How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders 1 Crew 0 -0.7
+0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.7
+0.3
+0.0
Whitecaps 1 Sporting KC 1 +0.7
Red Bulls 4 FC Dallas 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.6
Revolution 1 Timbers 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
-0.0
Earthquakes 1 Sporting KC 0 -0.4
Real Salt Lake 2 Dynamo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Union 1 Earthquakes 1 *-0.1
Red Bulls 3 Orlando 2 +0.7
Revolution 2 Orlando 2 -0.1
NYCFC 1 Impact 1 -0.1
Fire 1 DC United 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps vs Timbers-5.5+0.3+12.2
-0.4-0.0+0.9
-0.2-0.1+0.5
+1.8-0.4-3.7
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Timbers vs Toronto FC+7.3-3.5-7.6
+0.5-0.3-0.5
+0.3-0.2-0.3
-2.7+1.0+3.2
+0.4-0.2-0.4
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas+0.6-0.1-1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Galaxy-0.9+0.5+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs Sporting KC+0.2+0.4-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Sounders vs Earthquakes-0.3+0.6-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Rapids vs Real Salt Lake-0.0+0.2-0.1
Crew vs Impact+0.3-0.1-0.3
Orlando vs Red Bulls-0.1*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
74-87InYes100No224,741*
7320-4-2In99.7%1000No900*
7220-3-3In99.51000No1,957*
7119-5-2In98.9991No4,300*
7019-4-3In98.8991No8,666*
6919-3-4In97.6982No17,579*
6818-5-3In96.39730No33,940*
6718-4-4In94.29640No64,350*
6617-6-3In91.49460No117,256*
6517-5-4In87.291900No209,603*
6417-4-5In81.6871200No362,134*
6316-6-4In74.28217100No610,282*
6216-5-5In65.2752320No1,003,837*
6116-4-6In54.76729300No1,609,296*
6015-6-5In43.458366000No2,509,768*
5915-5-6In31.8484110100No3,819,098*
5814-7-5In21.2374516200No5,667,672*
5714-6-6100.0%12.62746234000No8,201,177*
5614-5-7100.06.41843318100No11,585,887*
5513-7-6100.02.711363714200No15,967,452*
5413-6-7100.00.962840225000No21,466,759*
5313-5-8100.00.231838309100No28,203,514*
5212-7-799.80.01103237173000No36,135,690*
5112-6-899.30.0052238267100No45,223,855*
5011-8-797.70.00213343514200No55,262,823*
4911-7-893.80.00162538246000No65,900,482*
4811-6-986.1No00215353312200No76,727,727*
4710-8-873.6No0017273822400No87,201,396*
4610-7-957.2No00031737321010No96,719,664*
4510-6-1039.6No001930391930No104,717,590*
449-8-924.1No000420392970No110,628,287*
439-7-1012.8No00011134371410.0%114,003,938*
429-6-115.9No000626422330.0114,601,461*
418-8-102.4No00217413370.0112,344,417*
408-7-110.8No0001103542130.1107,335,314*
398-6-120.3No00052747210.599,919,955*
387-8-110.1No0021948311.990,605,280*
377-7-120.0No00011246415.279,991,771*
367-6-130.0No0007415211.468,743,877*
356-8-120.0No004346220.657,431,380*
346-7-130.0No002277132.346,646,858*
336-6-14OutNo01207945.336,798,916*
325-8-130.0No000158557.928,171,965*
315-7-14OutNo00109069.220,930,409*
305-6-15OutNo0079378.415,050,505*
294-8-14OutNo0059585.510,469,725*
284-7-15OutNo039790.77,039,944*
274-6-16OutNo029894.24,569,689*
263-8-15OutNo019996.62,860,340*
253-7-16OutNo019998.01,719,437*
243-6-17OutNo010098.9993,220*
232-8-16OutNo010099.4548,061*
222-7-17OutNo010099.7289,605*
212-6-18OutNo010099.8144,885*
202-5-19OutNo010099.968,549*
191-7-18OutNo010099.930,588*
9-18OutNo100100.0244,789*
Total:32.0%0.5%1246811141719187.0%1,801,762,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCSoundersWhitecapsDynamo
66-8712.5%Yes
6517-5-412.510000
6417-4-512.41000000
6316-6-412.510000000000
6216-5-512.5100000000000
6116-4-612.5100000000000
6015-6-512.5100000000000
5915-5-612.599000000000
5814-7-512.498000000000
5714-6-612.396101111000
5614-5-712.192111211000
13-8-512.191111211000
5513-7-611.784222332110
14-4-811.785222332110
5413-6-711.173434544111
12-9-511.173434544111
5313-5-810.260556766221
12-8-610.158556766221
5212-7-78.943768998331
13-4-99.044768988331
11-10-58.942768998331
5112-6-87.52887911109432
11-9-67.3269710111010432
13-3-107.62988910109432
5011-8-75.7159810111110542
12-5-95.9169810111110542
10-11-55.8159810111110542
4911-7-84.1787910109442
12-4-104.3787910109442
10-10-64.1787910109442
4811-6-92.83667887432
10-9-72.62657887332
12-3-112.83667887432
4710-8-81.61445555221
11-5-101.71445665321
4610-7-90.80223333111
11-4-110.90223333211
9-10-70.80223333111
4510-6-100.40111221110
9-9-80.40111221110
449-8-90.10001111000
439-7-100.10000000000
429-6-110.00000000000
418-8-100.0000000000
408-7-110.00000000000
398-6-120.0000000000
387-8-110.0000000000
377-7-12No000000
367-6-13No00
9-35No
Total:1.6%6.91.71.62.02.32.22.10.90.80.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/24100.0*Lottery seed
Revolution 1 Timbers 1 +0.0
NYCFC 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Whitecaps vs Timbers+0.6-0.0-1.4
Timbers vs Toronto FC-0.9+0.4+0.9
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
74-87100
7320-4-210000
7220-3-310000
7119-5-29901
7019-4-39901
6919-3-49812
6818-5-396130
6718-4-494240
6617-6-391360
6517-5-48749000
6417-4-582612000
6316-6-4748170100
6216-5-5651023020
6116-4-65513290300
6015-6-5431535060000
5915-5-63216401100100
5814-7-521164321602000
5714-6-6131442423040000
5614-5-761236730080100
5513-7-6382793611402000
5413-6-715171038222050000
5313-5-80291034530090100
5212-7-7013724736117030000
5112-6-8001414936326070100
5011-8-7000268285341140200
4911-7-80001251783622406000
4811-6-9000027831533012200
4710-8-80000125198372224000
4610-7-90000038932531101000
4510-6-10000012621937204000
449-8-9000000310103431101000
439-7-100000013824362151000
429-6-110000015133231144100
418-8-1000002521332511300
408-7-11000001110253122810
398-6-120000031428301851
387-8-11000016193228122
377-7-12000002102635225
367-6-1300001417343311
356-8-12000019284021
346-7-13000004204332
336-6-140002124045
325-8-13000173558
315-7-1400032769
305-6-150022078
294-8-140011486
284-7-1500991
274-6-1600694
263-8-1500397
253-7-160298
243-6-170199
232-8-160199
222-7-170100
212-6-180100
202-5-190100
191-7-180100
181-6-190100
171-5-200100
9-16100
Total:0011314162931110988887