"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston 1 Pittsburgh 1 -2.5
-0.2
Cincinnati 1 Wilmington 1 +0.4
Bethlehem 0 Louisville 0 +0.3
Orlando 1 Montreal 0 -0.2
New York 0 Charlotte 2 -0.2
Richmond 1 Toronto 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Toronto vs Louisville-0.3+0.3+0.1
Orlando vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.4-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs New York+8.8-2.5-7.3
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Wilmington vs Charlotte-0.3+0.3+0.1
Orlando vs Bethlehem-0.1+0.4-0.1
Harrisburg vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.4-0.1
Harrisburg vs Charleston-0.1+0.4-0.1
Rochester vs Charleston*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Richmond vs Wilmington-0.1+0.4-0.2
Toronto vs Richmond-0.2+0.4-0.1
Charlotte vs Montreal-0.1+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
68-78In10024,094*
6720-1-4In1000689*
6620-2-3In10001,461*
6520-3-2In10003,071*
6419-2-4In10005,906*
6319-3-3In99110,813*
6219-4-2In99119,600*
6118-3-4In982034,390*
6018-4-3In973058,848*
5917-3-5In955097,854*
5817-4-4In92800157,368*
5717-5-3In881200247,978*
5616-4-5In8217100379,729*
5516-5-4In7424200566,838*
5416-6-3In6431400827,510*
5315-5-5In533881001,175,734*
5215-6-4In4143142001,636,379*
5114-5-6In29452240002,226,073*
5014-6-5In184131910002,951,790*
4914-7-4In932371740003,836,173*
4813-6-6100.0%4213727910004,874,178*
4713-7-5100.011130341851006,052,923*
4613-8-4100.0041834291220007,370,438*
4512-7-699.9018243423810008,763,287*
4412-8-599.400212293318510010,207,455*
4312-9-496.6000416323114300011,639,612*
4211-8-687.3001620342711200012,987,352*
4111-9-567.40018243424810014,184,646*
4010-8-740.9000211283420510015,165,972*
3910-9-618.500031532321530015,856,801*
3810-10-56.20015203528101016,239,191*
379-9-71.5000192736215016,267,300*
369-10-60.30000316343313115,949,517*
359-11-50.000017253924415,280,780*
348-10-70.000031537351014,335,140*
338-11-60.0001830431913,135,707*
328-12-50.0000321463011,768,463*
317-11-7Out00113444210,306,115*
307-12-6Out000738548,806,944*
297-13-5Out00431657,351,410*
286-12-7Out00224755,987,868*
276-13-6Out00117824,751,478*
266-14-5Out0012883,676,424*
255-13-7Out008922,768,888*
245-14-6Out05952,032,021*
235-15-5Out003971,444,487*
224-14-7Out0298999,904*
214-15-6Out0199669,811*
204-16-5Out0199435,891*
193-15-7Out0100274,039*
183-16-6Out00100165,792*
173-17-5Out010096,622*
163-18-4Out010054,409*
152-17-6Out010029,277*
142-18-5Out010015,033*
132-19-4Out1007,328*
121-18-6Out01003,517*
3-11Out10025,900*
Total:34.3%233455678910111315274,244,218

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs