Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
LouisvilleWRochester 2-154216-5-625In9810001.0+0.092.632Louisville City FC
CharlotteLCharleston 0-348113-6-916In145291771002.9-0.357.554Charlotte Independence
CharlestonWCharlotte 3-047113-7-816100.0%+0.00353421910003.1+0.676.544Charleston Battery
RochesterLLouisville 1-243211-6-10599.8-0.101021312872100004.1-0.469.519Rochester Rhinos
Tampa Bay41311-7-81198.9+0.109162432115210004.5+0.0510.513Tampa Bay Rowdies
Cincinnati39110-9-9077.3+0.100272624191273107.413.463FC Cincinnati
Bethlehem35310-11-5-171.5+0.30141021191612863007.5+0.0117.450Bethlehem Steel FC
New York38111-12-5-465.5+0.4001517212016116107.8+0.0222.453New York Red Bulls II
Orlando3618-8-12240.7-1.0002813172018137108.9-0.0411.433Orlando City B
Pittsburgh3518-9-11-420.3+0.5003610162021184010.0+0.0416.422Pittsburgh Riverhounds
St Louis3419-12-7-1018.3-0.100369142023176110.119.412Saint Louis FC
Ottawa3227-9-11-27.6-0.300124813183022211.2-0.0321.405Ottawa Fury FC
Harrisburg318-14-7-180.1-0.000013822597012.6-0.0123.370Harrisburg City Islanders
Richmond2616-14-8-110.000001883714.027.331Richmond Kickers
Toronto225-17-7-25Out079314.928.281Toronto FC II

Tulsa forfeited its March 25 match to Colorado Springs due to multiple ineligible players.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/16
Cincinnati 4 New York 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay-0.2
Cincinnati+19.7
+0.9
Bethlehem-1.5
New York-13.4
-0.7
Orlando-1.7
Pittsburgh-1.2
St Louis-0.9
Ottawa-0.7
St Louis 2 Orlando 0
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay+0.2
Cincinnati+2.0
Bethlehem+1.2
New York+1.4
+0.1
Orlando-15.9
-0.7
Pittsburgh+1.2
St Louis+9.1
+0.8
Ottawa+0.6
Harrisburg-0.1
Pittsburgh 1 Rochester 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte+0.0
Charleston+0.0
Rochester-0.1
Tampa Bay+0.0
Cincinnati+1.3
+0.1
Bethlehem+1.0
New York+1.0
Orlando+1.3
+0.1
Pittsburgh-5.5
-0.2
St Louis+0.3
+0.0
Ottawa+0.3
+0.0
Charlotte 1 Ottawa 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte*In
-0.2
Rochester+0.1
Cincinnati+0.3
+0.0
Bethlehem+0.1
New York+0.1
Orlando+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
St Louis-0.0
Ottawa-0.6
+0.0
Charleston 1 Richmond 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston+0.5
+0.4
Rochester-0.1
Tampa Bay-0.1
Harrisburg+0.1
Richmond-0.2
Louisville 2 Rochester 1
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Louisville+0.1
Charleston+0.1
Rochester-0.3
Tampa Bay+0.1
Harrisburg 2 Toronto 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St Louis-0.1
Ottawa-0.1
Harrisburg+0.4
Toronto-0.1
Charleston 3 Charlotte 0
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte-0.3
Charleston+0.5
Week of 9/23
Bethlehem vs PittsburghIf winner is:HomeTieAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati77.079.076.4
7.47.37.3
Bethlehem86.165.449.4
6.77.88.6
New York65.267.264.6
7.97.87.8
Orlando39.642.940.5
8.98.89.0
Pittsburgh8.618.244.3
10.610.18.8
St Louis17.520.018.2
10.110.110.3
Orlando vs CharlestonHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston3.43.22.6
Cincinnati73.378.480.5
7.57.37.2
Bethlehem67.672.474.5
7.67.47.4
New York60.066.869.9
8.07.87.7
Orlando62.134.824.1
8.09.29.7
Pittsburgh17.121.522.6
10.210.09.9
St Louis15.619.020.4
10.310.110.0
Ottawa6.28.08.6
11.311.211.1
St Louis vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati62.077.996.0
8.17.46.4
New York65.767.264.1
7.87.87.9
Orlando*40.642.439.5
9.08.88.9
Pittsburgh20.221.619.5
10.19.99.9
St Louis33.710.64.7
9.210.511.0
Bethlehem vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
3:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay97.899.2100.0
5.14.63.8
Cincinnati75.377.879.4
7.57.37.3
Bethlehem86.067.457.1
6.67.78.3
New York62.766.568.2
7.97.87.8
Orlando37.641.343.9
9.08.98.8
Pittsburgh17.921.022.7
10.110.09.9
St Louis16.219.020.2
10.210.110.1
Charlotte vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte2.63.13.4
Cincinnati69.178.595.1
7.87.46.3
Bethlehem72.871.168.8
7.47.57.7
New York67.465.061.8
7.77.98.0
Orlando42.340.337.1
8.98.99.1
Pittsburgh21.4*20.317.9
10.010.010.1
St Louis19.818.215.0
10.110.110.2
Ottawa8.27.86.0
11.211.211.3
Ottawa vs LouisvilleHomeTieAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati75.277.978.3
7.47.37.3
Bethlehem69.971.772.2
7.57.57.4
New York63.665.866.5
7.97.87.8
Orlando38.741.041.6
9.18.98.9
Ottawa17.65.83.0
10.311.311.7
Harrisburg vs OttawaHomeTieAway
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati78.378.075.5
7.37.37.4
Bethlehem72.271.870.1
7.47.47.5
New York66.565.963.8
7.87.87.9
Orlando41.641.139.0
8.98.99.0
Ottawa2.75.316.5
11.911.310.2
Harrisburg0.30.0Out
12.112.813.1
Tampa Bay vs CharlotteHomeTieAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte3.32.82.4
Tampa Bay99.9*98.997.5
3.94.85.2
Richmond vs RochesterHomeTieAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rochester99.499.8100.0
4.74.43.7
Richmond13.714.014.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.