SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Portland Timbers Playoff Chances

Beat Chivas USA 3-0, playoff odds up 13.3 to 86.2%

18 points 4-6-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Timbers 3 Chivas USA 0	+5.8		+0.8		+1.1		-0.1		+0.4
Crew 0 Rapids 2	-1.6		-0.2		+0.1				-0.1
Whitecaps 3 Galaxy 1	-0.6				+0.2
Impact 3 Real Salt Lake 2	+0.5		+0.1		-0.2				+0.0
Sounders 4 Earthquakes 0	-0.2
FC Dallas 2 DC United 1	-0.2				-0.2		-0.0		-0.0
Dynamo 0 Sporting KC 1					+0.2
New England 1 Red Bulls 1					+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Galaxy	+0.4+0.0-0.6		+0.1+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.1-0.2				+0.0+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Whitecaps vs Timbers	-4.4+0.3+5.9		-0.7+0.0+1.0		-2.7-0.7+4.3				-0.3-0.0+0.5
Sounders vs FC Dallas	-0.5+0.3+0.7		-0.1+0.1+0.1		+0.4+0.1-0.9
Red Bulls vs Galaxy	+0.3-0.0-0.7		+0.1-0.0-0.2		-0.1+0.2+0.0				+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Real Salt Lake	+0.2+0.3-0.6		+0.1+0.0-0.1		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Earthquakes vs Rapids	+0.2+0.3-0.6		+0.1+0.0-0.1		+0.0+0.0-0.1				+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Sporting KC					+0.5+0.2-0.5
Dynamo vs New England					-0.4+0.4+0.7
Union vs Fire					-0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs Crew					+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon		Count

81	-87						In		100.0	%	100										No		1,444,275	*
80		20	-	2	-	1	In		99.9		100	0									No		25,475
79		20	-	1	-	2	In		99.9		100	0									No		55,772	*
78		19	-	3	-	1	In		99.9		100	0									No		124,601	*
77		19	-	2	-	2	In		99.9		100	0									No		272,731	*
76		18	-	4	-	1	In		99.8		100	0									No		532,252	*
75		18	-	3	-	2	In		99.7		100	0									No		1,052,644	*
74		18	-	2	-	3	In		99.5		100	0									No		1,963,439	*
73		17	-	4	-	2	In		99.1		100	0									No		3,488,974	*
72		17	-	3	-	3	In		98.5		100	0	0								No		6,104,151	*
71		16	-	5	-	2	In		97.6		99	1	0								No		10,164,692	*
70		16	-	4	-	3	In		96.2		99	1	0								No		16,400,423	*
69		16	-	3	-	4	In		94.0		98	2	0								No		25,805,321	*
68		15	-	5	-	3	In		90.9		97	3	0								No		39,026,547	*
67		15	-	4	-	4	In		86.5		96	4	0								No		57,495,526	*
66		15	-	3	-	5	In		80.7		94	6	0	0							No		82,290,302	*
65		14	-	5	-	4	In		73.3		91	9	0	0							No		114,036,323	*
64		14	-	4	-	5	In		64.2		87	13	0	0							No		154,070,494	*
63		13	-	6	-	4	In		53.7		82	18	0	0	0						No		202,241,314	*
62		13	-	5	-	5	In		42.5		76	23	1	0	0						No		257,976,128	*
61		13	-	4	-	6	In		31.3		68	30	2	0	0						No		320,850,842	*
60		12	-	6	-	5	In		21.0		60	37	3	0	0						No		388,129,381	*
59		12	-	5	-	6	100.0	%	12.7		50	44	6	0	0	0					No		457,121,131	*
58		12	-	4	-	7	100.0		6.7		40	49	10	0	0	0					No		524,882,000	*
57		11	-	6	-	6	100.0		3.0		30	52	16	1	0	0					No		586,748,411	*
56		11	-	5	-	7	100.0		1.1		21	52	24	3	0	0	0				No		639,079,290	*
55		11	-	4	-	8	100.0		0.3		14	48	32	6	0	0	0				No		678,493,658	*
54		10	-	6	-	7	100.0		0.1		8	40	40	11	1	0	0				No		701,640,262	*
53		10	-	5	-	8	99.9		0.0		4	30	44	19	3	0	0	0			No		707,133,681	*
52		9	-	7	-	7	99.5		0.0		2	20	43	28	6	0	0	0			No		694,467,341	*
51		9	-	6	-	8	98.5		0.0		1	11	37	37	13	1	0	0	0		No		664,320,079	*
50		9	-	5	-	9	95.7		0.0		0	6	28	41	22	4	0	0	0		No		619,170,970	*
49		8	-	7	-	8	89.9		No		0	2	17	39	31	9	1	0	0		No		562,025,271	*
48		8	-	6	-	9	79.7		No		0	1	9	31	39	18	3	0	0		No		496,770,116	*
47		8	-	5	-	10	65.0		No		0	0	4	21	40	28	7	0	0		No		427,374,036	*
46		7	-	7	-	9	47.7		No		0	0	1	12	34	37	14	2	0		No		357,863,873	*
45		7	-	6	-	10	30.8		No		0	0	0	5	25	41	24	4	0		No		291,408,140	*
44		7	-	5	-	11	17.3		No			0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1		No		230,791,318	*
43		6	-	7	-	10	8.3		No			0	0	1	8	31	41	17	2		0.0	%	177,585,259	*
42		6	-	6	-	11	3.5		No			0	0	0	3	21	43	27	4		0.0		132,743,165	*
41		6	-	5	-	12	1.2		No				0	0	1	13	40	37	9		0.0		96,305,984	*
40		5	-	7	-	11	0.4		No				0	0	0	7	32	45	16		0.0		67,742,728	*
39		5	-	6	-	12	0.1		No					0	0	3	24	49	25		0.0		46,177,145	*
38		5	-	5	-	13	0.0		No					0	0	1	16	48	35		0.1		30,473,933	*
37		4	-	7	-	12	0.0		No						0	0	9	44	46		0.3		19,448,310	*
36		4	-	6	-	13	0.0		No						0	0	5	37	57		1.0		11,978,966	*
35		4	-	5	-	14	0.0		No						0	0	3	30	67		2.5		7,117,292	*
34		3	-	7	-	13	Out		No							0	1	23	76		5.3		4,072,880	*
33		3	-	6	-	14	Out		No							0	1	16	83		9.8		2,239,584	*
32		3	-	5	-	15	Out		No							0	0	11	88		16.3		1,178,485	*
31		2	-	7	-	14	Out		No								0	7	92		24.3		594,025	*
30		2	-	6	-	15	Out		No								0	5	95		33.8		285,105	*
29		2	-	5	-	16	Out		No								0	3	97		43.7		129,997	*
28		2	-	4	-	17	Out		No									2	98		53.8		55,780	*
27		1	-	6	-	16	Out		No									1	99		63.1		22,600	*
26		1	-	5	-	17	Out		No									1	99		71.0		8,487	*
25		1	-	4	-	18	Out		No									0	100		78.4		2,994	*
24		0	-	6	-	17	Out		No									0	100		83.7		910	*
18	-23						Out		No										100		99.3		1,430,209	*

