Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Toronto FC Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.1 to 53.2%
2 points   0-2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.6
+0.1
-0.2
-0.2
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.4
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
+0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.2
-0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.5-0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-4.7-0.1+10.6
-0.5-0.0+1.2
-0.9-0.2+2.1
+1.0-0.2-1.9
-0.3-0.0+0.8
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.4-0.0-1.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4*-0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
76-98In100.0%100No41,435*
7523-4-5In99.81000No3,555*
7422-6-4In99.61000No6,781*
7322-5-5In99.71000No11,861*
7221-7-4In99.41000No20,209*
7121-6-5In99.11000No34,336*
7021-5-6In98.61000No56,687*
6920-7-5In97.7991No92,082*
6820-6-6In96.69910No145,364*
6719-8-5In94.69820No224,128*
6619-7-6In91.99730No340,158*
6519-6-7In88.195500No505,724*
6418-8-6In82.993700No735,951*
6318-7-7In76.3901000No1,042,440*
6218-6-8In67.8861410No1,452,033*
6117-8-7In57.78019100No1,985,163*
6017-7-8In46.47324200No2,654,238*
5916-9-7In34.765314000No3,478,498*
5816-8-8100.0%23.6553771000No4,466,861*
5716-7-9100.014.34541121000No5,624,342*
5615-9-8100.07.43444183000No6,941,491*
5515-8-9100.03.22443256100No8,395,986*
5415-7-10100.01.1163932112000No9,953,469*
5314-9-9100.00.393136184000No11,574,807*
5214-8-1099.90.0522362691000No13,193,823*
5114-7-1199.50.021432321640000No14,737,342*
5013-9-1098.30.01723342492000No16,147,401*
4913-8-1195.1No03143031164100No17,326,112*
4812-10-1088.2No017223325102000No18,218,254*
4712-9-1176.0No003132832185100No18,788,489*
4612-8-1259.0No001620322711200No18,979,637*
4511-10-1140.1No000211273320610No18,795,017*
4411-9-1223.4No000151832291330No18,226,573*
4311-8-1311.6No000210263422610.0%17,326,057*
4210-10-124.8No000141733311320.016,113,789*
4110-9-131.7No0002927362240.014,681,560*
4010-8-140.5No000419373190.213,106,451*
399-10-130.1No0002113239160.811,430,738*
389-9-140.0No00162544252.59,766,478*
379-8-150.0No00031744366.58,163,815*
368-10-140.0No00111414713.26,673,001*
358-9-150.0No0006355822.85,328,233*
348-8-16OutNo003286834.34,155,883*
337-10-15OutNo002227746.73,168,944*
327-9-16OutNo001168458.62,355,500*
317-8-17OutNo00118969.11,710,952*
306-10-16OutNo0079377.81,210,858*
296-9-17OutNo059584.6836,692*
286-8-18OutNo039789.7561,773*
275-10-17OutNo0029893.3367,535*
265-9-18OutNo019995.7234,453*
255-8-19OutNo019997.3143,691*
244-10-18OutNo010098.386,270*
234-9-19OutNo010099.150,624*
224-8-20OutNo010099.528,477*
213-10-19OutNo010099.715,323*
2-20OutNo100100.052,920*
Total:53.2%3.1%78991010101010983.5%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpactCrew
66-9812.5%Yes
6519-6-712.510000
6418-8-612.510000
6318-7-712.5100000000000
6218-6-812.51000000000000
6117-8-712.51000000000000
6017-7-812.51000000000000
5916-9-712.51000000000000
5816-8-812.5990000000000
17-5-1012.5990000000000
5716-7-912.4980000000000
15-10-712.4990000000000
5615-9-812.3970000000000
16-6-1012.4970000000000
5515-8-912.2931111111000
14-11-712.2931111111000
5415-7-1011.9872222211111
14-10-811.9872222211111
5314-9-911.3763333322221
15-6-1111.4783333322221
13-12-711.4773333322221
5214-8-1010.4634444433332
13-11-810.5624444443332
15-5-1210.6654444433322
5114-7-119.3486666654443
13-10-99.2466666654443
12-13-79.4486666654443
5013-9-107.6307777765554
14-6-127.8327777765554
12-12-87.7317777765454
4913-8-115.9177777765554
12-11-95.8167777765554
14-5-136.1197777765554
4812-10-104.086666655444
13-7-124.296666655544
11-13-84.286766655454
4712-9-112.534555544333
13-6-132.635555544333
4612-8-121.413333332222
11-11-101.413333332222
4511-10-110.601222211111
4411-9-120.201111111000
4311-8-130.100000000000
4210-10-120.000000000000
4110-9-130.000000000000
4010-8-140.00000000000
399-10-130.00000000000
389-9-140.00000000000
3710-5-17No00
2-36No
Total:4.2%24.22.12.32.22.32.21.91.71.51.51.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.7-0.0-1.6
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0
Orlando vs Union+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
77-98100
7623-5-41000
7523-4-510000
7422-6-410000
7322-5-510000
7221-7-49900
7121-6-59910
7021-5-69910
6920-7-59821
6820-6-697210
6719-8-5953200
6619-7-6925300
6519-6-78875000
6418-8-683107000
6318-7-7761410000
6218-6-8681814010
6117-8-758231801000
6017-7-846272312000
5916-9-7353028240000
5816-8-824323247010000
5716-7-9143133812010000
5615-9-87273014171300000
5515-8-93212419233601000
5415-7-101151524266110200000
5314-9-9098242412171400000
5214-8-100531918192249010000
5114-7-1102113922239151400000
5013-9-1001073201717213902000
4913-8-110031149212291614100
4812-10-100010731916172141020000
4712-9-11000301272121111761000
4612-8-120001062181419221441000
4511-10-11000002011521202313410000
4411-9-1200001051161224231341000
4311-8-13000020951626241341000
4210-10-12000010417192724134100
4110-9-130000202920282412300
4010-8-14000000310232922920
399-10-1300000141326301961
389-9-140000016173029143
379-8-15000000292434246
368-10-1400001415333413
358-9-15000018274123
348-8-160004194234
337-10-150002124047
327-9-1600173459
317-8-170042769
306-10-160022078
296-9-17011585
286-8-18001090
275-10-1700793
265-9-1800496
255-8-190397
244-10-180298
234-9-19199
224-8-200100
213-10-190100
203-9-200100
193-8-210100
2-18100
Total:3444455555555555555443