New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.5 to 79.1%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +5.7
+0.8
+2.3
-0.8
+0.5
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.4
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.2
-0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.3-0.0
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders vs Red Bulls-3.6*-0.0+7.1
-0.6-0.0+1.2
-2.5-0.4+5.5
+0.2-0.1-0.4
-0.3-0.0+0.7
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.4*+0.0-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.3-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.3*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.2+0.4-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.2-0.3
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
80-102In100.0%100No44,651*
7923-4-5In99.91000No6,211*
7822-6-4In99.91000No11,102*
7722-5-5In99.91000No19,218*
7621-7-4In99.91000No33,345*
7521-6-5In99.81000No54,801*
7421-5-6In99.81000No89,218*
7320-7-5In99.61000No141,190*
7220-6-6In99.41000No219,317*
7119-8-5In99.21000No333,982*
7019-7-6In98.71000No495,313*
6919-6-7In98.09900No719,819*
6818-8-6In96.89910No1,028,024*
6718-7-7In95.19910No1,433,001*
6618-6-8In92.79820No1,960,137*
6517-8-7In89.397300No2,622,411*
6417-7-8In84.595500No3,447,755*
6316-9-7In78.392700No4,434,214*
6216-8-8In70.3891100No5,586,229*
6116-7-9In60.78415100No6,907,891*
6015-9-8In49.67820200No8,361,910*
5915-8-9In37.971263000No9,919,158*
5815-7-10100.0%26.5623350000No11,535,391*
5714-9-9In16.652389100No13,161,358*
5614-8-10100.08.94143142000No14,709,012*
5514-7-11100.04.030442140000No16,119,940*
5413-9-10100.01.420422881000No17,305,737*
5313-8-11100.00.4123534153000No18,212,962*
5212-10-1099.90.1727372271000No18,788,186*
5112-9-1199.70.03183430133000No18,988,441*
5012-8-1298.90.011027342161000No18,806,558*
4911-10-1196.60.004183229133000No18,252,942*
4811-9-1291.0No021025332281000No17,351,474*
4711-8-1380.5No004163030154000No16,139,492*
4610-10-1264.7No00182332249200No14,714,304*
4510-9-1345.6No000314283118510No13,129,705*
4410-8-1427.7No000162032271120No11,467,272*
439-10-1314.2No000211273320500.0%9,804,018*
429-9-146.1No000151933291110.08,195,638*
419-8-152.2No00021128352040.06,704,990*
408-10-140.7No0001520372980.15,363,772*
398-9-150.2No002123338150.74,186,941*
388-8-160.0No00172643232.33,193,578*
377-10-150.0No00031844346.22,381,576*
367-9-160.0No00112414612.81,732,309*
357-8-170.0No0017365722.21,225,904*
346-10-16OutNo004296733.8850,406*
336-9-17OutNo002227646.2572,956*
326-8-18OutNo01168358.3375,955*
315-10-17OutNo00118868.8239,349*
305-9-18OutNo089277.5148,910*
295-8-19OutNo059584.489,558*
284-10-18OutNo039789.652,448*
274-9-19OutNo29893.129,547*
264-8-20OutNo19995.616,454*
253-10-19OutNo19997.38,441*
243-9-20OutNo0010098.74,362*
233-8-21OutNo010099.02,196*
222-10-20OutNo010099.5995*
6-21OutNo100100.038,290*
Total:79.1%11.6%2216131198654320.6%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpactCrew
66-10212.5%Yes
6517-8-712.51000
6417-7-812.5100000000
6316-9-712.51000000000000
6216-8-812.51000000000000
6116-7-912.51000000000000
6015-9-812.51000000000000
16-6-1012.51000000000000
5915-8-912.51000000000000
14-11-712.51000000000000
5815-7-1012.51000000000000
14-10-812.51000000000000
5714-9-912.5990000000000
15-6-1112.5990000000000
5614-8-1012.4980000000000
13-11-812.4980000000000
5514-7-1112.3961111100000
13-10-912.3951111100000
5413-9-1012.1901111111111
14-6-1212.1911111111111
12-12-812.1901111111111
5313-8-1111.7832222222111
12-11-911.6812222222111
14-5-1311.7832222221111
5212-10-1011.0694344333222
13-7-1211.1713333332222
11-13-811.0703333333222
5112-9-1110.0555555544333
13-6-1310.2575555444333
11-12-99.9535555544443
5012-8-128.7396666655444
11-11-108.4366666655554
13-5-148.7396666655444
4911-10-116.8227777666555
12-7-137.0237777666555
4811-9-125.0127777665554
12-6-145.0117777665554
4711-8-133.455555554444
10-11-113.145555554444
4610-10-121.823333333332
4510-9-130.902222222111
4410-8-140.401111111111
439-10-130.100000000000
429-9-140.000000000000
419-8-150.000000000000
408-10-140.000000000000
398-9-150.00000000000
388-8-160.00000000000
377-10-15No00
6-36No
Total:7.8%51.42.32.32.32.32.12.01.81.61.71.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -1.0
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.7+0.0-1.4
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact+0.0-0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
81-102100
8023-5-41000
7923-4-510000
7822-6-410000
7722-5-510000
7621-7-410000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-510000
7220-6-69900
7119-8-59910
7019-7-69910
6919-6-798100
6818-8-6972100
6718-7-7953100
6618-6-8935200
6517-8-78973000
6417-7-885105000
6316-9-778147000
6216-8-87019110000
6116-7-961241501000
6015-9-850291912000
5915-8-93833242300000
5815-7-1027352945000000
5714-9-91735318901000
5614-8-109323013141200000
5514-7-1142625191924000000
5413-9-1011917252358010000
5313-8-110129262311141300000
5212-10-100742318181936010000
5112-9-1103117112321812130000
5012-8-12010104231816183601000
4911-10-11000411710222181313000
4811-9-12002010322161619371000
4711-8-13000041158222091451000
4610-10-120001082201418201230000
4510-9-1300000301362220211131000
4410-8-1400001062181324211131000
439-10-1300000201151726221131000
429-9-14000010518202723113100
419-8-1500002021021282211300
408-10-140000100311232921920
398-9-150000141426301861
388-8-160000016183029132
377-10-1500000292434246
367-9-1600001416333413
357-8-17000019274022
346-10-160004194234
336-9-17002124046
326-8-1800173458
315-10-170042769
305-9-180022178
295-8-19011584
284-10-1801090
274-9-190793
264-8-200496
253-10-190397
243-9-200199
233-8-21199
222-10-20199
212-9-210100
6-20100
Total:121188766554434333222111