How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
San Jose 2 Columbus 1 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 FC Dallas 1 -0.1
+1.2
Chicago 4 New England 1 -3.5
-0.1
DC United 1 Toronto FC 1 -3.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 1 Atlanta 1 +0.8
+0.0
NYCFC 3 NY Red Bulls 2 -0.7
Colorado 2 Vancouver 2 +0.2
Real Salt Lake 0 Houston 0 +0.2
Minnesota 0 Seattle 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC vs Portland+0.4+0.0-0.4
+12.1-3.0-9.8
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Montreal vs Chicago-0.1+0.0+0.1
+3.7+1.4-4.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Chicago-0.1+0.0+0.1
+3.7+1.4-4.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.8+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
New England vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.0
+0.2+0.1-0.3
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando-0.9+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Los Angeles vs NYCFC+2.2+0.9-2.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Colorado-1.0+0.4+0.7
Seattle vs Sporting KC+0.3+0.5-0.7
Houston vs San Jose-0.2+0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-77InYes100No81,053*
7410-0-1In100.0%1000No51,339
739-2-0In100.01000No147,779
729-1-1In99.91000No388,323
718-3-0In99.91000No593,514*
708-2-1In99.81000No1,329,691
698-1-2In99.49910No2,264,242*
687-3-1In99.09910No3,463,179*
677-2-2In97.99820No5,867,485*
667-1-3In95.99640No4,664,623
6-4-1In96.59730No3,588,559
656-3-2In93.494600No9,439,783
7-0-4In93.294600No1,947,652*
646-2-3In88.6891000No12,416,085
5-5-1In89.791900No3,275,086
635-4-2In82.6851500No10,768,179
6-1-4In81.7831610No8,384,805*
625-3-3In73.07623100No18,878,784
6-0-5In72.87523100No2,147,340
4-6-1In74.8782110No2,077,325
615-2-4In61.16532300No18,615,006
4-5-2In62.66730300No8,277,644*
604-4-3In48.15539600No17,940,076
5-1-5In47.95340600No10,691,934*
594-3-4In33.5414612100No23,597,881
3-6-2In35.144451010No4,152,090
5-0-6In34.141461210No2,167,707*
584-2-5In20.4284920200No18,610,458
3-5-3In21.1304919200No11,174,440*
573-4-4In10.4184729500No17,942,156
4-1-6In10.7184730600No9,507,964*
563-3-5100.0%4.110403811100No18,875,856
2-6-3100.04.410413811100No5,727,121*
553-2-6100.01.24284321300No12,410,008
2-5-4100.01.25304319300No8,444,486*
542-4-5100.00.221842317000No10,771,952
3-1-7100.00.22174132800No5,565,616*
532-3-699.90.008324117200No9,446,375
1-6-4100.00.009344015200No2,863,246*
522-2-799.50.003194130700No5,320,874
1-5-599.70.003224327500No3,360,021*
511-4-698.2No0110353914200No3,590,884
2-1-897.70.0019334016200No1,975,645*
501-3-792.9No0032142277100No3,370,690*
491-2-880.5No019333817300No1,875,152*
480-4-760.8No0031939299100No903,275*
470-3-837.6No01829382040No387,232*
460-2-917.5No021537331110No147,966
450-1-106.7No01626402440No39,009
440-0-111.9No02143736110No41,894
Total:99.5%39.4%43281683100000No329,569,484

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/5100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 New England 1 +0.2
DC United 1 Toronto FC 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 1 Atlanta 1 -0.0
NYCFC 3 NY Red Bulls 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC vs Portland-0.7+0.1+0.6
Los Angeles vs NYCFC-0.1-0.0+0.2
Columbus vs Chicago-0.1-0.1+0.2
Montreal vs Chicago-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
75-77100
7410-0-11000
739-2-010000
729-1-110000
718-3-010000
708-2-110000
698-1-299010
687-3-199010
677-2-298020
667-1-396040
6-4-197030
656-3-29316000
7-0-4930600
646-2-389110000
5-5-19019000
635-4-283215000
6-1-482216010
625-3-37332301000
6-0-5732230100
4-6-175321010
615-2-4614320300
4-5-2635300300
604-4-34873906000
5-1-54864006000
594-3-4338460120100
3-6-235945010010
5-0-634746012010
584-2-5208481200200
3-5-32194811902000
573-4-41084532905000
4-1-61174422906000
563-3-545355380110100
2-6-346365370110100
553-2-6132174212103000
2-5-4142284211903000
542-4-50110838431070000
3-1-7011073733208000
532-3-600352573911702000
1-6-40036277391150200
522-2-700021183742907000
1-5-5001312103852705000
511-4-6001372510372140200
2-1-8000136248382160200
501-3-70000310113572707100
491-2-800127211235316300
480-4-700003712309299100
470-3-800117151434226100
460-2-9002411263418410
450-1-1000116123031154100
440-0-11002417312914300
Total:39426215170301000000000