Reno 1868 FC Playoff Chances 2020-1

Beat Las Vegas 1-0, playoff odds up 5.4 to 97.6%

9 points 3-0-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Chances based on how well the Reno finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	Count

38	-45						In		100					1,231,240,743	*
37		9	-	1	-	2	In		100	0				572,911,569
		8	-	4	-	0	In		100					193,229,089
36		8	-	3	-	1	In		100	0				818,560,045
		9	-	0	-	3	In		100	0				197,478,664
35		8	-	2	-	2	In		100	0				1,279,848,727
		7	-	5	-	0	In		100					155,314,328
34		8	-	1	-	3	In		100	0				876,125,811
		7	-	4	-	1	In		100	0				816,018,288
33		7	-	3	-	2	In		100	0				1,688,442,075
		8	-	0	-	4	In		100	0				312,397,482	*
32		7	-	2	-	3	In		100	0				1,721,641,311
		6	-	5	-	1	In		100	0				567,335,185
31		6	-	4	-	2	100.0	%	99	1	0			1,456,979,711
		7	-	1	-	4	100.0		99	1	0			904,372,515	*
30		6	-	3	-	3	100.0		98	2	0			1,967,468,768
		5	-	6	-	1	100.0		99	1	0			280,816,490
		7	-	0	-	5	100.0		96	4	0			171,801,666
29		6	-	2	-	4	100.0		95	5	0			1,474,518,580
		5	-	5	-	2	100.0		96	4	0			871,419,808	*
28		5	-	4	-	3	100.0		92	8	0			1,441,323,140
		6	-	1	-	5	100.0		88	12	0			581,870,505
		4	-	7	-	1	100.0		95	5	0			98,939,937
27		5	-	3	-	4	99.9		84	16	0			1,431,453,571
		4	-	6	-	2	100.0		88	12	0			350,900,753
		6	-	0	-	6	99.8		78	21	0			97,150,681	*
26		5	-	2	-	5	99.5		71	28	1			842,474,920
		4	-	5	-	3	99.7		77	23	0			726,183,023	*
25		4	-	4	-	4	98.7		62	37	1			866,270,769
		5	-	1	-	6	97.9		55	43	2	0		272,219,839
		3	-	7	-	2	99.3		69	31	1			98,371,247	*
24		4	-	3	-	5	95.5		44	51	5	0		676,033,116
		3	-	6	-	3	96.5		49	48	3	0		268,538,018	*
23		3	-	5	-	4	90.9		32	59	9	0		334,676,536
		4	-	2	-	6	88.2		26	62	12	0		343,899,123	*
22		3	-	4	-	5	78.8		16	63	21	0		324,686,357
		4	-	1	-	7	77.0		14	63	23	0		136,378,359	*
21		3	-	3	-	6	61.1		6	55	38	1		300,705,368	*
20		2	-	5	-	5	40.4		1	39	56	4		183,605,616	*
19		2	-	4	-	6	22.2		0	22	66	12		105,285,368	*
18		2	-	3	-	7	9.8		0	10	66	25		57,342,698	*
17		1	-	5	-	6	3.4		0	3	56	41		28,880,295	*
16		1	-	4	-	7	0.9			1	42	57		13,413,978	*
15		1	-	3	-	8	0.2			0	29	71		5,811,751	*
14		1	-	2	-	9	0.0			0	17	83		2,259,254	*
13		0	-	4	-	8	0.0			0	10	90		769,802	*
12		0	-	3	-	9	Out				5	95		232,896	*
11		0	-	2	-	10	Out				2	98		58,231
10		0	-	1	-	11	Out				0	100		9,607
9		0	-	0	-	12	Out				0	100		1,929,927

Total:							97.6	%	87	11	2	0		27,149,595,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31	100.0*	Lottery seed
Portland II vs Tacoma	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Loudoun	+0.0-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Reno vs Sacramento	-1.0+0.7+1.9
Reno vs Tacoma	-0.9+0.7+1.8
Portland II vs Sacramento	-0.1-0.1+0.2
Las Vegas vs Tacoma	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta II vs Tampa Bay	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Miami vs Tampa Bay	-0.1-0.0+0.1
OKC vs San Antonio	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Louisville vs Indy	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia II vs Hartford	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Phoenix vs New Mexico	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs San Antonio	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Orange County vs Los Angeles II	-0.0-0.0+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35

