How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 +10.3
+1.3
+3.8
-1.2
+0.8
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.8
+0.1
+0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.1+0.1-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Dynamo+4.5-2.9-7.2
+0.8-0.5-1.2
+3.4-2.6-5.0
-0.2+0.1+0.4
+0.4-0.3-0.7
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.2+0.4*-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.2+0.4*+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.3+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.2-0.3
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0+0.2-0.3
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.2+0.2
Orlando vs Union-0.2+0.2+0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
83-102InYes100No38,910*
8224-4-4In99.7%1000No1,449*
80-81In100.0100No7,666*
7923-4-5In99.91000No8,718*
7822-6-4In99.91000No15,535*
7722-5-5In99.91000No26,717*
7621-7-4In99.91000No44,750*
7521-6-5In99.91000No73,230*
7421-5-6In99.81000No117,038*
7320-7-5In99.71000No184,121*
7220-6-6In99.61000No281,430*
7119-8-5In99.31000No420,860*
7019-7-6In98.810000No619,747*
6919-6-7In98.29910No890,803*
6818-8-6In97.19910No1,250,636*
6718-7-7In95.59820No1,722,961*
6618-6-8In93.29730No2,329,328*
6517-8-7In89.996400No3,077,002*
6417-7-8In85.494600No3,991,500*
6316-9-7In79.391900No5,068,677*
6216-8-8In71.48712000No6,307,973*
6116-7-9In61.98217100No7,703,094*
6015-9-8In50.875232000No9,214,593*
5915-8-9In39.16729400No10,805,336*
5815-7-10In27.558356000No12,417,428*
5714-9-9100.0%17.34840111000No13,989,783*
5614-8-10100.09.43744162000No15,463,700*
5514-7-11100.04.22744235000No16,747,977*
5413-9-10100.01.518413091000No17,776,934*
5313-8-11100.00.4113436163000No18,492,402*
5212-10-1099.90.1625372471000No18,866,596*
5112-9-1199.70.03163431133000No18,860,390*
5012-8-1299.00.01927342171000No18,475,898*
4911-10-1196.9No04173329133000No17,724,488*
4811-9-1291.9No021026332271000No16,670,064*
4711-8-1382.3No004173130143000No15,349,626*
4610-10-1267.7No00192433238100No13,847,421*
4510-9-1349.6No000415303116400No12,234,721*
4410-8-1431.6No00018233425910No10,574,568*
439-10-1317.3No000314303216300.0%8,947,487*
429-9-148.1No00017233526810.07,402,380*
419-8-153.2No00031432341520.05,992,327*
408-10-141.1No0001725382450.14,742,972*
398-9-150.3No0003173733100.73,666,240*
388-8-160.1No001103240172.32,769,453*
377-10-150.0No00052544256.02,046,357*
367-9-160.0No000317453512.61,472,528*
357-8-170.0No00111424621.91,034,008*
346-10-16OutNo007365733.3708,844*
336-9-17OutNo004306645.7472,875*
326-8-18OutNo02247457.6307,355*
315-10-17OutNo01188168.4194,735*
305-9-18OutNo00138777.1119,664*
295-8-19OutNo099184.271,353*
284-10-18OutNo069489.441,444*
274-9-19OutNo049692.923,178*
264-8-20OutNo039795.612,706*
253-10-19OutNo29897.06,592*
243-9-20OutNo19998.03,232*
233-8-21OutNo19998.91,653*
6-22OutNo100Yes38,811*
Total:81.8%13.4%2317141198654210.5%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersReal Salt LakeWhitecapsMinnesotaGalaxy
66-10212.5%Yes
6517-8-712.510000
6417-7-812.51000000000
6316-9-712.51000000000000
6216-8-812.51000000000000
6116-7-912.51000000000000
6015-9-812.51000000000000
16-6-1012.51000000000000
5915-8-912.51000000000000
14-11-712.51000000000000
5815-7-1012.51000000000000
14-10-812.51000000000000
5714-9-912.5990000000000
15-6-1112.5990000000000
5614-8-1012.4970000000000
13-11-812.4970000000000
5514-7-1112.3951111110000
13-10-912.3941111111000
5413-9-1012.0891111111111
14-6-1212.1901111111100
12-12-812.0891111111111
5313-8-1111.7812222222211
12-11-911.6802333222211
14-5-1311.6812222222211
5212-10-1010.9674444433322
13-7-1211.0694444333322
11-13-810.9684444433322
5112-9-119.9535565544422
13-6-1310.1545555544422
11-12-99.8526666544423
5012-8-128.6377777665533
11-11-108.4357777665533
13-5-148.6377777665533
4911-10-116.8217888766544
12-7-137.0227888766544
4811-9-125.1117777766543
10-12-105.1117777766544
4711-8-133.456666555433
4610-10-122.024444433322
4510-9-131.002222222211
4410-8-140.401111111111
439-10-130.200000000000
429-9-140.000000000000
419-8-150.000000000000
408-10-140.000000000000
398-9-150.00000000000
388-8-160.00000000000
378-7-170.00000
368-6-18No0
6-35No
Total:8.1%53.72.52.52.52.52.42.12.01.81.21.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -1.6
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.9+0.6+1.4
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
83-102100
8224-4-410000
8123-6-31000
8023-5-4100
7923-4-510000
7822-6-410000
7722-5-510000
7621-7-410000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-510000
7220-6-610000
7119-8-59900
7019-7-699100
6919-6-798110
6818-8-697210
6718-7-796320
6618-6-8934300
6517-8-79064000
6417-7-88586000
6316-9-779129000
6216-8-871161200000
6116-7-962201701000
6015-9-8512522120000
5915-8-939282724000
5815-7-102731313600000
5714-9-91731347100100000
5614-8-109283212161200000
5514-7-114232618212500000
5413-9-10217182325590100000
5313-8-1101010242510151300000
5212-10-100642120182137010000
5112-9-1103115112323813130000
5012-8-1201094221916193601000
4911-10-1100411610222181213000
4811-9-1200209422171719371000
4711-8-130000411682320101341000
4610-10-120001092221419191030000
4510-9-130000401562419191030000
4410-8-1400001082211222201031000
439-10-130000301451625221131000
429-9-14000010717192722113100
419-8-150000302921282210300
408-10-140000100311232921920
398-9-1500000141427291861
388-8-160000016183028132
377-10-150000002102534236
367-9-16000001416333313
357-8-17000029274022
346-10-160004204233
336-9-17002124046
326-8-1800173558
315-10-170042868
305-9-180022177
295-8-19011584
284-10-18001089
274-9-190793
264-8-200496
253-10-190397
243-9-20298
233-8-21199
6-22100
Total:1310107866554443322221111