Division 1 Title Chances 2011

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Playoffs			Chance will finish season at seed																						No Consolation
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Meat is Delicio	26		13	-	1	-	0	2448	25.7	%	+0.1	Yes			26	18	23		34																3.0	-0.06	No			1	.791	Meat is Delicious!
Midnight Flyers	24		12	-	2	-	0	2046	23.4		+1.1	Yes			23	18	18	6	23	12															3.2	+0.13	No			2	.780	Midnight Flyers
Erie Ear Wax	22		11	-	3	-	0	1180.5	11.1		-1.4	Yes			11	14	14	15	11	21	13	3													4.3	+0.01	No			5	.694	Erie Ear Wax
Billsrback	24		12	-	2	-	0	1296	10.7		+1.0	Yes			11	14	20	9	20	21	5														4.0	+0.02	No			3	.690	Billsrback
Young Money	20		10	-	4	-	0	1098.5	8.4		-0.8	Yes		+0.0	8	12	9	18		23	24	6													4.8	+0.01	No			9	.665	Young Money
Shawn's Team	22		11	-	3	-	0	902	8.2		-0.6	Yes			8	12	13	13	12	24	15	3													4.5	+0.05	No			4	.663	Shawn's Team
Redrum Raiders VI	18		9	-	5	-	0	891.5	6.3		+0.2	Yes		+11.3	6	7		20				66													6.3	-0.02	No			13	.657	Redrum Raiders VI
Daydream Believ	18		9	-	5	-	0	969.5	6.2		+1.4	Yes		+29.9	6	7	3	18			43	22													5.8	+0.92	No			12	.652	Daydream BelieveerNW


Steeler Virginity	16		8	-	6	-	0	157.5	No		-0.5	No		-16.7									100												9.0	+0.40	No			7	.531	Steeler Virginity
tim's Team	15		7	-	6	-	1	-379.5	No		-0.3	No		-22.5										100											10.0	-0.03	No			14	.422	tim's Team
Fata Morgana Vi	14		7	-	7	-	0	258.5	No		-0.0	No		-0.9											100										11.0	+0.05	No			8	.546	Fata Morgana Vitae
Oliver McBriar	14		7	-	7	-	0	144.95	No		-0.0	No		-1.2												100									12.0	-1.49	No			6	.527	Oliver McBriar
Flash's Fine Team	11		5	-	8	-	1	-738.5	No			No															100								13.0	+0.52	No			16	.340	Flash's Fine Team
Sugar Bear	10		5	-	9	-	0	-716.5	No			No																100							14.0	+0.79	No			10	.350	Sugar Bear
Hulkamania	10		5	-	9	-	0	-477.5	No			No																	100						15.0	-1.29	No			11	.390	Hulkamania
Last Night Took	6		3	-	11	-	0	-1598.45	No			No																		100					16.0	+0.04	No		-5.1	17	.191	Last Night Took A L

Crystal's Cool	4		2	-	12	-	0	-1741	No			No																			100				17.0	+0.03	Yes		+5.1	15	.183	Crystal's Cool Team
Stanley's Team	2		1	-	13	-	0	-1523.5	No			No																				100			18.0	+0.36	Yes			19	.194	Stanley's Team
Bad Dynamic	2		1	-	13	-	0	-2243.5	No			No																					100		19.0	+0.03	Yes			20	.098	Bad League Dynamic
Staffords Fat P	2		1	-	13	-	0	-1974.5	No			No																						100	20.0	-0.47	Yes			18	.106	Staffords Fat Pocket

Week of 11/26
Billsrback 397 Fata Morgana Vi 281.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Billsrback	+0.2		Yes				+0.2
Shawn's Team	+0.2		+2.5
Daydream Believ	+0.3		+4.3				+0.2
Steeler Virginity	+0.2		+4.0				+0.2
tim's Team			+2.1
Fata Morgana Vi	-1.3		-18.1				-1.1

Redrum Raiders VI 215.5 Shawn's Team 282.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Shawn's Team	+1.2		+10.0				+0.7
Redrum Raiders VI	-1.1		-6.7				-0.6

Young Money 273.5 Midnight Flyers 348.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Midnight Flyers	+0.3		Yes
Young Money	-1.1		-7.7				-0.5
Steeler Virginity			+1.7

Daydream Believ 330.5 Crystal's Cool 141
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Young Money			-0.7
Shawn's Team			-0.9
Daydream Believ	+0.4		+7.0				+0.4
Steeler Virginity			-2.2
Fata Morgana Vi			-1.7
Oliver McBriar					*No
Flash's Fine Team					No
Sugar Bear			*No
Last Night Took					-5.0
Crystal's Cool					+6.2		-0.2

Stanley's Team 86 Steeler Virginity 246
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Daydream Believ			-2.0
Steeler Virginity	+0.4		+7.0				+0.4
tim's Team			-1.1
Fata Morgana Vi			-1.2
Flash's Fine Team	*No		No
Hulkamania			*No
Last Night Took					-1.3
Stanley's Team					+1.8		-0.2

Erie Ear Wax 330 Flash's Fine Team 205
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Erie Ear Wax	+0.3		+2.3				+0.2
Flash's Fine Team	*No		No				-0.2

tim's Team 224.5 Last Night Took 132.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Daydream Believ			-1.4
tim's Team			+2.9				+0.4
Hulkamania			*No
Last Night Took					+9.8		-0.2
Crystal's Cool					-5.8
Bad Dynamic					-2.5
Staffords Fat P					-0.1

Meat is Delicio 436.5 Sugar Bear 278
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Sugar Bear					+0.1		-0.2

Staffords Fat P 51.5 Oliver McBriar 175.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Oliver McBriar					*No		+0.2
Staffords Fat P					Yes

Bad Dynamic 0 Hulkamania 194.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Hulkamania							+0.2
Last Night Took					-3.1
Bad Dynamic					+4.3		-0.3

Week of 12/3
Young Money 327.5 Redrum Raiders VI 237.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Young Money	+2.1		+17.9				+1.1
Redrum Raiders VI	-1.7		-11.5				-0.9
Steeler Virginity			-1.7
tim's Team			-1.8

Steeler Virginity 172.5 Meat is Delicio 437.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Redrum Raiders VI	+0.5		+7.4				+0.3
Daydream Believ			+1.8				+0.2
Steeler Virginity	-1.0		-16.8				-0.8
tim's Team			+4.8
Fata Morgana Vi			+1.4
Oliver McBriar			+0.2

Fata Morgana Vi 224 Shawn's Team 289.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Shawn's Team	+0.3		Yes				+0.2
Redrum Raiders VI	+0.3		+3.7
Steeler Virginity			+2.1				+0.2
tim's Team			+2.4				+0.2
Fata Morgana Vi	-0.6		-12.1				-1.0

Daydream Believ 264.5 Stanley's Team 141
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Young Money			-0.9
Redrum Raiders VI			-1.2
Daydream Believ	+0.5		+7.2				+0.4
Steeler Virginity	-0.2		-3.3
Fata Morgana Vi			-0.9
Stanley's Team					Yes		-0.2

tim's Team 161 Crystal's Cool 138
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Daydream Believ			-2.2
tim's Team	+0.1		+3.8				+0.4
Sugar Bear					No
Last Night Took					-11.9
Crystal's Cool					+12.6		-0.2

Erie Ear Wax 326.5 Sugar Bear 166.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Erie Ear Wax	+0.2		Yes

Last Night Took 123.5 Midnight Flyers 411.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Last Night Took					+2.3
Crystal's Cool					-1.7
Stanley's Team					-0.1
Bad Dynamic					-0.4

Flash's Fine Team 122 Oliver McBriar 193
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Oliver McBriar			+0.5				+0.4
Flash's Fine Team							-0.3

Bad Dynamic 0 Staffords Fat P 52.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Last Night Took					-3.6
Bad Dynamic					Yes		-0.7

Week of 12/10
Daydream Believ 280 tim's Team 134.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Meat is Delicio	-1.3
Daydream Believ	+2.1		+29.9				+1.2
Steeler Virginity	-0.3		-8.3
tim's Team	No		No				-1.1

Erie Ear Wax 257 Steeler Virginity 212
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Redrum Raiders VI	+0.4		+6.9				+0.2
Daydream Believ			Yes
Steeler Virginity	-0.2		-7.8				-0.4
Oliver McBriar			+1.0				+0.2

Redrum Raiders VI 273.5 Last Night Took 150
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Redrum Raiders VI	+0.4		+6.0				+0.2
Steeler Virginity			-4.1
Oliver McBriar	No		No

Young Money 351 Fata Morgana Vi 278
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Young Money	+0.2		Yes				+0.2
Fata Morgana Vi	No		No				-0.8

Midnight Flyers 351 Crystal's Cool 109
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Last Night Took					No
Crystal's Cool					Yes

Oliver McBriar 142.5 Sugar Bear 185
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
tim's Team							+0.7
Oliver McBriar	No		No				-1.5

Shawn's Team 191.5 Hulkamania 123
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Flash's Fine Team							+0.3
Hulkamania							-0.3

Flash's Fine Team 219 Bad Dynamic 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Playoffs	100.0*	No Consolation	100.0*	Average seed
Flash's Fine Team							+0.3
Stanley's Team							+0.2
Bad Dynamic							-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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