45	12	-	0	-	0	100	0
43	11	-	1	-	0	100	0	0	0
42	11	-	0	-	1	99	1	0	0
41	10	-	2	-	0	98	2	0	0
40	10	-	1	-	1	95	5	0	0	0
39	9	-	3	-	0	90	10	0	0	0
38	9	-	2	-	1	83	16	1	0	0	0	0
37	9	-	1	-	2	73	24	3	0	0	0	0		0
	8	-	4	-	0	67	28	5	0	0	0	0
36	8	-	3	-	1	55	35	9	1	0	0	0	0	0
	9	-	0	-	3	61	31	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	8	-	2	-	2	40	40	16	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	8	-	1	-	3	27	40	24	8	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	7	-	4	-	1	21	38	28	11	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	7	-	3	-	2	12	30	32	19	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	8	-	0	-	4	13	31	31	17	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
32	7	-	2	-	3	5	19	31	27	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	6	-	5	-	1	3	14	28	30	18	6	1	0	0	0	0	0
31	6	-	4	-	2	1	7	19	30	26	13	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0			0
	7	-	1	-	4	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	1	0	0	0	0				0
30	6	-	3	-	3	0	2	10	23	30	23	9	1	1	1	0	0	0	0			0	0
	5	-	6	-	1	0	2	9	21	29	24	10	2	2	1	0	0	0	0			0
29	6	-	2	-	4	0	0	3	13	26	30	18	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
	5	-	5	-	2	0	0	2	9	22	32	24	7	1	1	1	0	0	0	0		0	0
28	5	-	4	-	3	0	0	0	3	12	28	33	15	2	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	6	-	1	-	5	0	0	1	4	15	29	29	12	3	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	5	-	3	-	4	0	0	0	1	4	18	35	26	1	5	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	6	-	2	0	0	0	0	3	15	35	32	1	4	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	5	-	2	-	5	0	0	0	0	1	8	27	35	1	4	9	9	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	5	-	3		0	0	0	0	5	26	46	0	2	6	8	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	4	-	4	-	4			0	0	0	1	14	47	0	1	4	10	12	7	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	-	1	-	6		0	0	0	0	2	14	42	0	1	6	12	12	6	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
24	4	-	3	-	5				0	0	0	5	39	0	0	2	8	16	17	8	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	6	-	3			0	0	0	0	4	44	0	0	1	5	13	17	10	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	3	-	5	-	4					0	0	1	31	0	0	0	1	7	19	22	9	1	2	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	2	-	6					0	0	1	24	0	0	0	3	12	23	19	6	1	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
22	3	-	4	-	5						0	0	15	0	0	0	0	3	14	27	19	0	3	6	6	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	3	-	3	-	6						0	0	6		0	0	0	0	5	20	30	0	1	4	9	11	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	2	-	5	-	5							0	1			0	0	0	1	9	29	0	0	1	5	10	15	14	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
19	2	-	4	-	6							0	0				0	0	0	2	20	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	19	15	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
18	2	-	3	-	7								0					0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	14	21	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
17	1	-	5	-	6								0						0	0	3			0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
16	1	-	4	-	7															0	1				0	0	0	0	1	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	2	0	0	0
15	1	-	3	-	8															0	0						0	0	0	0	1	5	13	22	26	20	10	3	0	0
14	1	-	2	-	9																0							0	0	0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	10	2	0
13	0	-	4	-	8																0									0	0	0	1	3	10	23	31	23	8	1
12	0	-	3	-	9																											0	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4
11	0	-	2	-	10																												0	0	1	4	18	37	31	9
10	0	-	1	-	11																														0	1	9	30	41	18
9	0	-	0	-	12																													0	0	0	3	20	45	32

Total:						13	12	11	10	10	10	10	10	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0