Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
Charlotte3239-3-51299.8%3527209521000000002.43.579RichmondCharlotte Independence
Charleston35110-4-51599.825292412631000000002.64.573at PittsburghCharleston Battery
Louisville3239-3-51299.83528199521000000002.35.579Louisville City FC
Tampa Bay318-5-7891.6-0.0151119201712742110005.47.502Tampa Bay Rowdies
Rochester2636-3-8287.9+0.0251016181613853210005.79.495TorontoRochester Rhinos
Cincinnati308-6-6687.1-0.0137151818151064210006.010.489FC Cincinnati
Bethlehem2728-7-3483.2-0.0137131617161175311006.318.488Bethlehem Steel FC
Orlando2225-6-7-134.0+0.0001236913141413119319.512.421Orlando City B
Ottawa2135-6-6032.8+0.00012469121414131210419.620.425Ottawa Fury FC
St Louis1935-8-4-1123.7+0.000012461012131415146210.317.397Saint Louis FC
Harrisburg236-9-5-721.9-0.000012361013151616145110.322.402Harrisburg City Islanders
New York247-10-3-918.9+0.00001135912151717155110.528.414New York Red Bulls II
Pittsburgh2215-7-7-418.9-0.00001235811141517176110.624.405CharlestonPittsburgh Riverhounds
Toronto1423-10-5-170.400000000112410354614.127.314at RochesterToronto FC II
Richmond1513-10-6-100.200000000012410364714.229.314at CharlotteRichmond Kickers

Tulsa forfeited its March 25 match to Colorado Springs due to multiple ineligible players.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/22
Tampa Bay 2 Charleston 0
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston-0.3
Tampa Bay+8.9
+0.8
Rochester-0.5
Cincinnati-1.1
-0.1
Bethlehem-0.4
Orlando-1.3
Ottawa-1.1
St Louis-1.2
Harrisburg-1.2
New York-1.0
Pittsburgh-0.9
Cincinnati 3 Harrisburg 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+8.7
+0.6
Orlando-0.2
Ottawa-0.2
St Louis-0.2
Harrisburg-7.7
-0.5
New York-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.1
St Louis 1 Louisville 4
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte-0.1
Charleston-0.1
Louisville+0.7
+0.4
Tampa Bay+0.9
Rochester+0.5
Cincinnati+0.9
Bethlehem+0.5
Orlando+1.1
+0.1
Ottawa+1.0
+0.1
St Louis-8.1
-0.6
Harrisburg+1.0
+0.1
New York+0.8
+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.7
+0.1
Richmond 3 Bethlehem 2
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.5
+0.1
Rochester+0.3
+0.1
Cincinnati+0.6
+0.1
Bethlehem-5.4
-0.7
Orlando+0.7
Ottawa+0.7
St Louis+0.7
Harrisburg+0.7
New York+0.5
Pittsburgh+0.6
Toronto-0.1
Richmond+0.2
Rochester 0 Pittsburgh 0
6:05 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.3
Rochester-2.2
-0.3
Cincinnati+0.3
Orlando+0.4
Ottawa+0.4
St Louis+0.4
Harrisburg+0.4
New York+0.3
Pittsburgh-0.5
-0.0
Pittsburgh vs CharlestonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston99.699.8100.0
3.02.72.3
Orlando32.634.434.9
9.69.59.5
Ottawa31.533.133.6
9.79.69.6
Harrisburg20.822.122.6
10.410.310.3
Pittsburgh28.416.712.8
9.910.811.1
Rochester vs TorontoHomeTieAway
7:05 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester91.784.479.8
5.36.16.5
Toronto0.20.31.1
14.314.113.7
Charlotte vs RichmondHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte99.999.799.5
2.12.62.8
Richmond0.10.20.8
14.314.113.7
Week of 7/29
Orlando vs HarrisburgIf winner is:HomeTieAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orlando43.928.421.1
8.99.910.4
Harrisburg14.621.035.9
10.810.39.3
Charleston vs OrlandoHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston100.099.799.4
2.32.83.1
Cincinnati87.6*87.185.7
Bethlehem83.883.281.5
Orlando28.534.449.6
9.99.58.5
Ottawa33.632.830.5
9.69.69.8
St Louis24.423.721.8
10.310.310.4
Harrisburg22.621.819.9
10.310.310.4
New York19.618.817.2
10.510.510.6
Pittsburgh19.518.817.1
10.610.610.7
Ottawa vs TorontoHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem82.483.984.4
6.36.26.2
Orlando32.935.135.7
9.69.59.5
Ottawa40.126.621.6
9.110.110.5
St Louis22.924.525.1
10.410.310.3
Harrisburg20.922.723.3
10.410.310.3
New York18.119.620.1
10.610.510.5
Pittsburgh18.119.620.0
10.710.610.6
Toronto0.10.31.0
14.314.113.7
Tampa Bay vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay95.589.484.5
5.05.86.2
Pittsburgh13.818.431.2
11.010.69.7
Louisville vs New YorkHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville99.999.799.4
2.12.62.8
Bethlehem83.683.281.9
Orlando34.634.032.2
9.59.59.7
Ottawa33.432.831.0
9.69.69.8
St Louis24.2*23.722.2
10.310.310.5
Harrisburg22.4*21.920.2
10.310.310.5
New York14.619.132.1
10.910.59.5
Richmond vs St LouisHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orlando35.134.532.6
9.59.59.6
Ottawa33.833.331.4
9.69.69.7
St Louis16.620.833.2
10.910.59.6
Harrisburg22.722.320.8
10.310.310.4
New York19.719.317.8
10.510.510.6
Richmond0.50.10.1
13.914.314.4
Cincinnati vs RochesterHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester83.888.394.4
6.25.74.9
Cincinnati92.984.779.5
5.46.36.8
Bethlehem vs CharlotteHomeTieAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte99.799.8100.0
2.72.42.0
Bethlehem90.481.676.6
5.66.56.9
Orlando32.934.335.0
9.69.59.5
Ottawa31.833.033.7
9.79.69.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.