How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Minnesota+6.7-4.4-10.0
+0.8-0.5-1.1
+1.4-1.1-2.0
-1.6+0.9+2.5
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Earthquakes vs Impact-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Union-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Revolution-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Sporting KC+0.5*-0.0-1.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Dynamo vs Sounders-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.1
Crew vs Fire-0.0+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy vs Timbers-5.1+0.5+11.3
-0.6+0.0+1.4
-1.2-0.2+2.9
+1.1-0.2-2.3
-0.4+0.0+0.9
Dynamo vs Crew-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Real Salt Lake+0.4*+0.0-1.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Impact vs Sounders+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids+0.4*-0.0-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Earthquakes vs Whitecaps-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.1-0.1
Revolution vs Orlando-0.0+0.1-0.0
NYCFC vs DC United-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-102In100.0%100No24,245*
7423-5-6In99.81000No5,237*
7322-7-5In99.81000No8,856*
7222-6-6In99.61000No14,751*
7121-8-5In99.61000No23,992*
7021-7-6In99.41000No38,653*
6921-6-7In98.91000No60,612*
6820-8-6In98.2991No92,393*
6720-7-7In97.09910No140,264*
6620-6-8In95.398200No205,710*
6519-8-7In92.997300No299,054*
6419-7-8In89.39640No420,994*
6318-9-7In84.393700No586,003*
6218-8-8In77.69010000No799,709*
6118-7-9In69.08614100No1,068,328*
6017-9-8In58.68019100No1,401,115*
5917-8-9In46.87225300No1,802,884*
5817-7-10In34.46331500No2,278,406*
5716-9-9100.0%22.8533791000No2,829,866*
5616-8-10100.013.24242142000No3,442,222*
5515-10-9100.06.33144214000No4,109,464*
5415-9-10100.02.421412881000No4,813,438*
5315-8-11100.00.7133534143000No5,539,627*
5214-10-1099.90.1727362271000No6,251,477*
5114-9-1199.60.031833291330000No6,922,967*
5014-8-1298.60.011026332171000No7,521,957*
4913-10-1195.80.0041731291440000No8,017,881*
4813-9-1289.4No02924322392000No8,391,956*
4713-8-1377.8No004152930175100No8,615,128*
4612-10-1261.0No001721312511200No8,671,841*
4512-9-1341.9No000312273120610No8,557,360*
4412-8-1424.6No00161831281330No8,290,412*
4311-10-1312.2No000210253322710.0%7,874,964*
4211-9-145.0No000141632311420.07,325,631*
4110-11-131.8No0002925362350.16,692,874*
4010-10-140.5No0004173532100.35,985,212*
3910-9-150.1No0002103040181.55,243,604*
389-11-140.0No00152343284.74,496,217*
379-10-150.0No000215433910.83,784,363*
369-9-160.0No0019395120.23,107,762*
358-11-150.0No0005336232.12,504,935*
348-10-16OutNo003267245.31,974,803*
338-9-17OutNo001197957.91,521,600*
327-11-16OutNo001148669.21,142,906*
317-10-17OutNo0099078.4841,884*
307-9-18OutNo0069485.4604,999*
296-11-17OutNo049690.5424,797*
286-10-18OutNo029893.9289,437*
276-9-19OutNo019996.2193,534*
265-11-18OutNo19997.8126,098*
255-10-19OutNo010098.779,905*
245-9-20OutNo010099.348,555*
234-11-19OutNo010099.528,973*
224-10-20OutNo010099.816,704*
214-9-21OutNo010099.99,386*
204-8-22OutNo10099.95,130*
193-10-21OutNo0100100.02,684*
0-18OutNo100100.020,157*
Total:54.5%4.5%999999999994.5%155,593,916

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaEarthquakesRapidsSoundersDynamoFC DallasGalaxyReal Salt LakeSporting KCWhitecaps
67-10212.5%Yes
6620-6-812.51000
6519-8-712.51000
6419-7-812.5Yes
6318-9-712.610000000
6218-8-812.510000000000
6118-7-912.51000000000000
6017-9-812.51000000000000
5917-8-912.51000000000000
5817-7-1012.51000000000000
5716-9-912.5990000000000
17-6-1112.5990000000000
5616-8-1012.4980000000000
15-11-812.4980000000000
5515-10-912.3950000000000
16-7-1112.3960000000000
5415-9-1012.1901111111111
16-6-1212.1911111111111
14-12-812.0901111111111
5315-8-1111.7832222222222
14-11-911.6812222222222
16-5-1311.7832222222222
5214-10-1010.9693333333333
15-7-1211.0713333333333
13-13-810.9703333333333
5114-9-119.8544444444444
15-6-139.9564444444444
13-12-99.8534444444444
5014-8-128.4385555555555
13-11-108.2365565665665
15-5-148.4385555555555
4913-10-116.5226666666666
14-7-136.7236666666666
12-13-96.4216666666666
4813-9-124.7116666666666
12-12-104.5105555556565
14-6-144.8126666666666
4713-8-133.054444444444
12-11-112.944444444444
4612-10-121.613333333333
4512-9-130.802212221222
4412-8-140.301111111111
4311-10-130.100000000000
4211-9-140.000000000000
4111-8-150.000000000000
4010-10-140.00000000000
3910-9-150.00000000000
3810-8-160.00000000000
379-10-15No0
0-36No
Total:4.5%27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers vs Minnesota-1.0+0.7+1.5
Earthquakes vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Sounders+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy vs Timbers+0.8-0.1-1.8
Dynamo vs Crew+0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.1-0.1-0.1
Fire vs Real Salt Lake-0.0-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids-0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs Sounders-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0
Earthquakes vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
78-102100
7724-5-51000
7623-7-41000
7523-6-51000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-510000
7222-6-610000
7121-8-510000
7021-7-69900
6921-6-79910
6820-8-69811
6720-7-797210
6620-6-8953200
6519-8-79343000
6419-7-8896400
6318-9-78497000
6218-8-87812100000
6118-7-969171401000
6017-9-859211901000
5917-8-947262413000
5817-7-10342929250000
5716-9-923313358010000
5616-8-10132933913020000
5515-10-96252914191400000
5415-9-1021921202438010000
5315-8-111121223268140300000
5214-10-100752222142027010000
5114-9-11031161320236130300000
5014-8-1201095212013192701000
4913-10-110004116112022714140000
4813-9-12002094201715203920000
4713-8-130000411482120916610000
4612-10-120001072191318211341000
4512-9-1300000301252118221341000
4412-8-140001061171022231451000
4311-10-130000201041424251551000
4211-9-14000010415152626156100
4110-11-130000201617272615510
4010-10-14000000271928261340
3910-9-1500000029223125102
389-11-140000013122733205
379-10-15000001518343111
369-9-160000210283920
358-11-15000015204232
348-10-160002134045
338-9-17000173458
327-11-1600042769
317-10-170022078
307-9-18011485
296-11-17000990
286-10-1800694
276-9-190496
265-11-180298
255-10-190199
245-9-20199
234-11-190100
224-10-200100
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
193-10-210100
183-9-220100
0-17100
Total:5555555555555555555555