How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas 2 New England 0 -1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Real Salt Lake 1 Whitecaps 1 +0.5
+0.1
DC United 3 Chivas USA 1 +0.4
+0.0
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 1 +0.2
Crew 2 Impact 1 -0.1
Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs Impact-0.9+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Fire-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact vs Timbers-6.5-2.7+8.9
-0.5-0.2+0.7
+1.1-0.2-1.0
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Fire vs Whitecaps+1.1+0.1-2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
New England vs Rapids+1.4+0.3-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls-1.0+0.6+1.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Chivas USA-0.9+1.1+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Whitecaps vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.9-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.3-0.0-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6614-0-0In77.2%82180No1,398,897
6413-1-0In56.568320No12,445
6313-0-1In47.860391No17,658
6212-2-0In34.1504910No80,164
6112-1-1In24.4415730No227,077
6011-3-0In15.2326350No475,601*
5911-2-1In8.42368900No1,328,709
5811-1-2In4.316691500No2,706,782*
5710-3-1In1.710672210No5,576,904*
5610-2-2100.0%0.656031300No11,445,508*
559-4-1100.00.235040700No20,300,040*
549-3-2100.00.01384713100No36,427,409*
539-2-399.90.00264922200No61,572,524*
528-4-299.70.00154632600No96,637,677*
518-3-398.80.008364113100No149,672,300*
508-2-496.0No03254424400No217,939,568*
497-4-389.8No0114403510100No302,151,152*
487-3-478.2No006294319200No407,098,344*
476-5-361.2No02174232700No274,262,158
7-2-561.3No02174232700No244,342,306*
466-4-441.7No01833421510No633,736,789*
456-3-523.8No00321462830No474,992,873
5-6-324.0No00321462730No271,630,489*
445-5-411.1No00110404180No481,723,898
6-2-611.4No00111404180No353,328,665*
435-4-54.2No00042950161No624,993,283
4-7-34.4No0042950151No271,299,177*
425-3-61.3No0011752273No535,835,349
4-6-41.3No00117522730.0%387,285,365*
414-5-50.3No0008463970.0541,969,604
5-2-70.3No0008463970.0361,123,703*
404-4-60.1No0033548130.0574,882,048
3-7-40.1No0043648130.0270,968,443*
394-3-70.0No0012452230.0414,207,828
3-6-50.0No0012552220.0342,351,704*
383-5-60.0No0001551340.1390,394,886
4-2-80.0No001551340.1250,618,444*
373-4-70.0No00845460.4517,301,640*
363-3-80.0No00437591.5396,025,034*
352-5-7OutNo0227714.3285,190,814*
342-4-8OutNo0119809.8193,731,069*
332-3-9OutNo00128818.4123,528,808*
321-5-8OutNo079329.672,906,720*
311-4-9OutNo039742.439,865,475*
301-3-10OutNo029855.420,020,444*
290-5-9OutNo019967.38,978,828*
280-4-10OutNo010077.53,551,402*
270-3-11OutNo010085.51,219,317*
260-2-12OutNo010091.3328,617
24-25OutNo10097.81,460,555*
Total:19.6%0.0%013610162523161.2%10,679,124,494

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersGalaxyReal Salt LakeRapidsFC DallasWhitecapsChivas USAEarthquakes
63-6612.6%Yes
6212-2-012.410000
6112-1-112.31000000
6011-3-012.510000000000
5911-2-112.510000000000
5811-1-212.510000000000
5710-3-112.49900000000
5610-2-212.49700111100
559-4-112.29300122200
10-1-312.29301122200
549-3-211.88601333300
10-0-411.98601333300
539-2-311.27502555510
8-5-111.37602555510
528-4-210.46104888810
9-1-410.46104988810
518-3-39.244161211111120
7-6-19.345061112121120
9-0-59.244161211111111
508-2-47.828181514141321
7-5-27.828181514141321
497-4-36.215191615161531
8-1-56.315191615151521
6-7-16.415091616161531
487-3-44.66081615151431
6-6-24.76091615151431
8-0-64.77081615151421
476-5-33.12071312121221
7-2-53.22071312121121
5-8-13.32071312131231
466-4-41.9105989821
7-1-61.9105989821
5-7-21.9005989821
456-3-51.0003555510
5-6-31.0003555510
7-0-71.0003555511
445-5-40.4001222200
6-2-60.4001322200
4-8-20.5001323200
435-4-50.2000111100
4-7-30.2000111100
6-1-70.2000111100
425-3-60.0000000000
414-5-50.0000000000
404-4-60.000000000
394-3-70.000000000
383-5-60.000000000
373-4-70.000000
362-6-6No000
24-35No
Total:1.3%3.70.11.83.53.23.43.10.60.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/19100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas 2 New England 0 +0.1
DC United 3 Chivas USA 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Lottery seed
Impact vs Timbers+0.8+0.2-1.0
Sporting KC vs Union-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
6614-0-07751800
6413-1-057113200
6313-0-148123901
6212-2-0341647110
6112-1-1241654230
6011-3-01517595500
5911-2-18145999000
5811-1-2411561415000
5710-3-128472022010
5610-2-21535253113000
559-4-10323273827000
549-3-20112264251301000
539-2-3005204092202000
528-4-20021432143216000
518-3-300072016392130100
508-2-40031015404240400
497-4-300131032835110100
487-3-400015191040219200
476-5-3000289375327000
466-4-40002624941161000
456-3-500002129412950000
5-6-3000021110412961000
445-5-4000013730401530000
6-2-6000014731401420000
435-4-50000013174028102000
4-7-30001317402892000
425-3-60000172935216100
4-6-400001627352271000
414-5-5000002133032185000
5-2-7000002143131164000
404-4-60000518333013200
3-7-40000518333013200
394-3-7000018243525710
3-6-5000017233626810
383-5-6000021130361820
4-2-800021231351720
373-4-70000419383170
363-3-80000193141161
352-5-700032044284
342-4-8000110394010
332-3-90004294818
321-5-8001195030
311-4-9000114742
301-3-100053955
290-5-9023067
280-4-10012277
270-3-11001486
260-2-120991
250-1-130595
240-0-140298
Total:000111428212141211109741