OKC Energy FC Playoff Chances 2020-1 50/50

Lost to New Mexico 0-3, playoff odds down 10.4 to 27.9%

5 points 1-2-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/31	None

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
OKC vs San Antonio	+11.9-3.0-9.9		+0.4-0.1-0.3
Saint Louis vs Tulsa	+2.7+0.9-3.3		+0.1+0.0-0.1
Austin vs RGV	-2.2+1.4+1.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tulsa vs San Antonio	-1.3+1.5+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the OKC finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	Count

38	11	-	0	-	0	In		100	0				790,580
36	10	-	1	-	0	In		100	0				1,325,334
35	10	-	0	-	1	In		100	0				2,014,870
34	9	-	2	-	0	In		100	0				4,356,427
33	9	-	1	-	1	100.0	%	98	2	0			13,239,635
32	9	-	0	-	2	100.0		97	3	0			18,658,512	*
31	8	-	2	-	1	100.0		94	6	0			39,179,216
30	8	-	1	-	2	99.9		88	12	0			70,871,029	*
29	7	-	3	-	1	99.7		80	20	0	0		98,895,600	*
28	7	-	2	-	2	99.0		69	30	1	0		167,091,339	*
27	7	-	1	-	3	96.5		52	44	3	0		158,821,484
	6	-	4	-	1	97.5		58	40	2	0		79,065,465
26	6	-	3	-	2	92.8		40	52	7	0		240,408,140
	7	-	0	-	4	90.8		36	55	9	0		67,209,176	*
25	6	-	2	-	3	83.2		24	59	16	0		365,492,688
	5	-	5	-	1	86.0		28	58	14	0		62,411,134
24	6	-	1	-	4	67.3		11	56	31	2	0	277,834,449
	5	-	4	-	2	71.4		14	58	27	1	0	240,332,142	*
23	5	-	3	-	3	52.0		5	47	43	5	0	480,726,843
	6	-	0	-	5	49.6		4	45	45	5	0	118,684,522	*
22	5	-	2	-	4	31.6		1	30	55	13	0	548,163,766
	4	-	5	-	2	35.0		2	33	54	11	0	157,021,489	*
21	4	-	4	-	3	17.7		0	17	57	24	0	395,217,322
	5	-	1	-	5	15.5		0	15	57	27	1	346,271,527	*
20	4	-	3	-	4	7.1		0	7	49	41	2	600,886,433
	5	-	0	-	6	6.0		0	6	47	44	3	84,488,512
	3	-	6	-	2	8.3		0	8	52	38	2	68,618,214	*
19	4	-	2	-	5	2.2		0	2	34	55	8	548,196,049
	3	-	5	-	3	2.6		0	3	37	54	7	211,120,787	*
18	3	-	4	-	4	0.7		0	1	22	62	16	414,469,640	*
	4	-	1	-	6	0.5			1	20	62	18	277,871,015	*
17	3	-	3	-	5	0.1			0	11	60	29	480,736,854
	2	-	6	-	3	0.1			0	11	61	28	129,224,607	*
16	3	-	2	-	6	0.0			0	4	51	45	365,504,120
	2	-	5	-	4	0.0			0	5	53	42	159,154,389	*
15	2	-	4	-	5	0.0			0	2	40	58	237,149,256
	3	-	1	-	7	0.0			0	2	39	59	171,692,115	*
14	2	-	3	-	6	0.0			0	0	28	72	240,435,409
	1	-	6	-	4	0.0			0	0	29	71	64,624,325	*
13	2	-	2	-	7	Out				0	18	82	157,717,874	*
	1	-	5	-	5	0.0			0	0	18	81	62,399,313
12	1	-	4	-	6	Out				0	11	89	79,061,184
	2	-	1	-	8	Out				0	10	90	62,791,554	*
11	1	-	3	-	7	Out				0	6	94	85,609,532	*
10	1	-	2	-	8	Out				0	3	97	49,579,954	*
9	1	-	1	-	9	Out					1	99	24,547,842	*
8	0	-	3	-	8	Out					0	100	10,609,883	*
7	0	-	2	-	9	Out					0	100	4,353,402
6	0	-	1	-	10	Out					0	100	1,326,627
5	0	-	0	-	11	Out						100	790,191

