Toronto FC Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 58.3%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Toronto FC-7.0-1.8+8.2
-0.8-0.2+0.9
-1.4-0.6+1.8
+1.5+0.3-1.7
-0.6-0.2+0.7
LA Galaxy vs Chicago+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Montreal+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs New England+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1-0.0
Colorado vs Portland-0.0+0.1-0.0
Houston vs RSL-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Sporting KC-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Montreal+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Columbus-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Orlando-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Colorado-0.0+0.1-0.0
RSL vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Portland-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC Dallas vs LA Galaxy-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
81-102In100.0%100No74,141*
8025-5-4In99.91000No3,017*
7925-4-5In99.9100No5,295*
7824-6-4In99.91000No9,427*
7724-5-5In99.91000No15,988*
7623-7-4In99.81000No26,597*
7523-6-5In99.81000No43,906*
7423-5-6In99.71000No70,620*
7322-7-5In99.510000No111,559*
7222-6-6In99.21000No172,906*
7122-5-7In98.6991No262,976*
7021-7-6In97.89910No391,819*
6921-6-7In96.89910No572,362*
6820-8-6In95.09820No823,988*
6720-7-7In92.597300No1,165,303*
6620-6-8In89.195500No1,614,235*
6519-8-7In84.4937000No2,206,562*
6419-7-8In78.19010000No2,958,403*
6319-6-9In70.18614100No3,905,240*
6218-8-8In60.580181000No5,067,006*
6118-7-9In49.77424200No6,465,655*
6018-6-10In38.066304000No8,105,976*
5917-8-9In26.756357100No10,002,595*
5817-7-10In16.84640122000No12,142,590*
5716-9-9In9.23643183000No14,512,957*
5616-8-10100.0%4.226422461000No17,061,281*
5516-7-11100.01.51738301120000No19,718,574*
5415-9-10100.00.41132341851000No22,439,856*
5315-8-11100.00.16233525920000No25,117,621*
5215-7-1299.90.031531301651000No27,672,183*
5114-9-1199.70.01823322392000No29,996,150*
5014-8-1298.90.00415292917510000No31,997,933*
4914-7-1396.7No0182130241130000No33,571,614*
4813-9-1291.6No0041326291971000No34,642,641*
4713-8-1382.0No0017192926144100No35,184,919*
4613-7-1467.4No0003112430229200No35,146,219*
4512-9-1349.6No0001516282816510No34,517,415*
4412-8-1432.0No000282131251120No33,370,419*
4311-10-1317.8No0001413273118510.0%31,689,238*
4211-9-148.5No0000172032271120.029,603,575*
4111-8-153.5No000031328331940.027,165,213*
4010-10-141.2No0001722352780.224,525,384*
3910-9-150.4No00003143336140.821,741,338*
3810-8-160.1No000182741222.618,943,016*
379-10-150.0No00042043326.616,200,345*
369-9-160.0No000214424213.513,615,741*
359-8-170.0No00019375323.211,240,083*
348-10-160.0No0005316334.89,089,025*
338-9-170.0No0003257247.27,210,766*
328-8-18OutNo001198059.15,611,084*
317-10-17OutNo001148669.54,283,873*
307-9-18OutNo00109078.13,201,984*
297-8-19OutNo0079384.92,346,477*
286-10-18OutNo0049689.81,677,383*
276-9-19OutNo039793.31,177,313*
266-8-20OutNo029895.8807,592*
255-10-19OutNo019997.4538,269*
245-9-20OutNo19998.4352,489*
235-8-21OutNo010099.1225,003*
225-7-22OutNo010099.5138,683*
214-9-21OutNo010099.683,713*
204-8-22OutNo010099.849,383*
194-7-23OutNo010099.927,836*
183-9-22OutNo0100100.015,629*
0-17OutNo100100.087,617*
Total:58.3%4.2%8888888888884.2%682,816,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCNew EnglandDC UnitedAtlantaChicagoNY Red BullsPhiladelphiaMontrealOrlandoColumbusCincinnati
68-10212.5%Yes
6720-7-712.51000
6620-6-812.51000000
6519-8-712.5100000000000
6419-7-812.510000000000000
6319-6-912.510000000000000
6218-8-812.510000000000000
6118-7-912.510000000000000
6018-6-1012.510000000000000
5917-8-912.49900000000000
18-5-1112.59900000000000
5817-7-1012.49800000000000
16-10-812.49800000000000
5716-9-912.29600000000000
17-6-1112.39700000000000
5616-8-1012.09311111111111
17-5-1212.19311111111111
5516-7-1111.78711111111111
15-10-911.68611111111111
5415-9-1010.97622222222222
16-6-1211.17822222222222
14-12-811.07622222222222
5315-8-1110.16433333333333
14-11-910.06233333333333
16-5-1310.26533333333333
5215-7-129.04944444444444
14-10-108.84744444444444
16-4-149.04944444444444
5114-9-117.53255555555555
15-6-137.73555555555555
13-12-97.43155555555555
5014-8-126.12055555555555
13-11-105.81855555555555
15-5-146.22055555555555
4914-7-134.61055555555555
13-10-114.3955555555555
4813-9-122.9444444444444
14-6-143.0444444444444
4713-8-131.8122222222222
12-11-111.7122222222222
4613-7-140.9011111111111
4512-9-130.4011111111111
4412-8-140.1000000000000
4312-7-150.0000000000000
4211-9-140.0000000000000
4111-8-150.0000000000000
4011-7-160.000000000000
3911-6-170.000000000000
3810-8-16No0000000
0-37No
Total:4.2%25.01.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Toronto FC+1.2+0.3-1.4
San Jose vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Chicago-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1+0.0
New England vs Columbus+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
85-102100
8427-3-41000
81-83100
8025-5-410000
7925-4-51000
7824-6-410000
7724-5-510000
7623-7-410000
7523-6-510000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-599000
7222-6-69910
7122-5-79911
7021-7-698110
6921-6-797210
6820-8-6953200
6720-7-79343000
6620-6-88965000
6519-8-784970000
6419-7-87812100000
6319-6-970161301000
6218-8-8612018010000
6118-7-950242312000
6018-6-10382828240000
5917-8-92730324701000
5817-7-101730337120200000
5716-9-99273111171300000
5616-8-1042225172226010000
5516-7-1121617212651102000000
5415-9-1001092324101715010000
5315-8-11064201816223902000000
5215-7-120311410212281515010000
5114-9-11010842017152039020000
5014-8-1200041149202191615010000
4914-7-1300108319141620411030000
4813-9-12000040136201911172710000
4713-8-13000107217111820613410000
4613-7-1400000301042016141910300000
4512-9-1300001051158201919930000
4412-8-14000002082191322191031000
4311-10-13000010401361725201031000
4211-9-140000010728192621113100
4111-8-15000003031021272110300
4010-10-140000101412232821920
3910-9-15000000151426291861
3810-8-16000000016183028143
379-10-150000002102433247
369-9-16000001416323413
359-8-1700000029264023
348-10-16000004194235
338-9-1700002123947
328-8-1800173359
317-10-1700042770
307-9-180022078
297-8-190011485
286-10-18001090
276-9-1900793
266-8-2000496
255-10-190397
245-9-200298
235-8-210199
225-7-220199
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
194-7-230100
183-9-220100
173-8-230100
163-7-240100
152-9-230100
0-14100
Total:444444444444444444444444