"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 0 Louisville 1 -7.9
-0.8
Rochester 1 Richmond 1 +0.4
Harrisburg 2 Charleston 2 +0.3
Cincinnati 2 Bethlehem 1 -0.1
New York 3 Ottawa 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Harrisburg vs Pittsburgh-8.6-2.3+10.0
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Bethlehem vs Charleston-0.5+0.3+0.3
Toronto vs Richmond+0.0+0.4-0.3
Rochester vs Tampa Bay-0.4+0.3+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New York vs Charleston-0.5+0.3+0.3
Cincinnati vs Toronto-0.4+0.4+0.1
St Louis vs Toronto-0.3+0.4+0.1
Tampa Bay vs St Louis+0.2+0.3-0.4
Ottawa vs Richmond-0.2+0.5-0.1
Orlando vs Charlotte-0.2+0.4-0.1
Bethlehem vs Harrisburg-0.2+0.5-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
74-80In10021,785*
7319-1-2In1000259
7219-2-1In100609*
7118-1-3In10001,334*
7018-2-2In10002,948*
6917-1-4In10005,796*
6817-2-3In99111,588*
6717-3-2In99122,057*
6616-2-4In991039,655*
6516-3-3In982071,182*
6416-4-2In9730120,683*
6315-3-4In9550196,914*
6215-4-3In9370318,902*
6114-3-5In891000494,720*
6014-4-4In851510745,842*
5914-5-3In7820101,103,520*
5813-4-5In71273001,573,089*
5713-5-4In61345002,188,552*
5613-6-3In504091002,980,330*
5512-5-5In39451520003,930,513*
5412-6-4In27462340005,070,490*
5311-5-6In17423191006,384,628*
5211-6-5In934371730007,820,956*
5111-7-4100.0%4233826810009,368,115*
5010-6-6100.0112323416400010,939,549*
4910-7-5100.00521352710200012,452,610*
4810-8-4100.001102834206100013,855,281*
479-7-699.6003163231153000015,042,396*
469-8-597.6001620332711200015,917,733*
459-9-490.400182433238100016,453,098*
448-8-673.20002112733206100016,589,584*
438-9-547.2000314293117410016,311,766*
428-10-422.6001517312914300015,633,634*
417-9-67.8000172133261020014,610,637*
407-10-51.90002925342271013,305,635*
397-11-40.30003143033174011,806,383*
386-10-60.00001520352810110,196,018*
376-11-50.000021028372048,568,767*
366-12-40.0000418373297,007,448*
355-11-60.00001103141175,561,610*
345-12-5Out00042245284,285,648*
335-13-4Out0021444413,208,178*
324-12-6Out001838542,318,586*
314-13-5Out00431651,626,410*
304-14-4Out00223751,100,020*
293-13-6Out011683719,720*
283-14-5Out001189449,968*
273-15-4Out00793272,292*
262-14-6Out0595157,035*
252-15-5Out039786,593*
242-16-4Out029845,018*
231-15-6Out19922,926*
221-16-5Out010010,600*
211-17-4Out01004,566*
14-20Out10024,464*
Total:57.4%567888888776654261,058,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs