How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders 1 Crew 0 +5.6
+0.4
+0.2
-3.4
+0.3
NYCFC 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.6
+0.4
+0.0
Whitecaps 1 Sporting KC 1 +0.6
-0.1
Red Bulls 4 FC Dallas 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.8
Earthquakes 1 Sporting KC 0 -0.4
Real Salt Lake 2 Dynamo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Revolution 1 Timbers 1 +0.1
-0.1
Union 1 Earthquakes 1 *-0.1
Red Bulls 3 Orlando 2 +1.0
Revolution 2 Orlando 2 -0.2
NYCFC 1 Impact 1 -0.2
Fire 1 DC United 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders vs Earthquakes+7.5-4.3-9.8
+0.6-0.3-0.7
+0.3-0.2-0.3
-2.3+1.1+3.2
+0.4-0.2-0.6
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas+0.6-0.1-1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Toronto FC-1.0+0.5+1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Galaxy-0.9+0.5+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs Sporting KC+0.2+0.4-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.4
Whitecaps vs Timbers-0.2+0.7-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Real Salt Lake-0.0+0.1-0.2
Crew vs Impact+0.2-0.1-0.3
Orlando vs Red Bulls-0.1*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
76-88InYes100No224,216*
7521-2-3In99.6%1000No225*
7420-4-2In99.61000No531*
7320-3-3In99.81000No1,118*
7219-5-2In99.61000No2,533*
7119-4-3In99.31000No5,302*
7019-3-4In98.7991No10,688*
6918-5-3In97.9991No21,225*
6818-4-4In96.79820No40,316*
6717-6-3In94.69730No75,850*
6617-5-4In92.09550No136,759*
6517-4-5In88.192800No242,594*
6416-6-4In82.7891100No415,412*
6316-5-5In75.5841610No694,938*
6216-4-6In66.9772110No1,133,258*
6115-6-5In56.57027300No1,798,423*
6015-5-6In45.16134500No2,783,289*
5914-7-5In33.650409100No4,214,514*
5814-6-6In22.8404414200No6,210,786*
5714-5-7100.0%13.82946213000No8,929,710*
5613-7-6100.07.32044297100No12,542,180*
5513-6-7100.03.212383612100No17,181,678*
5413-5-8100.01.173040204000No22,986,450*
5312-7-7100.00.332039288100No30,014,871*
5212-6-899.90.1112343615200No38,267,020*
5111-8-799.50.0062539246000No47,658,296*
5011-7-898.30.00215363312200No57,922,790*
4911-6-995.10.00182738215000No68,725,254*
4810-8-888.50.000317373110100No79,582,524*
4710-7-977.2No0019293819400No89,981,092*
4610-6-1061.5No0004193829810No99,261,515*
459-8-944.0No0011132371620No106,872,600*
449-7-1027.7No000523402660No112,256,920*
439-6-1115.3No0021336361210.0%114,984,545*
428-8-107.4No001728412030.0114,831,906*
418-7-113.1No000319423060.0111,818,937*
408-6-121.1No001113739110.1106,076,489*
397-8-110.4No00063046180.498,010,897*
387-7-120.1No00032248271.588,166,021*
377-6-130.0No0011447384.377,192,194*
366-8-120.0No000943489.965,708,440*
356-7-130.0No005365918.754,367,553*
346-6-140.0No003296830.143,692,868*
335-8-13OutNo01227643.034,075,809*
325-7-14OutNo01168356.025,764,384*
315-6-15OutNo00128867.618,873,690*
304-8-14OutNo0089277.313,373,210*
294-7-15OutNo059584.89,163,789*
284-6-16OutNo0039790.36,053,718*
273-8-15OutNo029894.03,855,898*
263-7-16OutNo019996.42,357,271*
253-6-17OutNo019997.91,385,045*
242-8-16OutNo010098.9778,674*
232-7-17OutNo010099.4417,909*
222-6-18OutNo010099.7213,018*
212-5-19OutNo010099.8102,632*
201-7-18OutNo010099.946,784*
191-6-19OutNo010099.919,836*
10-18OutNo100100.0236,166*
Total:34.8%0.6%1346912141718166.1%1,801,762,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCTimbersWhitecapsDynamo
66-8812.6%Yes
6517-4-512.41000
6416-6-412.6100000
6316-5-512.5100000000000
6216-4-612.5100000000000
6115-6-512.5100000000000
6015-5-612.5100000000000
5914-7-512.599000000000
5814-6-612.498000000000
5714-5-712.396000111000
5613-7-612.293111111000
14-4-812.293111111000
5513-6-711.887222222110
12-9-511.886222322110
5413-5-811.377333444110
12-8-611.276334444110
5312-7-710.463455666221
13-4-910.463455666221
5212-6-89.348667888331
11-9-69.246678988331
13-3-109.347667888331
5111-8-77.831789101010442
12-5-97.93288910109442
10-11-57.729889101010442
5011-7-86.3188810111110442
12-4-106.3188810111110442
10-10-66.0168910111110442
4911-6-94.79889101010442
10-9-74.58789101010442
12-3-114.58889101010442
4810-8-83.13668988332
11-5-103.24668998432
9-11-62.93667988332
4710-7-91.91445666331
11-4-111.91446666331
9-10-71.81445666221
4610-6-101.00333444221
9-9-81.00233443111
459-8-90.50112222110
10-5-110.50112222110
449-7-100.20111111000
439-6-110.10000000000
428-8-100.00000000000
418-7-110.00000000000
408-6-120.0000000000
397-8-110.0000000000
387-7-120.0000000000
377-6-130.0000000
367-5-14No0000
10-35No
Total:1.8%7.91.81.82.22.52.42.30.90.90.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/24100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders 1 Crew 0 -0.8
Revolution 1 Timbers 1 -0.0
NYCFC 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders vs Earthquakes-0.9+0.5+1.1
Timbers vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Timbers+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
76-88100
7521-2-31000
7420-4-210000
7320-3-310000
7219-5-210000
7119-4-39900
7019-3-49901
6918-5-39811
6818-4-497120
6717-6-395230
6617-5-492350
6517-4-58848000
6416-6-483611000
6316-5-576816010
6216-4-6671121010
6115-6-557132703000
6015-5-645153405000
5914-7-5341739190100
5814-6-62317422140200
5714-5-7141642421030000
5613-7-6713377280701000
5513-6-739299351120100
5413-5-816191138220040000
5312-7-703101035428080100
5212-6-801482773511502000
5111-8-7001516936224060000
5011-7-8000278315320120200
4911-6-90001262083622105000
4810-8-80000039833431010100
4710-7-90000136227361194000
4610-6-100000131093442991000
459-8-9000013724836173000
449-7-1000000141210352881000
439-6-11000024927361840000
428-8-100000116153429123000
418-7-1100000362333239200
408-6-1200001212273119710
397-8-110000041629291540
387-7-120000017213226101
377-6-13000003122734204
366-8-1200001519353110
356-7-130000210303919
346-6-1400015224330
335-8-130002144143
325-7-1400183656
315-6-1500042868
304-8-140022177
294-7-150011485
284-6-16000990
273-8-1500694
263-7-1600496
253-6-170298
242-8-160199
232-7-170199
222-6-180100
212-5-190100
201-7-180100
191-6-190100
181-5-200100
171-4-21100
160-6-200100
10-15100
Total:1121315272931110987776