Total:							86.2	%	8.4	%	20	23	19	14	10	7	4	2	1		0.0	%	10,922,435,022

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	FC Dallas	Galaxy	Sounders	Rapids	Real Salt Lake	Whitecaps	Chivas USA	Earthquakes

67	-87						12.5	%	Yes
66		15	-	3	-	5	12.5		100				0				0
65		14	-	5	-	4	12.5		100		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		14	-	4	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		13	-	6	-	4	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		13	-	5	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		13	-	4	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	7	-	4	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		12	-	6	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		13	-	3	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		12	-	5	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	8	-	4	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		12	-	4	-	7	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	7	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		11	-	6	-	6	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	3	-	8	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		11	-	5	-	7	12.4		97	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
		10	-	8	-	5	12.4		97	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
55		11	-	4	-	8	12.2		93	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
		10	-	7	-	6	12.3		94	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
54		10	-	6	-	7	12.1		88	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	1
		11	-	3	-	9	12.0		87	1	2	2	3	3	2	1	1
53		10	-	5	-	8	11.6		77	1	3	4	4	4	3	1	1
		9	-	8	-	6	11.7		79	1	3	4	4	4	3	1	1
52		9	-	7	-	7	11.1		67	2	5	6	6	6	4	2	2
		10	-	4	-	9	10.9		63	2	5	6	7	7	5	2	2
51		9	-	6	-	8	10.1		49	3	7	9	9	9	6	3	2
		10	-	3	-	10	9.7		44	3	8	9	10	10	7	3	3
		8	-	9	-	6	10.4		54	3	7	8	9	9	6	3	2
50		9	-	5	-	9	8.7		32	4	9	11	12	12	8	4	3
		8	-	8	-	7	9.0		35	3	9	11	11	12	8	4	3
49		8	-	7	-	8	7.6		20	4	10	12	13	13	9	5	4
		9	-	4	-	10	7.3		19	4	10	12	13	13	10	5	4
48		8	-	6	-	9	5.8		9	3	10	12	13	13	10	5	4
		7	-	9	-	7	5.9		10	3	10	12	13	13	9	5	4
47		8	-	5	-	10	4.1		4	3	8	10	11	11	8	4	4
		7	-	8	-	8	4.5		5	3	9	11	12	12	8	5	4
46		7	-	7	-	9	2.8		1	2	6	8	9	9	6	3	3
45		7	-	6	-	10	1.7		0	1	4	5	6	6	4	2	2
44		7	-	5	-	11	0.9		0	1	2	3	3	3	2	1	1
43		6	-	7	-	10	0.4		0	0	1	2	2	2	1	1	0
42		6	-	6	-	11	0.2		0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
41		5	-	8	-	10	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		5	-	7	-	11	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		5	-	6	-	12	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		4	-	8	-	11	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		4	-	7	-	12	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		4	-	6	-	13	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35		3	-	8	-	12	No			0			0		0
18	-34						No

