How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
DC United 3 Chivas USA 1 -1.5
Real Salt Lake 1 Whitecaps 1 +0.4
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 1 -0.9
+0.0
Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs Impact-0.2+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+9.5-4.5-12.5
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Fire vs Whitecaps+0.1+0.1-0.2
New England vs Rapids+0.1+0.1-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls-0.2+0.2+0.2
Rapids vs Chivas USA-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Whitecaps vs FC Dallas*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Sporting KC+2.6+1.5-4.7
Sporting KC vs Union-2.9+2.8+4.4
DC United vs Toronto FC-2.2+2.1+2.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
74-86In99.9%100No392,072*
7311-2-3In99.91000No261,447*
7210-4-2In99.81000No393,419*
7110-3-3In99.71000No575,303*
709-5-2In99.31000No792,162*
699-4-3In98.71000No1,056,002*
689-3-4In98.01000No843,675
8-6-2In97.31000No513,966*
678-5-3In95.61000No1,032,438
9-2-5In96.41000No633,157*
668-4-4In93.610000No1,378,859
7-7-2In92.8991No596,029*
658-3-5In90.59910No1,167,973
7-6-3In88.1991No1,083,137*
647-5-4In83.29820No1,594,708
8-2-6In84.19820No870,148*
637-4-5In77.29730No1,676,849
6-7-3In74.29730No931,214*
626-6-4In64.995500No1,336,372
7-3-6In68.29460No1,312,011*
616-5-5In55.491900No1,671,370
7-2-7In57.389110No521,024*
5-8-3In51.192800No390,367
606-4-6In44.8851400No1,441,428
5-7-4In40.7861300No994,529*
595-6-5In29.9801910No1,185,779
6-3-7In31.9782210No1,014,195*
585-5-6In20.5702820No1,217,446
4-8-4In19.0692920No694,567*
575-4-7In12.35838400No881,774
4-7-5In10.36036400No714,354*
564-6-6In5.34844800No710,156
5-3-8In5.64546900No567,021*
554-5-7In2.233501510No978,335*
544-4-8100.0%0.7215025300No718,230*
533-6-7100.00.1124436800No501,068*
523-5-8100.00.0533441620No334,077*
513-4-999.80.0220442850No212,380*
502-6-898.8No01036391310No127,691*
492-5-995.4No0323432640No72,627*
482-4-1087.1No011137381210No38,569*
471-6-970.7No0424432540No19,340*
461-5-1049.7No011137371210No8,897*
451-4-1127.9No0424452340No3,779*
441-3-1211.0No1104038111No1,464*
430-5-114.6No042847182No457*
420-4-122.6No31844323No151*
410-3-13OutNo12293226No34*
400-2-14OutNo105040No10
380-0-16OutNo0331660.0%4,380
Total:99.9%59.3%831331000000.0%33,466,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeGalaxyReal Salt LakeRapidsFC DallasWhitecapsTimbersEarthquakesChivas USA
63-8612.5%Yes
626-6-412.51000
7-3-612.5Yes
5-9-212.5Yes
616-5-512.51000
7-2-712.5Yes
5-8-312.51000
606-4-612.510000000
5-7-412.510000
7-1-812.41000
4-10-212.1Yes
595-6-512.51000000000
6-3-712.51000000000
4-9-312.41000
585-5-612.510000000000
4-8-412.61000000000
6-2-812.51000000000
575-4-712.510000000000
4-7-512.610000000000
6-1-912.710000000000
3-10-312.6100000000
564-6-612.410000000000
5-3-812.610000000000
3-9-412.510000000000
554-5-712.59900000000
3-8-512.49900000000
5-2-912.49900000000
544-4-812.49700111000
3-7-612.49700111000
5-1-1012.29601111000
533-6-712.39201222100
4-3-912.29101222110
2-9-512.39201222100
523-5-811.88212443111
2-8-612.08313334111
4-2-1011.78013444211
513-4-911.16625776222
2-7-711.16725777222
502-6-810.14738101010443
3-3-109.94538111110443
492-5-98.627410141413554
1-8-78.926410141413564
482-4-106.812411151514665
471-6-94.64310131313554
461-5-103.012791010443
451-4-111.9014665222
441-3-120.502322110
430-5-11No1210100
420-4-120.7111
38-41No
Total:12.4%98.80.10.20.20.20.20.10.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/19100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders vs Galaxy-0.3+0.1+0.4
Sporting KC vs Union+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
80-86100
7913-2-11000
7813-1-21000
7712-3-11000
7612-2-21000
7511-4-11000
7411-3-21000
7311-2-310000
7210-4-210000
7110-3-310000
709-5-29910
699-4-39910
689-3-49820
678-5-39640
668-4-4936000
658-3-5908100
7-6-3881110
647-5-48315200
8-2-68414200
637-4-57719300
6-7-37423300
626-6-465305000
7-3-66826600
616-5-555369000
606-4-64541141000
5-7-44146121000
595-6-53050172100
6-3-73246202100
585-5-62050235200
4-8-41950245200
575-4-712462994000
4-7-5105026104000
564-6-6541281780000
554-5-72312525141100
544-4-812118322233000
533-6-7012113429780000
523-5-8055283113160200
513-4-9021192519271500
502-6-8009162136313010
492-5-900371636725040
482-4-100012926113711210
471-6-900312113942540
461-5-10001483083613100
451-4-11004158422450
441-3-12014634391420
430-5-1101416432871
420-4-1231125401651
410-3-136151844153
400-2-14104050
380-0-1601726392330
Total:592494311000000000000