"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV 1 Reno 0 -0.3
Swope Park 5 San Antonio 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Salt Lake vs Orange CountyInIn-0.0
Reno vs OKCIn+0.0-0.0
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Seattle vs Phoenix+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno vs PortlandIn*+0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.4-0.6
Col Springs vs Swope Park+0.1+0.1-0.1
Swope Park vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.1+0.2
San Antonio vs RGV-0.1+0.1+0.2
Vancouver vs Phoenix+0.1+0.0-0.0
Portland vs Phoenix+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Reno finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
645-0-0In474579,114,286
624-0-1In125631122,420,816
614-1-0In544482025,343,608
603-0-2In1295911021,924,509
593-1-1In0196614048,787,101
583-2-0In0965251026,388,828
2-0-3In0755362010,623,633
572-1-2In0347454034,887,435
562-2-1In140518036,987,782
1-0-4In131561202,549,822
552-3-0In02555181012,563,730
1-1-3In01758232010,969,426
541-2-2In01154324017,092,044
0-0-5In08533530242,277
531-3-1In0641449011,319,076
0-1-4In0336481301,279,441
521-4-0In02244923202,654,133
0-2-3In01225025202,600,317
510-3-2100.0%01246374002,509,290
500-4-1100.004314914101,133,707
490-5-0100.00116503030209,039
Total:100.0%316422882000301,600,300
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs