Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied Portland 3-3, playoff odds down 1.6 to 68.1%
10 points   2-4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 3 Portland 3 -1.6
-0.3
-0.6
+0.1
-0.2
Seattle 5 Montreal 0 -0.6
-0.1
Vancouver 4 Toronto 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.1
Chicago 2 Houston 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
St Louis 0 Dallas 0 +0.3
LAFC 2 LA Galaxy 1 -0.3
Minnesota 1 RSL 1 +0.2
+0.1
Miami CF 2 Colorado 2 +0.2
+0.0
Austin 4 San Jose 3 -0.1
Nashville 1 Philadelphia 2 -0.1
Columbus 1 DC United 1 +0.1
New England 1 Charlotte 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC vs Miami CF+7.7-1.9-6.5
+0.9-0.3-0.7
+1.6-0.5-1.2
-1.0+0.1+1.0
+0.8-0.2-0.7
RSL vs Columbus-0.6+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
St Louis vs Austin-0.2+0.4-0.1
Dallas vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.1
San Jose vs Colorado-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Portland vs LAFC-0.2+0.3-0.0
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Houston-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.1
Montreal vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
80-91In100.0%100No900,579*
7922-3-2In99.81000No9,286*
7822-2-3In99.91000No19,715*
7721-4-2In99.91000No39,323*
7621-3-3In99.81000No78,376*
7520-5-2In99.81000No149,441*
7420-4-3In99.71000No274,616*
7320-3-4In99.610000No495,753*
7219-5-3In99.310000No866,778*
7119-4-4In98.910000No1,475,644*
7019-3-5In98.39910No2,450,307*
6918-5-4In97.29910No3,956,661*
6818-4-5In95.798200No6,254,780*
6717-6-4In93.398200No9,633,669*
6617-5-5In89.996400No14,501,695*
6517-4-6In85.294600No21,357,521*
6416-6-5In78.791900No30,721,847*
6316-5-6In70.48712000No43,239,027*
6216-4-7In60.28217100No59,557,106*
6115-6-6In48.675232000No80,283,549*
6015-5-7In36.266304000No105,943,560*
5914-7-6In24.4563671000No136,910,610*
5814-6-7In14.44541121000No173,234,973*
5714-5-8In7.234441930000No214,818,713*
5613-7-7In2.923432671000No260,920,417*
5513-6-8In0.91437331320000No310,487,787*
5413-5-9100.0%0.27283621610000No362,134,544*
5312-7-8100.00.031834291230000No413,886,717*
5212-6-9100.00.0110273321710000No463,433,143*
5112-5-10100.00.0041631291541000No508,615,580*
5011-7-9100.00.00182232241020000No547,006,164*
4911-6-1099.9No00312273119710000No576,437,997*
4810-8-999.3No00151629291541000No595,165,647*
4710-7-1097.0No000172031261130000No602,104,121*
4610-6-1190.1No000021024312282000No596,554,207*
459-8-1075.8No00004142830185100No578,937,063*
449-7-1155.0No00001618312813300No550,141,452*
439-6-1233.3No0000292332249100.0%511,744,365*
428-8-1116.6No0000313283218500.0465,949,330*
418-7-126.8No0000162033281110.0415,070,603*
408-6-132.3No000021128352040.0361,611,859*
397-8-120.6No0001519373080.3308,042,184*
387-7-130.1No00002123239161.3256,428,143*
377-6-140.0No000162544254.1208,532,970*
366-8-130.0No00031744369.7165,530,571*
356-7-140.0No000111404818.4128,232,937*
346-6-150.0No00006345929.796,850,903*
335-8-140.0No0003286942.471,266,347*
325-7-15OutNo002217755.151,057,799*
315-6-16OutNo001158466.435,589,337*
304-8-15OutNo000118975.924,089,276*
294-7-16OutNo0079383.415,834,374*
284-6-17OutNo0059588.910,077,692*
273-8-16OutNo0039792.86,215,572*
263-7-17OutNo029895.43,694,343*
253-6-18OutNo019997.22,122,374*
243-5-19OutNo019998.31,169,803*
232-7-18OutNo0010099.0620,990*
222-6-19OutNo010099.4314,343*
212-5-20OutNo010099.6151,357*
201-7-19OutNo010099.869,595*
191-6-20OutNo010099.829,854*
181-5-21OutNo010099.812,030*
10-17OutNo100100.0900,021*
Total:68.1%3.0%778888888777652.1%10,414,207,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeVancouverMinnesotaLA GalaxyHoustonRSLLAFCColoradoAustinPortlandSt LouisSeattleDallasSan Jose
69-9112.5%Yes
6818-4-512.51000
6717-6-412.51000
6617-5-512.5100000000
6517-4-612.5100000000000000
6416-6-512.51000000000000000
6316-5-612.51000000000000000
6216-4-712.51000000000000000
6115-6-612.51000000000000000
6015-5-712.51000000000000000
14-8-512.51000000000000000
5914-7-612.5990000000000000
15-4-812.5990000000000000
5814-6-712.4980000000000000
15-3-912.4990000000000000
5714-5-812.3960000000000000
13-8-612.3960000000000000
5613-7-712.0921111111110000
14-4-912.0921111111110000
5513-6-811.5842222211111110
12-9-611.5842222211111110
14-3-1011.6852121111111110
5413-5-910.7723333322222111
12-8-710.7723333322222111
5312-7-89.5554444443333221
13-4-109.6574444443333221
11-10-69.6564444443333221
5212-6-98.0376555554444332
11-9-78.0376555554444332
13-3-118.3405555554443322
5112-5-106.4216666655544332
11-8-86.3206666655544332
10-11-66.5226666655544332
5011-7-94.595555554444332
12-4-114.7105555554444332
10-10-74.695555554444332
4911-6-102.834444433333221
10-9-82.734443333333221
12-3-123.044444443333221
4811-5-111.512222222222111
10-8-91.412222222221111
4710-7-100.501111111111100
4610-6-110.200000000000000
4510-5-120.000000000000000
449-7-110.000000000000000
439-6-120.000000000000000
429-5-130.00000000000000
418-7-120.00000000000000
407-9-11No00000
10-39No
Total:3.7%21.51.51.51.51.51.51.41.21.21.11.00.90.80.5
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs