Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied Austin 2-2, playoff odds down 2.8 to 53.5%
3 points   0-3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.5
+0.0
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 +0.5
+0.0
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 +0.3
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.2
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle+8.2-2.2-6.7
+0.7-0.2-0.6
+1.1-0.4-0.9
-1.8+0.2+1.6
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 -2.1
-0.2
-0.5
+0.2
-0.2
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 -0.2
+0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 -0.2
+0.1
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
DC United 1 Miami CF 3 -0.1
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
76-96In100.0%100No10,521*
7522-6-3In99.71000No1,799*
7422-5-4In99.51000No3,026*
7322-4-5In99.21000No5,376*
7221-6-4In99.01000No8,902*
7121-5-5In98.41000No14,323*
7021-4-6In97.79910No22,946*
6920-6-5In96.49910No35,773*
6820-5-6In94.59820No54,223*
6719-7-5In91.69640No82,206*
6619-6-6In87.79550No120,085*
6519-5-7In82.292800No172,408*
6418-7-6In75.3881100No243,047*
6318-6-7In66.28316100No337,540*
6218-5-8In55.87622200No457,262*
6117-7-7In44.16828400No610,198*
6017-6-8In32.259347100No797,959*
5916-8-7In21.1484011100No1,025,819*
5816-7-8In12.13743173000No1,294,988*
5716-6-9In5.92643246100No1,604,243*
5615-8-8In2.3163831122000No1,951,602*
5515-7-9In0.7930351951000No2,334,180*
5415-6-10In0.14213427112000No2,745,543*
5314-8-9100.0%0.021228321961000No3,168,526*
5214-7-10100.00.0151931271330000No3,591,268*
5114-6-11100.00.0021024312292000No4,005,059*
5013-8-1099.9No0041427291861000No4,380,571*
4913-7-1199.2No00161829271441000No4,712,183*
4812-9-1096.7No00028213024113000No4,972,872*
4712-8-1189.1No00031124302192000No5,163,415*
4612-7-1273.7No00014142629187100No5,258,700*
4511-9-1151.9No00016172828155100No5,268,052*
4411-8-1229.7No0002820302512300No5,179,490*
4311-7-1313.6No0000311243122810No4,999,386*
4210-9-125.0No0001415293016400.0%4,738,594*
4110-8-131.4No000172133261010.04,404,833*
4010-7-140.3No00031229341940.04,020,316*
399-9-130.1No0001621362980.23,600,335*
389-8-140.0No0002123238151.13,165,964*
379-7-150.0No00172543253.42,724,559*
368-9-140.0No00031843368.32,300,233*
358-8-15OutNo00111404716.21,903,530*
348-7-16OutNo0006345926.81,541,388*
337-9-15OutNo003286939.01,225,259*
327-8-16OutNo002217751.5951,134*
317-7-17OutNo01158463.2722,641*
306-9-16OutNo00118973.1537,770*
296-8-17OutNo0079381.0390,238*
286-7-18OutNo059586.9277,062*
275-9-17OutNo039791.4191,452*
265-8-18OutNo029894.4129,164*
255-7-19OutNo019996.485,133*
244-9-18OutNo19997.854,043*
234-8-19OutNo010098.733,891*
224-7-20OutNo010099.220,400*
214-6-21OutNo010099.611,881*
203-8-20OutNo010099.76,734*
193-7-21OutNo10099.83,646*
183-6-22OutNo010099.81,850*
3-17OutNo100100.010,267*
Total:53.5%2.2%4556667777788884.0%97,685,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColumbusMiami CFTorontoMontrealNY Red BullsCincinnatiNashvilleAtlantaDC UnitedChicagoCharlotteNYCFCOrlandoNew England
66-9612.5%Yes
6519-5-712.31000000
6418-7-612.510000000000000
6318-6-712.51000000000000000
6218-5-812.510000000000000000
6117-7-712.510000000000000000
18-4-912.410000000000000000
6017-6-812.59900000000000000
16-9-612.59900000000000000
5916-8-712.49900000000000000
17-5-912.59900000000000000
5816-7-812.39700000000000000
17-4-1012.39700000000000000
15-10-612.39700000000000000
5716-6-912.19311111111000000
15-9-712.09311111111000000
17-3-1112.19411111100000000
5615-8-811.68511111111111111
16-5-1011.68611111111111110
14-11-611.68711111111111111
5515-7-910.87432222222221111
14-10-710.97522222222221111
16-4-1111.07622222222211111
5415-6-109.85944333333322221
14-9-89.85844333333322222
16-3-129.96144333333222221
5314-8-98.34055444444433322
15-5-118.54355444444333322
13-11-78.54255444444333322
5214-7-106.62465555544444332
13-10-86.62365555544444333
15-4-126.92665555444444332
5114-6-114.91255555444433332
13-9-94.81155444444433332
12-12-74.91255555444443332
15-3-135.11355555444434332
5013-8-103.0444333333333222
14-5-123.3544333333333222
12-11-83.1444333333333222
4913-7-111.6122222222211111
12-10-91.5122222222211111
14-4-131.8122222222222211
4813-6-120.7011111111111110
4712-8-110.2000000000000000
4612-7-120.0000000000000000
4512-6-130.0000000000000000
4411-8-120.000000000000000
4311-7-13No000000000000
4211-6-14No0
3-41No
Total:2.6%15.01.11.11.01.01.00.90.90.90.80.70.70.70.60.5
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs