"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New England Revolution Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4 to 38.3%
0 points   0-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+6.9-4.0-9.0
+0.6-0.4-0.8
+0.6-0.4-0.7
-2.4+1.2+3.3
+0.5-0.3-0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Revolution-4.0+0.3+11.0
-0.4+0.0+1.1
-0.4-0.0+1.3
+1.4-0.4-3.4
-0.3+0.0+0.8
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.5*+0.0-1.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4*+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.5-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4*-0.0
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.3
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Revolution finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-99In100.0%100No38,994*
7423-5-5In99.91000No1,490*
7322-7-4In99.71000No2,730*
7222-6-5In99.51000No4,906*
7122-5-6In99.11000No8,634*
7021-7-5In98.61000No15,052*
6921-6-6In98.0991No25,069*
6820-8-5In96.9991No42,059*
6720-7-6In95.39820No67,366*
6620-6-7In92.99730No108,142*
6519-8-6In89.69640No169,043*
6419-7-7In85.094600No256,607*
6319-6-8In78.891800No384,068*
6218-8-7In70.9881200No561,994*
6118-7-8In61.1831610No809,130*
6017-9-7In50.1762220No1,135,201*
5917-8-8In38.46828300No1,566,998*
5817-7-9In26.959346000No2,120,080*
5716-9-8In16.8484010100No2,806,354*
5616-8-9100.0%9.13843162000No3,652,725*
5516-7-10100.04.127442351000No4,662,613*
5415-9-9100.01.4184030101000No5,829,490*
5315-8-10100.00.4113336174000No7,155,324*
5215-7-1199.90.1624372481000No8,603,235*
5114-9-1099.60.02153331153000No10,159,084*
5014-8-1198.60.01825342381000No11,763,506*
4913-10-1095.7No04163130154000No13,342,020*
4813-9-1189.3No01823332492000No14,854,952*
4713-8-1277.7No003142931175100No16,218,470*
4612-10-1161.0No001721322611200No17,359,814*
4512-9-1242.0No000312273219610No18,210,462*
4412-8-1324.8No000151932281220No18,729,100*
4311-10-1212.4No000210263421610.0%18,888,370*
4211-9-135.2No00151833301220.018,660,628*
4111-8-141.8No00021027362140.018,074,938*
4010-10-130.5No001519373080.117,139,451*
3910-9-140.1No0002123339150.615,918,766*
3810-8-150.0No00162544242.114,472,752*
379-10-140.0No00031844355.512,897,807*
369-9-150.0No00111414611.711,243,634*
359-8-160.0No0007365720.79,585,577*
348-10-15OutNo004296731.97,999,584*
338-9-160.0No0002227644.16,524,998*
328-8-17OutNo001178356.05,200,709*
317-10-16OutNo00128866.94,048,311*
307-9-17OutNo0089275.93,078,433*
297-8-18OutNo0059583.12,285,935*
286-10-17OutNo039788.51,656,211*
276-9-18OutNo029892.51,166,485*
266-8-19OutNo019995.1804,361*
255-10-18OutNo019997.0536,091*
245-9-19OutNo0010098.1348,288*
235-8-20OutNo010098.9220,378*
224-10-19OutNo010099.4135,479*
214-9-20OutNo010099.680,605*
204-8-21OutNo010099.846,451*
193-10-20OutNo010099.926,034*
183-9-21OutNo010099.913,890*
0-17OutNo100100.051,386*
Total:38.3%1.4%45678910111213167.4%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Revolution finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedImpactCrew
65-9912.6%Yes
6419-7-712.510000
6319-6-812.410000
6218-8-712.51000000000000
6118-7-812.51000000000000
6017-9-712.51000000000000
5917-8-812.51000000000000
5817-7-912.51000000000000
5716-9-812.5990000000000
17-6-1012.5990000000000
5616-8-912.4970000000000
15-11-712.4970000000000
5516-7-1012.2941111111000
15-10-812.2941111111000
5415-9-911.9881111111111
16-6-1111.9891111111111
5315-8-1011.4802222222211
14-11-811.4792322222211
16-5-1211.4802222222211
5215-7-1110.7674444433322
14-10-910.5664444433322
13-13-710.5664444433322
5114-9-109.4515555554433
15-6-129.5525555554433
13-12-89.2495655554433
5014-8-117.9356777765544
13-11-97.7336777765544
15-5-137.8347777765544
4913-10-105.9197777766554
14-7-126.1207777766554
12-13-85.9197777766554
4813-9-114.2106766665544
14-6-134.3106767665544
12-12-94.096666665544
4713-8-122.745555544443
12-11-102.534555544433
14-5-142.645555544433
4612-10-111.413333333222
13-7-131.413333333222
4512-9-120.702222221111
13-6-140.601222211111
4412-8-130.301111111110
4311-10-120.100000000000
4211-9-130.000000000000
4111-8-140.000000000000
4010-10-130.00000000000
3910-9-140.00000000000
3810-8-150.00000000000
379-10-14No0000000
0-36No
Total:2.7%14.61.61.71.71.71.71.51.41.31.21.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-1.0+0.6+1.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.6-0.1-1.7
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
77-99100
7624-4-51000
7523-6-4100
7423-5-510000
7322-7-410000
7222-6-59900
7122-5-69910
7021-7-59910
6921-6-69811
6820-8-59721
6720-7-695320
6620-6-793430
6519-8-6907400
6419-7-78596000
6319-6-879138000
6218-8-77117120000
6118-7-86121160100
6017-9-75026211200
5917-8-838302623000
5817-7-92732314600000
5716-9-817323371001000
5616-8-9929311216120000
5516-7-1042326182125010000
5415-9-9117182325510010000
5315-8-100109242510161400000
5215-7-110542120172238010000
5114-9-1002114112124814130000
5014-8-1101084201915202801000
4913-10-10004115112023714140000
4813-9-1100108420181521392000
4713-8-1200031139202291651000
4612-10-110001073181617221341000
4512-9-120000301172021221130000
4412-8-1300001052171425221131000
4311-10-1200000201061827221131000
4211-9-1300010528212822113000
4111-8-14000002031022282210200
4010-10-13000101412242920820
3910-9-14000000151527291751
3810-8-150000017193128122
379-10-140000002102534226
369-9-1500001517343212
359-8-160000029284021
348-10-150015204232
338-9-1600002134144
328-8-1700183556
317-10-1600042967
307-9-170022276
297-8-180011683
286-10-17001188
276-9-1800792
266-8-1900595
255-10-180397
245-9-190298
235-8-200199
224-10-19199
214-9-200100
204-8-210100
193-10-200100
183-9-210100
173-8-220100
163-7-230100
152-9-220100
142-8-230100
0-13100
Total:1223333444445566667777