How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers 1 Chivas USA 1 -3.6
-0.3
-0.1
+2.5
-0.2
Toronto FC 0 Rapids 1 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
FC Dallas 2 Sounders 3 -0.8
-0.1
+0.1
Earthquakes 1 Crew 1 +0.2
-0.3
+0.0
Galaxy 1 Whitecaps 0 -0.2
Union 2 Real Salt Lake 2 -0.1
New England 2 Dynamo 0 +0.6
Impact 1 Fire 1 -0.3
DC United 1 Red Bulls 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union+0.5-0.3-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Timbers-3.0+0.2+8.2
-0.3+0.0+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.3
+2.7-0.6-6.8
-0.2+0.0+0.5
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders*+0.0+0.3-0.3
+0.5-0.2-0.6
Whitecaps vs Galaxy-0.3+0.4+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.3*+0.0
-0.4+0.1+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs DC United-0.1+0.0+0.3
Sporting KC vs Impact-0.5+0.1+1.2
Fire vs New England+0.1-0.2-0.1
Union vs Dynamo+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
69-88InYes100No3,311*
6820-4-4In96.8%982No95*
6719-6-3In95.1982No185*
6619-5-4In93.8964No370*
6519-4-5In92.49550No714*
6418-6-4In85.09270No1,217*
6318-5-5In81.690100No2,087*
6218-4-6In74.9861310No3,703*
6117-6-5In64.279191No6,138*
6017-5-6In54.2722620No9,822*
5916-7-5In42.4633340No15,774*
5816-6-6In29.85240810No24,270*
5716-5-7100.0%19.5414513100No37,172*
5615-7-6100.011.03046203000No55,496*
5515-6-7100.05.42145286000No80,417*
5415-5-899.92.11339351210No114,121*
5314-7-799.80.67304019400No158,819*
5214-6-899.10.13213928810No215,534*
5113-8-797.60.0112343515200No286,775*
5013-7-893.80.006253924600No371,624*
4913-6-986.50.0021536331210No471,731*
4812-8-874.9No018283821400No586,256*
4712-7-959.3No003183831910No713,143*
4612-6-1042.1No0011031381720No846,970*
4511-8-926.3No00422412750No986,425*
4411-7-1014.5No002133737111No1,121,459*
4311-6-117.0No00062943192No1,244,866*
4210-8-103.0No00319442950.0%1,351,188*
4110-7-111.1No00112403990.01,436,245*
409-9-100.3No0063346150.21,492,839*
399-8-110.1No0032449230.81,512,759*
389-7-120.0No0011749322.51,498,056*
378-9-110.0No011146426.11,450,803*
368-8-120.0No007415212.41,371,426*
358-7-130.0No004346221.31,263,480*
347-9-12OutNo02287032.51,137,482*
337-8-13OutNo01217844.5998,435*
327-7-14OutNo00168456.2852,480*
316-9-13OutNo00128867.0709,773*
306-8-14OutNo089276.1575,127*
296-7-15OutNo059583.3452,062*
285-9-14OutNo039788.8346,510*
275-8-15OutNo029892.7257,932*
265-7-16OutNo019995.4187,661*
254-9-15OutNo019997.2131,822*
244-8-16OutNo010098.488,926*
234-7-17OutNo010099.058,202*
223-9-16OutNo010099.536,709*
213-8-17OutNo010099.722,395*
203-7-18OutNo010099.813,123*
193-6-19OutNo010099.87,323*
4-18OutNo100100.011,222*
Total:14.4%0.2%112461017253417.3%24,622,474

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasRapidsReal Salt LakeGalaxySoundersWhitecapsChivas USAEarthquakes
63-8812.6%Yes
6218-4-611.51000
6117-6-512.9Yes
6017-5-612.010000000
5916-7-512.81000000000
5816-6-612.39900000000
5716-5-712.39900000000
5615-7-612.49700011000
5515-6-712.39311111100
5415-5-811.78622222210
14-8-611.78722222210
5314-7-711.27634444311
15-4-911.27733434311
5214-6-810.36355666521
13-9-610.56455666521
5113-8-79.14778888732
14-5-99.24877888732
12-11-59.44977888732
5013-7-87.73199101010943
14-4-107.832999910943
12-10-67.73299101010943
4913-6-96.2189101010111043
12-9-76.1189101110111043
14-3-116.3199101110111043
4812-8-84.58991010101043
13-5-104.69910101010943
11-11-64.799101010101044
4712-7-93.1378889843
11-10-73.1378888843
13-4-113.2488989843
4612-6-102.0156666632
11-9-81.9156666632
13-3-122.1156667632
4511-8-91.1034444421
12-5-111.2044444422
10-11-71.1034444421
4411-7-100.6022222211
10-10-80.6022222211
12-4-120.6022222211
4311-6-110.3011111100
10-9-90.3011111100
4210-8-100.1000000000
4110-7-110.0000000000
4010-6-120.000000000
399-8-110.000000000
389-7-120.000000000
379-6-130.00000000
368-8-120.000000
359-4-15No0000
4-34No
Total:1.0%4.11.41.51.61.61.61.50.70.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/12100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers 1 Chivas USA 1 +0.5
Toronto FC 0 Rapids 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Sounders 3 +0.1
Earthquakes 1 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Timbers+0.5-0.0-1.2
Rapids vs Earthquakes-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Impact-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
69-88100
6820-4-49712
6719-6-39532
6619-5-49434
6519-4-592350
6418-6-485770
6318-5-58281000
6218-4-6751113010
6117-6-564151901
6017-5-6541726020
5916-7-54220321400
5816-6-630223728010
5716-5-71921414130100
5615-7-6111939720030000
5515-6-7515341127160000
5415-5-8211241433212010
5314-7-7161416355190400
5214-6-8037143092718010
5113-8-7012102113333150200
5013-7-800051014327240600
4913-6-90002412241231212100
4812-8-8001171315326214000
4712-7-90000341426122910100
4612-6-10000119141733204000
4511-8-9000045162730133000
4411-7-100002112173225102000
4311-6-1100000672431218200
4210-8-1000032122730196100
4110-7-1100011516292916410
409-9-100000172031261220
399-8-11000021125322271
389-7-12000014163131152
378-9-110000182435256
368-8-120000315343412
358-7-1300018284121
347-9-120004204332
337-8-13002134144
327-7-1400173656
316-9-1300042967
306-8-140022276
296-7-15011683
285-9-14001189
275-8-1500793
265-7-1600595
254-9-150397
244-8-160298
234-7-170199
223-9-16199
213-8-170100
203-7-180100
193-6-190100
182-8-180100
172-7-19100
162-6-200100
4-15100
Total:00111122435667810121417