Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 55.4%
3 points   1-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -4.3
-0.6
-1.8
+0.6
-0.3
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.8
+0.1
+0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Rapids vs Minnesota+6.4-4.9-10.6
+0.7-0.6-1.1
+1.0-0.9-1.5
-1.2+0.7+2.2
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.6+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.3+0.6*-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Fire*+0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rapids finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
76-99In100.0%100No41,473*
7522-6-4In99.91000No3,532*
7422-5-5In99.71000No6,592*
7321-7-4In99.61000No11,310*
7221-6-5In99.51000No19,477*
7121-5-6In99.31000No33,015*
7020-7-5In98.79910No54,903*
6920-6-6In98.09910No89,548*
6819-8-5In96.89910No141,274*
6719-7-6In95.19820No220,400*
6619-6-7In92.69730No334,819*
6518-8-6In89.19550No495,562*
6418-7-7In84.292700No722,716*
6318-6-8In77.8891100No1,028,108*
6217-8-7In69.8851510No1,433,672*
6117-7-8In60.17920100No1,965,112*
6017-6-9In49.07226300No2,632,177*
5916-8-8In37.36332500No3,455,739*
5816-7-9In25.954388100No4,450,325*
5715-9-8In16.1434213100No5,613,474*
5615-8-9100.0%8.73344193000No6,936,186*
5515-7-10100.03.92343266100No8,399,665*
5414-9-9100.01.4153933112000No9,981,440*
5314-8-10100.00.393137184000No11,625,119*
5214-7-1199.90.1522372691000No13,263,031*
5113-9-1099.60.02143233153000No14,824,554*
5013-8-1198.70.01724352481000No16,251,469*
4912-10-1096.20.0031532311530000No17,451,425*
4812-9-1190.6No01824342481000No18,373,609*
4712-8-1280.4No003153131164000No18,937,210*
4611-10-1165.3No00182334259100No19,133,012*
4511-9-1247.2No000314303217400No18,925,424*
4411-8-1329.7No0017223426910No18,337,160*
4310-10-1216.1No000313303317400.0%17,408,745*
4210-9-137.5No0017223526810.016,173,059*
4110-8-142.9No00031432341520.014,703,512*
409-10-131.0No0001725382450.113,077,803*
399-9-140.3No0003173733100.611,380,623*
389-8-150.1No0001103241172.09,690,246*
378-10-140.0No00052445255.58,065,174*
368-9-150.0No00217453611.76,554,591*
358-8-160.0No00111414620.85,210,351*
347-10-150.0No0007365732.04,042,911*
337-9-16OutNo004306744.43,063,047*
327-8-17OutNo002237556.52,259,499*
316-10-16OutNo001178267.41,627,217*
306-9-17OutNo00128776.61,143,746*
296-8-18OutNo0099183.7781,278*
285-10-17OutNo0069489.1518,273*
275-9-18OutNo049692.9334,852*
265-8-19OutNo029895.5210,238*
254-10-18OutNo019997.2127,806*
244-9-19OutNo019998.375,819*
234-8-20OutNo010099.042,929*
223-10-19OutNo010099.423,632*
213-9-20OutNo010099.712,534*
203-8-21OutNo010099.86,562*
193-7-22OutNo010099.93,171*
3-18OutNo100100.040,114*
Total:55.4%3.2%78910101010109863.1%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rapids finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCSoundersReal Salt LakeWhitecapsMinnesotaGalaxy
65-9912.5%Yes
6418-7-712.510000
6318-6-812.510000000000
6217-8-712.51000000000000
6117-7-812.51000000000000
6017-6-912.51000000000000
5916-8-812.51000000000000
5816-7-912.5990000000000
15-10-712.5990000000000
5715-9-812.4980000000000
16-6-1012.4980000000000
5615-8-912.4970000000000
16-5-1112.3970000000000
5515-7-1012.2931111111100
14-10-812.2931111111100
5414-9-911.9862222211111
15-6-1111.9872222211111
5314-8-1011.3773333322211
13-11-811.3763333322211
15-5-1211.4783333322211
5214-7-1110.6654444433322
13-10-910.5634555533322
15-4-1310.5634555433322
5113-9-109.4486666654422
14-6-129.5506666644422
12-12-89.3476666654432
5013-8-118.0337777765533
12-11-97.8317888765533
14-5-137.9337777765533
4913-7-126.3207888866533
12-10-106.1187888866533
11-13-86.1187888866533
4812-9-114.497777765533
13-6-134.6107777766533
11-12-94.386777765533
4712-8-122.945666654433
11-11-102.735556544433
13-5-142.945666644433
4611-10-111.613444433322
12-7-131.713444433322
4511-9-120.802222222111
4411-8-130.301111111100
4310-10-120.100000000000
4210-9-130.000000000000
4110-8-140.000000000000
409-10-130.000000000000
399-9-140.00000000000
389-8-150.00000000000
378-10-14No0000
3-36No
Total:4.3%24.62.42.52.62.62.52.01.91.71.11.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.7
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.9+0.7+1.5
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
78-99100
7723-5-41000
7623-4-51000
7522-6-410000
7422-5-510000
7321-7-410000
7221-6-59900
7121-5-69900
7020-7-599110
6920-6-698110
6819-8-597210
6719-7-695320
6619-6-7934300
6518-8-6896500
6418-7-78487000
6318-6-8781111000
6217-8-7701515010
6117-7-860191901000
6017-6-949232513000
5916-8-8372630250000
5816-7-92628344801000
5715-9-816273571301000
5615-8-9924331218130000
5515-7-104202717242601000
5414-9-9114182128511020000
5314-8-10089222710181400000
5214-7-110441920172338010000
5113-9-1002113112125815130000
5013-8-1101074202015213801000
4912-10-100003114112123814130000
4812-9-11001084201816213810000
4712-8-120000311492222915410000
4611-10-110001073201518201130000
4511-9-1200000301372320201030000
4411-8-130001072201323201030000
4310-10-1200000301361726211031000
4210-9-1300010628202722103000
4110-8-1400003031022282110200
409-10-130000101412242920820
399-9-1400000151527291751
389-8-1500000017193127122
378-10-140000002112534225
368-9-1500001517343212
358-8-160000210284021
347-10-15000015204232
337-9-160002134044
327-8-1700183557
316-10-1600042867
306-9-170022177
296-8-180011584
285-10-17001189
275-9-1800793
265-8-1900495
254-10-180397
244-9-190298
234-8-20199
223-10-19199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
193-7-220100
182-9-210100
172-8-220100
3-16100
Total:3444555555555555554443