How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC 0 Timbers 1 +10.5
+0.9
+0.6
-5.2
+0.7
FC Dallas 3 Toronto FC 2 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 2 Earthquakes 0 +0.4
+0.0
Galaxy 2 Sporting KC 1 -0.2
Rapids 1 Sounders 3 -0.2
Union 1 Revolution 2 -0.3
Crew 3 Orlando 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders vs Timbers-5.0+0.9+13.2
-0.5+0.1+1.4
-0.5-0.0+1.7
+0.9-0.3-2.2
-0.3+0.1+0.9
Red Bulls vs Rapids+0.6*-0.0-1.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Revolution vs Real Salt Lake+0.6+0.0-1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Galaxy+0.5-0.1-1.4
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs DC United-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Sporting KC-0.2+0.6-0.3
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.6-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Crew vs Union-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Orlando vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1-0.0
Fire vs NYCFC-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
75-90In100.0%100No59,307*
7420-5-2In99.61000No928*
7320-4-3In99.61000No1,830*
7220-3-4In99.51000No3,710*
7119-5-3In99.41000No7,249*
7019-4-4In98.71000No13,727*
6918-6-3In98.0991No25,263*
6818-5-4In97.0991No44,950*
6718-4-5In95.19820No78,508*
6617-6-4In92.89730No132,930*
6517-5-5In89.59640No219,797*
6417-4-6In84.994600No352,946*
6316-6-5In78.891900No552,056*
6216-5-6In71.0861300No845,911*
6115-7-5In61.7811810No1,260,142*
6015-6-6In50.97424200No1,829,848*
5915-5-7In39.36531400No2,601,935*
5814-7-6In28.055387000No3,600,400*
5714-6-7In17.8444312100No4,878,119*
5614-5-8100.0%9.93346183000No6,447,690*
5513-7-7100.04.62245266000No8,331,367*
5413-6-8100.01.7144034112000No10,497,615*
5312-8-7100.00.573139194000No12,937,887*
5212-7-899.90.1321382891000No15,572,881*
5112-6-999.70.01123235174000No18,307,733*
5011-8-898.70.00522362691000No21,020,558*
4911-7-995.90.002123134174000No23,581,099*
4811-6-1089.3No0152135279100No25,826,515*
4710-8-977.0No00211293418400No27,623,994*
4610-7-1059.7No00051935291010No28,846,614*
4510-6-1140.4No0021028352040No29,416,023*
449-8-1023.5No0004193630101No29,283,211*
439-7-1111.6No0011029371930.0%28,435,543*
428-9-104.9No000420392970.026,937,617*
418-8-111.8No0002123439130.024,894,007*
408-7-120.5No00162744220.222,427,164*
397-9-110.1No00031846331.019,680,732*
387-8-120.0No0011142453.216,836,758*
377-7-130.0No000636577.714,017,312*
366-9-120.0No0003296815.111,361,918*
356-8-130.0No002227725.18,953,485*
346-7-140.0No001168436.96,860,210*
335-9-13OutNo00118949.25,104,934*
325-8-14OutNo0079360.93,687,434*
315-7-15OutNo0049671.12,579,090*
304-9-14OutNo039779.31,749,173*
294-8-15OutNo029885.81,146,328*
284-7-16OutNo019990.4725,445*
274-6-17OutNo0010093.9444,925*
263-8-16OutNo010096.2260,596*
253-7-17OutNo010097.7147,507*
243-6-18OutNo010098.680,326*
232-8-17OutNo010099.241,602*
222-7-18OutNo010099.520,795*
212-6-19OutNo10099.89,858*
201-8-18OutNo010099.84,318*
9-19OutNo100100.061,380*
Total:46.2%1.7%46791011121314154.0%470,671,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeWhitecapsSoundersFC DallasGalaxyDynamoReal Salt LakeEarthquakesSporting KCRapids
65-9012.5%Yes
6417-4-612.51000
6316-6-512.610000
6216-5-612.5100000000000
6115-7-512.5100000000000
6015-6-612.6100000000000
5915-5-712.5100000000000
5814-7-612.5100000000000
5714-6-712.499000000000
13-9-512.599000000000
5614-5-812.497000000000
13-8-612.497000000000
5513-7-712.393111111110
14-4-912.294111111100
5413-6-811.987122222111
12-9-611.987122222111
5312-8-711.376333333222
13-5-911.477333333222
11-11-511.478233333222
5212-7-810.462455555333
13-4-1010.563455555333
11-10-610.562455555333
5112-6-99.245677766544
11-9-79.144677776554
13-3-119.346667766544
5011-8-87.427788888665
12-5-107.629788888655
10-11-67.628788888665
4911-7-95.614788888665
10-10-75.514788888665
12-4-115.815788888665
4811-6-103.96677777555
10-9-83.76577777555
12-3-123.96677777655
4710-8-92.22455555443
11-5-112.42455555444
9-11-72.22455555443
4610-7-101.21233333222
9-10-81.20233333222
4510-6-110.50112221111
449-8-100.20011111000
439-7-110.10000000000
429-6-120.00000000000
418-8-110.00000000000
408-7-120.0000000000
398-6-130.0000000000
387-8-120.0000000000
377-7-13No00
366-9-12No0
9-35No
Total:3.2%16.81.92.32.42.42.32.31.71.61.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC 0 Timbers 1 -1.4
FC Dallas 3 Toronto FC 2 +0.0
Red Bulls 2 Earthquakes 0 -0.0
DC United 1 Dynamo 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders vs Timbers+0.6-0.1-1.7
Red Bulls vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids-0.0-0.0+0.1
Revolution vs Real Salt Lake-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs DC United+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
76-90100
7521-3-31000
7420-5-210000
7320-4-310000
7220-3-410000
7119-5-39900
7019-4-49910
6918-6-39811
6818-5-49721
6718-4-5953200
6617-6-493530
6517-5-5906400
6417-4-68596000
6316-6-579129000
6216-5-6711513000
6115-7-56219180100
6015-6-651232412000
5915-5-739263014000
5814-7-62827353700000
5714-6-718263851201000
5614-5-8102337918030000
5513-7-7518321325160000
5413-6-8212231731311020000
5312-8-707131833619040000
5212-7-80351527112719010000
5112-6-901210171431317040000
5011-8-80005814298261901000
4911-7-9000221019123131704000
4811-6-10001058132972619100
4710-8-900002291811322184000
4610-7-1000000481228728112000
4510-6-1100002281711332150000
449-8-1000000047112931143000
439-7-11000012818342692000
428-9-1000000482633207100
418-8-11000002314303016510
408-7-120001161931271330
397-9-11000002924322481
387-8-12000003142933173
377-7-130000172136288
366-9-1200000313323715
356-8-1300016254325
346-7-1400003174337
335-9-130001103949
325-8-1400063361
315-7-150032671
304-9-140011979
294-8-15011486
284-7-1600990
274-6-1700694
263-8-160496
253-7-170298
243-6-180199
232-8-170199
222-7-18199
212-6-190100
201-8-180100
191-7-190100
9-18100
Total:22335363738399876654