Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 74.1%
11 points   3-2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 RSL 1 -1.4
-0.3
-0.7
+0.1
-0.2
Seattle 5 Montreal 0 -0.6
-0.1
Vancouver 4 Toronto 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.1
Chicago 2 Houston 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
St Louis 0 Dallas 0 +0.3
Sporting KC 3 Portland 3 +0.3
LAFC 2 LA Galaxy 1 -0.2
+0.1
Miami CF 2 Colorado 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Austin 4 San Jose 3 -0.1
Columbus 1 DC United 1 +0.1
Nashville 1 Philadelphia 2 -0.1
NYCFC 1 Atlanta 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL vs Columbus+7.0-1.7-5.9
+1.0-0.3-0.8
+2.1-0.7-1.6
-0.7+0.1+0.7
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Sporting KC vs Miami CF-0.6+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.1
Portland vs LAFC-0.2+0.3-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
St Louis vs Austin-0.1+0.3-0.1
San Jose vs Colorado-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Houston-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Montreal vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.2+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
81-92In100.0%100No900,514*
8022-3-2In99.91000No9,280*
7922-2-3In99.91000No19,540*
7821-4-2In99.81000No39,421*
7721-3-3In99.91000No78,323*
7620-5-2In99.81000No148,289*
7520-4-3In99.81000No274,854*
7420-3-4In99.71000No496,099*
7319-5-3In99.61000No866,153*
7219-4-4In99.31000No1,474,124*
7119-3-5In99.010000No2,447,995*
7018-5-4In98.39910No3,953,461*
6918-4-5In97.49910No6,252,728*
6817-6-4In95.99820No9,642,212*
6717-5-5In93.797300No14,498,125*
6617-4-6In90.596400No21,352,340*
6516-6-5In86.094600No30,733,417*
6416-5-6In79.991900No43,241,346*
6316-4-7In71.98712000No59,559,236*
6215-6-6In62.18217100No80,269,869*
6115-5-7In50.875232000No105,953,194*
6014-7-6In38.567294000No136,927,260*
5914-6-7In26.657357000No173,242,268*
5814-5-8In16.24741111000No214,808,283*
5713-7-7In8.435441830000No260,922,207*
5613-6-8In3.625432561000No310,534,684*
5513-5-9In1.21538321220000No362,123,145*
5412-7-8In0.3830361951000No413,850,861*
5312-6-9100.0%0.042035281120000No463,444,625*
5212-5-10100.00.0111293319610000No508,638,324*
5111-7-9100.00.0051932281330000No547,023,882*
5011-6-10100.00.00210253222820000No576,480,902*
4910-8-999.9No00414293017510000No595,195,785*
4810-7-1099.6No00161931271330000No602,126,861*
4710-6-1197.8No00029233123920000No596,547,354*
469-8-1092.3No000031226311971000No578,946,659*
459-7-1179.9No00015162929154100No550,143,399*
449-6-1260.4No00001720312611200No511,704,612*
438-8-1138.3No00002112532217100.0%465,912,168*
428-7-1220.0No0001415303116400.0415,057,497*
418-6-138.6No000017223426910.0361,587,269*
407-8-123.0No000031330341830.0308,016,344*
397-7-130.9No0001621372870.2256,435,187*
387-6-140.2No00002133337141.1208,514,394*
376-8-130.0No000172643233.5165,551,039*
366-7-140.0No000031844348.6128,208,451*
356-6-150.0No000112414617.096,838,633*
345-8-140.0No00007355828.271,271,014*
335-7-150.0No0004286841.051,068,210*
325-6-16OutNo002227753.835,585,310*
314-8-15OutNo001168465.524,090,262*
304-7-16OutNo000118975.315,829,150*
294-6-17OutNo0079383.010,077,424*
283-8-16OutNo0059588.76,210,019*
273-7-17OutNo0039792.73,693,329*
263-6-18OutNo0029895.52,121,407*
253-5-19OutNo019997.21,169,713*
242-7-18OutNo19998.4622,228*
232-6-19OutNo0010099.0313,514*
222-5-20OutNo010099.4151,586*
211-7-19OutNo010099.669,453*
201-6-20OutNo010099.830,022*
191-5-21OutNo010099.912,071*
181-4-22OutNo010099.74,590*
11-17OutNo100Yes895,425*
Total:74.1%4.2%999988877765531.4%10,414,207,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeVancouverMinnesotaLA GalaxyHoustonLAFCSporting KCColoradoAustinPortlandSt LouisSeattleDallasSan Jose
68-9212.5%Yes
6717-5-512.510000
6617-4-612.510000000000
6516-6-512.51000000000000000
6416-5-612.51000000000000000
6316-4-712.51000000000000000
6215-6-612.51000000000000000
6115-5-712.51000000000000000
14-8-512.51000000000000000
6014-7-612.51000000000000000
15-4-812.51000000000000000
5914-6-712.5990000000000000
15-3-912.51000000000000000
5814-5-812.4990000000000000
13-8-612.4990000000000000
5713-7-712.3970000000000000
14-4-912.3970000000000000
5613-6-812.1931111111100000
12-9-612.0921111111111000
14-3-1012.1941111110000000
5513-5-911.7871111111111110
12-8-711.6852111111111110
5412-7-810.9743332222222111
13-4-1011.0762222222222111
11-10-610.8733333222222111
5312-6-99.9604444333333221
11-9-79.7574444433333221
13-3-119.9614444333332221
5212-5-108.5435555544443322
11-8-88.3405555554444322
10-11-68.4415555554444322
5111-7-96.7246666555544332
12-4-117.0266666555544332
10-10-76.5226666555544332
5011-6-105.0126665554444332
10-9-84.8105555554444332
12-3-125.1126665555544332
4911-5-113.344444444433322
10-8-93.144444443333221
4810-7-101.712222222222211
11-4-121.712222222222211
4710-6-110.701111111111110
4610-5-120.200000000000000
459-7-110.000000000000000
449-6-120.000000000000000
439-5-130.000000000000000
428-7-120.00000000000000
418-6-130.00000000000000
408-5-14No0000000
11-39No
Total:4.4%26.71.71.71.71.61.51.51.31.31.21.21.00.80.5
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs