"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hartford 0 Philadelphia II 3 +0.3
Loudoun 0 Pittsburgh 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia II vs Hartford+0.2OutOut
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Atlanta II vs New York II+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New York II vs Philadelphia IIOutOut+0.2
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Philadelphia II vs Hartford+0.2OutOut
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Hartford+0.0-0.0Out
Loudoun vs New York II+0.0+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia II finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345Count
234-0-032.1%32683,015,393
213-1-0Out95515,283,675
203-0-1Out901034,873,154
192-2-0Out782227,905,073
182-1-1Out5941123,839,480
172-0-2Out4456135,998,669
1-3-0Out475321,573,351
161-2-1Out2575141,097,856
151-1-2Out11890305,243,563
0-4-0Out168406,068,787
141-0-3Out5950218,749,764
0-3-1Out495052,181,496
130-2-2Out964167,451,432
120-1-3Out8911237,767,374
110-0-4Out8911126,175,053
Total:0.1%0187931,617,224,120
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/19100.0*Lottery seed
Hartford 0 Philadelphia II 3 -3.3
Col Springs 2 New Mexico 1 +0.3
Austin 4 Kansas City II 0 -0.1
Portland II 2 Reno 5 -0.1
Loudoun 0 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
Sacramento 3 Tacoma 3 +0.1
San Antonio 2 OKC 0 -0.0
El Paso 1 Salt Lake II 0 -0.0
Charleston 2 Miami 0 -0.0
Louisville 4 Memphis 1 -0.0
Saint Louis 3 Kansas City II 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia II vs Hartford-2.2+0.1+1.1
Charlotte vs Miami-0.1+0.0+0.3
Portland II vs Tacoma-0.1-0.1+0.2
Memphis vs North Carolina+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlanta II vs New York II+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Lottery seed
New York II vs Philadelphia II+1.2+0.1-2.4
Philadelphia II vs Hartford-2.2+0.1+1.1
Indy vs Kansas City II-0.1+0.1+0.3
Salt Lake II vs New Mexico+0.3+0.0-0.1
Col Springs vs El Paso+0.3+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.1+0.0+0.3
Miami vs Charleston+0.3-0.0-0.1
Miami vs Tampa Bay+0.3-0.0-0.1
Tacoma vs Sacramento+0.3+0.0-0.1
Reno vs Las Vegas-0.0+0.0+0.3
Las Vegas vs Los Angeles II+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs OKC-0.1+0.0+0.2
OKC vs Austin+0.2-0.0-0.1
Tacoma vs Portland II+0.1-0.1-0.1
North Carolina vs Charlotte+0.1+0.0-0.1
Birmingham vs North Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.1
Col Springs vs Salt Lake II+0.0-0.1+0.0
Loudoun vs New York II-0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
234-0-0001319214292030
213-1-0044345700
203-0-1225620200
192-2-08443990000
182-1-122846222000
172-0-20123938101000
1-3-0093439152000
161-2-10114383212300000
151-1-2042235261130000
0-4-0021530301651000
141-0-30051831271341000
0-3-10021025312192000
130-2-2041629291651000
120-1-300210233022102000
110-0-4002102432238100
Total:000000016101414129888631000