Total:						27.9	%	9	19	26	28	18	8,547,041,770

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/31	None

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
OKC vs San Antonio	-3.1+0.9+2.6
Saint Louis vs Tulsa	-0.2-0.1+0.3
Austin vs RGV	+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs San Antonio	+0.1-0.2+0.0
Louisville vs Indy	+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35

38	11	-	0	-	0	98	2	0						0
36	10	-	1	-	0	90	10	0	0	0				0
35	10	-	0	-	1	84	15	1	0	0				0	0
34	9	-	2	-	0	67	27	5	0	0	0	0		0	0
33	9	-	1	-	1	55	34	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0							0
32	9	-	0	-	2	36	39	17	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0						0
31	8	-	2	-	1	18	35	27	11	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	0					0
30	8	-	1	-	2	8	24	29	19	7	2	0	0	11	1	0	0	0				0	0
29	7	-	3	-	1	2	9	21	24	16	6	1	0	16	4	0	0	0	0			0	0
28	7	-	2	-	2	0	2	9	18	21	13	4	1	17	10	2	0	0	0	0		1	0	0
27	7	-	1	-	3	0	0	3	9	15	15	8	2	17	18	7	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0
	6	-	4	-	1	0	0	1	6	14	19	14	4	10	17	10	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
26	6	-	3	-	2	0	0	0	1	5	12	15	7	5	16	18	10	3	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
	7	-	0	-	4	0	0	0	2	6	12	11	4	9	21	17	7	1	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
25	6	-	2	-	3	0	0	0	0	1	5	10	8	1	9	18	18	9	3	0	0	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
	5	-	5	-	1		0	0	0	0	3	11	13	0	5	14	20	14	5	1	0	8	5	1	0	0	0	0
24	6	-	1	-	4			0	0	0	1	4	7	0	2	9	17	17	9	2	0	14	13	5	1	0	0	0	0
	5	-	4	-	2			0	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	4	13	19	14	5	1	9	12	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
23	5	-	3	-	3			0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	4	11	17	12	3	5	14	16	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
	6	-	0	-	5				0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	5	12	15	10	3	8	17	15	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
22	5	-	2	-	4					0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	8	12	7	1	8	17	19	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	5	-	2						0	0	2		0	0	0	1	7	14	11	1	4	11	18	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
21	4	-	4	-	3						0	0	0			0	0	0	1	6	10	0	0	3	9	17	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	-	1	-	5						0	0	0		0	0	0	0	2	6	7	0	2	7	16	21	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	4	-	3	-	4							0	0				0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	-	0	-	6							0	0				0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	6	-	2							0	0				0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	4	-	2	-	5							0	0					0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	5	-	3								0					0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
18	3	-	4	-	4								0						0	0	1			0	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
	4	-	1	-	6														0	0	1		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
17	3	-	3	-	5														0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	23	16	8	2	0	0
	2	-	6	-	3															0	0					0	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0
	4	-	0	-	7															0	0				0	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
16	3	-	2	-	6															0	0					0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	22	25	20	10	3	0
	2	-	5	-	4															0	0						0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	26	24	14	5	1
15	2	-	4	-	5																0							0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	18	27	27	15	3
	3	-	1	-	7															0	0							0	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	22	27	22	10	2
14	2	-	3	-	6																0									0	0	0	0	0	2	8	20	31	27	10
13	2	-	2	-	7																										0	0	0	0	0	3	11	27	37	22
	1	-	5	-	5																0											0	0	0	0	2	8	24	39	27
12	1	-	4	-	6																										0	0	0	0	0	0	3	14	39	45
	2	-	1	-	8																											0	0	0	0	1	4	17	40	38
11	1	-	3	-	7																												0	0	0	0	1	7	32	60
10	1	-	2	-	8																														0	0	0	3	22	75
9	1	-	1	-	9																														0	0	0	1	13	86
8	0	-	3	-	8																															0	0	0	7	93
7	0	-	2	-	9																																0	0	4	96
6	0	-	1	-	10																																0	0	2	98
5	0	-	0	-	11																																	0	1	99

Total:						0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3