"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OKC 2 Tulsa 0 +16.9
+0.4
Vancouver 1 Orange County 2 -7.0
-0.1
Seattle 1 Col Springs 1 +2.4
+0.1
Sacramento 2 Los Angeles 1 -0.5
Phoenix 2 Salt Lake 0 -0.5
RGV 1 Reno 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Reno vs OKC-8.7+0.7+21.4
-0.2+0.0+0.6
Salt Lake vs Orange County+4.3-0.3-14.3
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Seattle vs Phoenix-0.1+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento vs OKC-10.4-0.3+21.5
-0.3-0.0+0.6
Col Springs vs Swope Park-7.3+2.7+4.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Los Angeles-0.9+0.6+1.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sacramento vs Salt Lake-0.4*+0.0+0.4
Portland vs Phoenix+0.4+0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Phoenix+0.3*+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs RGV+0.0+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the OKC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
525-0-0In0084242701,679,582
504-0-1100.0%00134932606,030,874
494-1-0100.0005344615010,800,324
483-0-299.4120492918,514,853
473-1-198.00841492029,634,360
463-2-095.70329644025,204,754
2-0-393.4022665705,796,517
452-1-283.801146916029,347,381
442-2-171.60066627148,246,470
1-0-467.504633121,903,476
432-3-061.302593620025,598,970
1-1-352.401514340012,468,094
421-2-233.0003355120029,719,464
0-0-528.302857150242,020
411-3-120.202056231030,423,595
0-1-416.30165627101,924,153
401-4-011.6012523340011,226,502
0-2-37.684940305,927,096
390-3-22.12325610008,819,586
380-4-10.50165328306,318,292
370-5-00.00636471001,773,937
Total:61.9%000141344279100301,600,300
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs