.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.