Total:							9.5	%	62.5	1.2	3.4	4.1	4.5	4.5	3.1	1.6	1.3

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Timbers 3 Chivas USA 0	-0.7
Crew 0 Rapids 2	+0.1
FC Dallas 2 DC United 1	+0.1
Impact 3 Real Salt Lake 2	-0.0
Whitecaps 3 Galaxy 1	-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Galaxy	-0.1-0.0+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Whitecaps vs Timbers	+0.7+0.0-1.0
Red Bulls vs Galaxy	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Rapids	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Real Salt Lake	-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

83	-87						100
82		21	-	1	-	1	100	0
81		20	-	3	-	0	100	0
80		20	-	2	-	1	100	0	0
79		20	-	1	-	2	100	0	0
78		19	-	3	-	1	100	0	0
77		19	-	2	-	2	100	0	0
76		18	-	4	-	1	100	0	0
75		18	-	3	-	2	100	0	0
74		18	-	2	-	3	99	0	0
73		17	-	4	-	2	99	1	0
72		17	-	3	-	3	99	1	0		0
71		16	-	5	-	2	98	2	1	0	0
70		16	-	4	-	3	96	3	1	0	0
69		16	-	3	-	4	94	4	2	0	0
68		15	-	5	-	3	91	6	3	0	0
67		15	-	4	-	4	87	9	4	0	0
66		15	-	3	-	5	81	13	6	0	0	0	0
65		14	-	5	-	4	73	17	9	0	0	0	0
64		14	-	4	-	5	64	23	13	0	0	0	0
63		13	-	6	-	4	54	28	17	1	0	0	0		0
62		13	-	5	-	5	42	33	22	1	1	0	0		0
61		13	-	4	-	6	31	37	27	3	2	0	0	0	0
60		12	-	6	-	5	21	39	31	6	3	0	0	0	0
59		12	-	5	-	6	13	38	33	11	6	0	0	0	0		0
58		12	-	4	-	7	7	34	31	18	9	1	0	0	0		0
57		11	-	6	-	6	3	27	26	26	14	2	1	0	0	0	0
56		11	-	5	-	7	1	20	19	33	19	5	3	0	0	0	0	0
55		11	-	4	-	8	0	13	11	37	22	10	6	0	0	0	0	0
54		10	-	6	-	7	0	8	5	35	21	19	10	1	1	0	0	0
53		10	-	5	-	8	0	4	2	28	16	28	15	4	3	0	0	0	0
52		9	-	7	-	7	0	2	0	20	10	33	19	9	6	0	0	0	0
51		9	-	6	-	8	0	1	0	11	4	33	19	18	11	1	1	0	0	0
50		9	-	5	-	9	0	0	0	6	1	26	14	27	17	4	4	0	0	0
49		8	-	7	-	8		0	0	2	0	17	8	31	21	11	9	1	0	0	0
48		8	-	6	-	9		0	0	1	0	9	3	28	19	20	16	4	0	0	0	0
47		8	-	5	-	10		0	0	0	0	4	1	20	13	27	22	11	2	0	0	0	0
46		7	-	7	-	9		0		0	0	1	0	12	6	28	24	20	7	1	0	0	0
45		7	-	6	-	10		0		0	0	0	0	5	2	23	20	29	16	4	0	0	0	0
44		7	-	5	-	11				0	0	0	0	2	1	15	13	30	26	11	2	0	0	0
43		6	-	7	-	10				0		0	0	1	0	8	6	24	33	21	7	1	0	0	0
42		6	-	6	-	11				0		0	0	0	0	3	2	14	30	31	15	4	0	0	0
41		6	-	5	-	12						0		0	0	1	1	6	21	34	26	9	1	0	0
40		5	-	7	-	11						0		0	0	0	0	2	12	29	33	19	4	0	0
39		5	-	6	-	12								0	0	0	0	1	5	19	34	29	10	1	0
38		5	-	5	-	13								0		0	0	0	2	11	29	36	19	4	0
37		4	-	7	-	12										0	0	0	1	5	20	37	29	8	0
36		4	-	6	-	13										0	0	0	0	2	12	32	38	15	1
35		4	-	5	-	14										0		0	0	1	6	24	42	25	3
34		3	-	7	-	13													0	0	2	16	41	36	5
33		3	-	6	-	14													0	0	1	9	35	45	10
32		3	-	5	-	15														0	0	4	27	52	16
31		2	-	7	-	14														0	0	2	19	54	24
30		2	-	6	-	15															0	1	12	53	34
29		2	-	5	-	16															0	0	7	49	44
28		2	-	4	-	17																0	4	42	54
27		1	-	6	-	16																0	2	35	63
26		1	-	5	-	17																	1	28	71
25		1	-	4	-	18																	0	21	78
24		0	-	6	-	17																	0	16	84
23		0	-	5	-	18																		11	89
22		0	-	4	-	19																		10	90
20	-21																								100
18		0	-	0	-	23																		1	99

Total:							8	12	10	14	7	11	6	8	5	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0