Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.4 to 43.7%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -4.8
-0.6
-1.2
+1.0
-0.4
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.9
+0.1
+0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+6.3-4.8-10.2
+0.6-0.5-0.9
+0.6-0.5-0.9
-2.0+1.2+3.5
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.6+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.3+0.6+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Real Salt Lake finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
76-97In100.0%100No38,609*
7523-5-4In99.71000No1,031*
7423-4-5In99.91000No2,101*
7322-6-4In99.51000No3,776*
7222-5-5In99.61000No6,930*
7121-7-4In99.21000No12,261*
7021-6-5In98.8991No21,090*
6921-5-6In98.0991No36,083*
6820-7-5In96.79910No58,880*
6720-6-6In95.19820No95,434*
6619-8-5In92.69730No150,079*
6519-7-6In89.19550No230,326*
6419-6-7In84.292800No349,546*
6318-8-6In77.7891100No517,983*
6218-7-7In69.6841510No748,369*
6118-6-8In59.77920100No1,063,949*
6017-8-7In48.67126300No1,479,652*
5917-7-8In36.863325000No2,015,447*
5816-9-7In25.453388100No2,690,743*
5716-8-8In15.7434213200No3,528,162*
5616-7-9100.0%8.33244203000No4,521,650*
5515-9-8100.03.72343277100No5,692,359*
5415-8-9100.01.3143833122000No7,011,549*
5315-7-10100.00.383037195100No8,478,612*
5214-9-999.90.1421362792000No10,051,599*
5114-8-1099.50.02133133174000No11,679,211*
5014-7-1198.40.01723352591000No13,297,770*
4913-9-1095.5No03143132164000No14,847,135*
4813-8-1189.2No0172234259200No16,251,648*
4712-10-1078.0No003143032174000No17,423,501*
4612-9-1162.1No001721332610200No18,320,438*
4512-8-1243.8No000312293318500No18,866,432*
4411-10-1126.8No000162034271020No19,045,394*
4311-9-1214.1No000212293419400.0%18,833,333*
4211-8-136.3No00016203528910.018,232,612*
4110-10-122.4No000021231351730.017,300,328*
4010-9-130.8No0001623382660.116,076,095*
3910-8-140.2No0003153635110.714,615,391*
389-10-130.1No00193042182.313,007,906*
379-9-140.0No00052345276.011,333,251*
369-8-150.0No00216443712.59,651,906*
358-10-140.0No00110414821.98,040,557*
348-9-150.0No0006355933.46,545,984*
338-8-160.0No0003296845.85,206,534*
327-10-15OutNo002227657.94,046,373*
317-9-16OutNo001168368.63,067,003*
307-8-17OutNo00128877.52,268,929*
296-10-16OutNo0089284.41,640,549*
286-9-17OutNo0059589.61,152,250*
276-8-18OutNo0039793.3790,546*
265-10-17OutNo029895.8525,182*
255-9-18OutNo019997.4340,836*
245-8-19OutNo019998.4214,894*
234-10-18OutNo010099.1131,429*
224-9-19OutNo010099.577,552*
214-8-20OutNo010099.744,648*
203-10-19OutNo010099.824,715*
193-9-20OutNo010099.913,212*
183-8-21OutNo010099.86,836*
173-7-22OutNo010099.93,320*
1-16OutNo100100.040,344*
Total:43.7%1.8%467891011111212115.8%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Real Salt Lake finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersWhitecapsMinnesotaGalaxy
65-9712.5%Yes
6419-6-712.41000
6318-8-612.41000000000000
6218-7-712.5100000000000
6118-6-812.51000000000000
6017-8-712.51000000000000
5917-7-812.51000000000000
5816-9-712.5990000000000
5716-8-812.4980000000000
17-5-1012.4980000000000
5616-7-912.4960000000000
15-10-712.3960111100000
5515-9-812.1921111111100
16-6-1012.2931111111100
5415-8-911.8862222221111
16-5-1111.8862222211111
14-11-711.8852222221111
5315-7-1011.3763333332211
14-10-811.2753333332211
16-4-1211.3763333332211
5214-9-910.4614555543322
15-6-1110.5634555443322
13-12-710.3615555543322
5114-8-109.2466666655422
13-11-89.1456666655422
15-5-129.3476666654422
5014-7-117.7317777765533
13-10-97.5297788776533
15-4-137.7307787776533
4913-9-105.9177888876533
14-6-126.1187888876533
12-12-85.8167888876533
4813-8-114.286777765533
12-11-94.086777765533
14-5-134.397777765533
4713-7-122.735555554432
12-10-102.535555554422
11-13-82.635555554422
4612-9-111.413333333222
13-6-131.513333333222
4512-8-120.702222221111
4412-7-130.301111111100
4311-9-120.100000000000
4211-8-130.000000000000
4111-7-140.000000000000
4010-9-130.000000000000
3910-8-140.00000000000
3810-7-150.00000000000
379-9-14No000000
1-36No
Total:3.1%16.72.02.12.12.12.11.91.61.40.90.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.8
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.9+0.7+1.5
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
77-97100
7623-6-31000
7523-5-410000
7423-4-51000
7322-6-410000
7222-5-510000
7121-7-49910
7021-6-59911
6921-5-69811
6820-7-597210
6720-6-6953200
6619-8-593430
6519-7-6896500
6419-6-78488000
6318-8-6781111000
6218-7-7701515010
6118-6-860192001000
6017-8-749232513000
5917-7-83726302500000
5816-9-72528344801000
5716-8-816273671302000
5616-7-98243312191300000
5515-9-84192617252701000
5415-8-9113172128512020000
5315-7-10089212611181501000
5214-9-90431820172439020000
5114-8-1002112112125816140000
5014-7-1101074191915223901000
4913-9-10003113102023815140000
4813-8-11001073191716223920000
4712-10-10000311382122101651000
4612-9-110001072191519211231000
4512-8-1200000301262220211131000
4411-10-1100001062181324221131000
4311-9-120000201151726221141000
4211-8-13000010618192723113100
4110-10-1200000202921282211300
4010-9-130000100311232921920
3910-8-1400000141427291861
389-10-130000016183028132
379-9-140000002102534236
369-8-1500001416333313
358-10-14000029274022
348-9-15000004194233
338-8-1600002124046
327-10-15000173458
317-9-1600042769
307-8-170022178
296-10-160011584
286-9-170001090
276-8-1800793
265-10-1700496
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
234-10-180199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
203-10-190100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-21100
152-8-220100
1-14100
Total:2233344445555556666666