How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Richmond 2 Pittsburgh 2 -2.2
-0.2
Chicago 0 Rochester 2 -0.7
-0.1
Arizona 2 Sacramento 1 *-0.2
Harrisburg 0 Dayton 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Charlotte vs Chicago-0.6+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Orlando+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orange County vs Harrisburg-0.1+0.3-0.1
Arizona vs Los Angeles-0.2+0.3*+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Charleston+9.3-2.2-8.0
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Orange County vs Los Angeles-0.2+0.3+0.0
Rochester vs Charleston-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sacramento vs Harrisburg-0.1+0.3-0.1
Dayton vs Richmond-0.0+0.3-0.1
Richmond vs Rochester-0.1+0.3-0.1
Harrisburg vs Charleston-0.1+0.3-0.1
OKC vs Orlando-0.2+0.3-0.0
Wilmington vs Charlotte-0.1+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
65-74In10053,951*
6420-2-2In10001,160*
6319-1-4In10002,369*
6219-2-3In10004,767*
6119-3-2In10009,818*
6018-2-4In100018,316*
5918-3-3In99133,733*
5818-4-2In982059,844*
5717-3-4In9730103,724*
5617-4-3In9640174,597*
5516-3-5In93700283,755*
5416-4-4In901000448,971*
5316-5-3In851510695,593*
5215-4-5In78212001,044,156*
5115-5-4In69283001,531,326*
5015-6-3In583560002,190,971*
4914-5-5In46411210003,049,389*
4814-6-4In34441930004,158,780*
4713-5-6In224327710005,537,744*
4613-6-5In1236351430007,192,172*
4513-7-4100.0%6253724710009,123,256*
4412-6-6100.02143232154000011,319,495*
4312-7-5100.016223426102000013,727,976*
4212-8-499.902112733206100016,287,558*
4111-7-699.4003153031164100018,871,287*
4011-8-596.9001519322813300021,387,623*
3911-9-488.10001722332510200023,714,637*
3810-8-668.9000210253322810025,705,292*
3710-9-542.6000312283219610027,231,165*
369-8-719.7000041530311540028,213,538*
359-9-66.700016203328112028,569,001*
349-10-51.7000292535236128,275,425*
338-9-70.3000314323315227,355,918*
328-10-60.000016223827625,848,656*
318-11-50.000021334381423,855,792*
307-10-70.0001625442421,501,700*
297-11-60.0000216443718,909,542*
287-12-5Out0019395116,226,426*
276-11-7Out0005326313,575,301*
266-12-6Out002247411,066,225*
256-13-5Out00117828,785,929*
245-12-7Out00011886,786,999*
235-13-6Out007935,096,825*
225-14-5Out004963,725,691*
214-13-7Out03972,637,138*
204-14-6Out01991,810,436*
194-15-5Out01991,202,832*
183-14-7Out0100771,064*
173-15-6Out0100477,764*
163-16-5Out0100284,293*
153-17-4Out0100163,104*
142-16-6Out010089,397*
132-17-5Out010047,005*
122-18-4Out010023,244*
111-17-6Out010011,051*
101-18-5Out1004,837*
91-19-4Out01002,047*
2-8Out10054,123*
Total:37.2%23445667889101215469,334,728

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/19100.0*Lottery seed
Richmond 2 Pittsburgh 2 +0.2
Chicago 0 Rochester 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Charlotte vs Chicago+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Orlando-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Charleston-0.9+0.2+0.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T12345678910111213141516171819202122
65-74100
6420-2-21000
6319-1-41000
6219-2-31000
6119-3-21000
6018-2-41000
5918-3-3991
5818-4-29820
5717-3-49730
5617-4-39640
5516-3-593700
5416-4-4901000
5316-5-3851510
5215-4-57821200
5115-5-46928300
5015-6-358356000
4914-5-54641121000
4814-6-43444193000
4713-5-622432771000
4613-6-5123635143000
4513-7-4625372471000
4412-6-621432321540000
4312-7-5162234261020000
4212-8-4021127332061000
4111-7-60031530311641000
4011-8-50015193228133000
3911-9-400017223325102000
3810-8-60002102533228100
3710-9-50003122832196100
369-8-70000415303115400
359-9-6000162033281120
349-10-50002925352361
338-9-70003143233152
328-10-6000162238276
318-11-5000213343814
307-10-70016254424
297-11-60002164437
287-12-500193951
276-11-700053263
266-12-60022474
256-13-50011782
245-12-70001188
235-13-600793
225-14-500496
214-13-70397
204-14-60199
194-15-50199
183-14-70100
173-15-60100
163-16-50100
153-17-40100
142-16-60100
132-17-50955
122-18-40831610
111-17-60732420
101-18-54543111
91-19-4224326810
81-20-3103939121
70-19-51143334153
60-20-4163723231
50-21-327273377
20-24-0015224229
Total:2344566788910121500000000