Toronto FC Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 58.2%
18 points   5-3-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 4 RSL 0 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 2 Chicago 0 +0.8
+0.0
Montreal 0 Orlando 3 -0.5
+0.1
Minnesota 2 Philadelphia 3 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Columbus 2 NYCFC 2 +0.5
LA Galaxy 1 New England 2 -0.2
+0.1
DC United 1 San Jose 1 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Colorado 3 Cincinnati 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Toronto FC vs Sporting KC+7.2-5.8-11.4
+0.5-0.5-0.8
-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.4-0.3-0.7
Montreal vs Seattle-2.0+0.6+1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Cincinnati-0.3+0.5+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7820-0-0In98.1%1000No925,439
74-76In89.4100No642*
7318-1-1In81.21000No1,742
7217-3-0In76.31000No3,591*
7117-2-1In68.31000No11,722
7017-1-2In60.3991No27,807*
6916-3-1In52.59910No64,222*
6816-2-2In43.79820No153,652*
6715-4-1In35.29730No314,747*
6615-3-2In27.295500No653,671*
6515-2-3In20.092800No1,304,189*
6414-4-2In13.8871200No2,412,413*
6314-3-3In8.9811810No4,429,264*
6214-2-4In5.274242000No7,736,905*
6113-4-3In2.76432400No12,927,373*
6013-3-4In1.254397000No21,197,990*
5912-5-3In0.5424413100No33,202,199*
5812-4-4In0.13046203000No50,260,877*
5712-3-5In0.02045296000No74,189,738*
5611-5-4In0.012383612100No105,218,045*
5511-4-5100.0%0.062940204000No144,844,497*
5411-3-6100.00.031939298100No193,668,881*
5310-5-5100.00.01113337163000No249,897,833*
5210-4-6100.0No052339267100No313,266,369*
5110-3-799.9No02133435142000No380,996,663*
509-5-699.5No0162539235000No448,113,968*
499-4-798.4No00215363312200No512,068,129*
488-6-695.3No00182839214000No567,215,785*
478-5-789.1No000318383110100No608,326,405*
468-4-878.8No00019313818300No633,307,475*
457-6-764.5No00042139287000No638,604,446*
447-5-848.0No000112343714100No623,322,870*
437-4-932.0No0006264124300No589,920,263*
426-6-818.8No0002164034700No540,150,222*
416-5-99.6No0019334314100.0%478,269,224*
406-4-104.2No0004244723300.0409,852,030*
395-6-91.6No002144533600.0339,068,322*
385-5-100.5No000838421110.0270,794,918*
375-4-110.1No000328481920.1208,664,568*
364-6-100.0No00118482940.6154,872,018*
354-5-110.0No00010433881.8110,520,770*
344-4-120.0No00053546144.875,816,680*
333-6-110.0No00225502210.349,861,431*
323-5-120.0No00117503218.831,351,954*
313-4-13OutNo0010464429.918,842,101*
302-6-12OutNo006395542.710,772,811*
292-5-13OutNo03316655.85,838,645*
282-4-14OutNo01237667.82,994,400*
271-6-13OutNo00168478.01,440,144*
261-5-14OutNo0109085.9646,519*
251-4-15OutNo069491.6268,124*
241-3-16OutNo039795.2102,100*
230-5-15OutNo029897.635,021*
220-4-16OutNo19998.810,368*
210-3-17OutNo010099.52,778*
19-20OutNo100Yes575*
180-0-20OutNo0100100.0925,441
Total:58.2%0.0%135811141616148310.4%8,929,690,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaPhiladelphiaDC UnitedNY Red BullsNYCFCMontrealOrlandoChicagoColumbusNew EnglandCincinnati
67-7812.5%Yes
6615-3-212.61000
6515-2-312.5100000
6414-4-212.5100000000000
6314-3-312.5100000000000
6214-2-412.51000000000000
6113-4-312.510000000000000
6013-3-412.510000000000000
5912-5-312.49900000000000
5812-4-412.49700111000000
5712-3-512.29411111000000
11-6-312.19311211000000
5611-5-411.88712333111000
12-2-611.88712332111000
5511-4-511.27633544211000
10-7-311.27533555211000
5411-3-610.36245777322000
10-6-410.26145877322000
5310-5-59.0456710109433000
11-2-79.0456710109433000
9-8-38.94367111010443000
5210-4-67.52978121211544000
9-7-47.42778131212544000
11-1-87.52878121212544000
5110-3-75.91679131212644100
9-6-55.81578131212654000
8-9-35.71478131312654000
509-5-64.2778121211644100
10-2-84.3778121111644100
8-8-44.1667121211644100
499-4-72.93561099533100
8-7-52.72561099533000
10-1-92.82561099533100
488-6-61.7134766322000
9-3-81.7134766322000
478-5-70.9022444211000
9-2-90.9023444211000
7-8-50.8022443211000
468-4-80.4011222111000
7-7-60.4011222111000
457-6-70.2000111000000
447-5-80.1000000000000
437-4-90.0000000000000
426-6-80.0000000000000
416-5-90.000000000000
406-4-100.000000000000
395-6-90.000000000000
385-5-100.0000000
375-4-11No000
18-36No
Total:2.2%9.32.02.33.73.53.41.61.21.10.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/1100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 4 RSL 0 +0.1
Minnesota 2 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
DC United 1 San Jose 1 -0.0
Atlanta 2 Chicago 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Toronto FC vs Sporting KC-0.9+0.7+1.5
Montreal vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1-0.1
Week of 6/8None

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
7820-0-09820
7619-1-0955
7519-0-18515
7418-2-09010
7318-1-181190
7217-3-076240
7117-2-168310
7017-1-260391
6916-3-15346100
6816-2-24454200
6715-4-13562300
6615-3-227675000
6515-2-320728000
6414-4-21473121000
6314-3-3972162100
6214-2-456821320000
6113-4-336225740000
6013-3-41522711700000
5912-5-3041261812110000
5812-4-40302225182300000
5712-3-50201629245600000
5611-5-401292926101201000
5511-4-5064252317182400000
5411-3-6031181623245801000
5310-5-5010108242511151300000
5210-4-60053202019233701000
5110-3-7002113112326913020000
509-5-600106421221721250000
499-4-7000021141323257110200
488-6-6000107522221619240000
478-5-70000031161424247910000
468-4-800000109625211616410000
457-6-700000412014252111300000
447-5-8000010126282120920000
437-4-9000006224142419820000
426-6-8000002016720271971000
416-5-900010921225281751000
406-4-1000000415163028133000
395-6-900020172232259200
385-5-10000000211273320510
375-4-1100000141733301320
364-6-10000001825362361
354-5-110000003143333142
344-4-1200000172539245
333-6-110000315373510
323-5-12000018304219
313-4-130004214530
302-6-12001134343
292-5-1300073756
282-4-140032968
271-6-130012178
261-5-14011486
251-4-1500892
241-3-1600595
230-5-150298
220-4-160199
210-3-170100
19-20100
180-0-200100
Total:011223355668797666543210