Toronto FC Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 0.9%
30 points   8-6-14

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 5 LA Galaxy 3 +0.6
-0.3
+0.2
Seattle 0 Philadelphia 1 -0.4
Philadelphia 1 Montreal 4 -0.3
DC United 3 NY Red Bulls 3 +0.1
LAFC 1 New England 1 -0.0
San Jose 1 Sporting KC 5 -0.2
Colorado 0 Atlanta 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs Toronto FC-0.5-0.1+2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Montreal vs NYCFC-0.5+0.2+0.4
New England vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Sporting KC-0.1+0.0+0.0
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
486-0-094.1%No2405260No30,246,011
465-1-062.1No07553530No149,331,452
455-0-136.9No0334501310No292,888,588
444-2-019.1No019542520No341,577,974
434-1-15.0No5414590No1,303,604,986
424-0-20.9No122542300No1,223,747,114
3-3-01.4No126532000No396,758,824
413-2-10.1No011513800No2,205,262,199
403-1-20.0No03366000No4,010,487,199
2-4-00.0No04366010No246,807,926
393-0-3OutNo1237520No2,379,862,890
2-3-1OutNo1227520No1,772,364,843
382-2-2OutNo0128440No4,670,006,483
1-5-0OutNo0108450No78,100,770
372-1-3OutNo0486100No5,332,222,724
1-4-1OutNo0484120No678,304,690
361-3-2OutNo0179201No2,298,782,052
2-0-4OutNo0282160No2,215,311,450
0-6-0OutNo177211No9,862,545
351-2-3OutNo0712710.0%3,785,092,829
0-5-1OutNo0673220.099,378,796
341-1-4OutNo0573940.03,013,268,708
0-4-2OutNo514450.0406,315,036
331-0-5OutNo454880.0922,302,202
0-3-3OutNo395290.0859,592,136
320-2-4OutNo2856170.0988,298,486
310-1-5OutNo1555290.1583,619,140
300-0-6OutNo850410.2142,529,073
Total:0.9%No001415631520.0%40,435,927,126

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Toronto FC finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupNY Red BullsNYCFCColumbusPhiladelphiaMontrealDC UnitedNew EnglandChicago
486-0-01.5%053060000
465-1-00.201610000
455-0-10.100200000
444-2-00.00000
30-43No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC 5 LA Galaxy 3 -0.5
Houston 4 Portland 1 +0.1
Colorado 0 Atlanta 3 -0.0
RSL 1 Minnesota 1 +0.0
LAFC 1 New England 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs Toronto FC+0.3-0.1-1.0
Minnesota vs Portland+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Chicago-0.0+0.0+0.2
Orlando vs Houston-0.1-0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
486-0-0020408445100
465-1-000715413195000
455-0-10030341130183000
444-2-00195293412100
434-1-1511538319100
424-0-2105254222400
3-3-0105264122400
413-2-100110363814100
403-1-2002204429600
2-4-0002184231700
393-0-3009394012000
2-3-1007344216000
382-2-2002214630100
1-5-002184633200
372-1-300104044500
1-4-10083748700
361-3-200326571410
2-0-400532531000
0-6-00324581510
351-2-301156023200
0-5-101125827200
341-1-40065236500
0-4-2044741700
331-0-50341451110
0-3-30235491410
320-2-40023502330
310-1-50011443680
300-0-653444160
Total:000001014816253112200