How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
North Carolina 0 Charlotte 1 -3.9
-0.1
Louisville 4 Memphis 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Memphis vs North CarolinaOutOut+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Miami-0.0+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Birmingham vs North CarolinaOutOut+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
North Carolina vs Charlotte+0.6OutOut
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.0+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the North Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs12345Count
254-0-028.6%2277113,551,864
19-23Out100651,659,510*
181-2-1Out991170,016,433
171-1-2Out991295,631,228
0-4-0Out9826,062,978
161-0-3Out928167,404,450
0-3-1Out93741,953,734
150-2-2Out8317106,403,440
140-1-3Out6931117,184,559
130-0-4Out336747,355,924
Total:0.2%009371,617,224,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/19100.0*Lottery seed
North Carolina 0 Charlotte 1 +1.0
Phoenix 2 San Diego 3 +0.2
Hartford 0 Philadelphia II 3 +0.1
Charleston 2 Miami 0 -0.0
El Paso 1 Salt Lake II 0 -0.0
Louisville 4 Memphis 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Memphis vs North Carolina+0.9+0.1-1.0
Atlanta II vs New York II-0.1-0.1+0.2
Philadelphia II vs Hartford+0.2-0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Miami-0.0-0.0+0.1
Portland II vs Tacoma-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Lottery seed
North Carolina vs Charlotte-1.1+0.1+0.7
Birmingham vs North Carolina+0.4-0.2-1.4
Loudoun vs New York II-0.2-0.1+0.2
Indy vs Kansas City II-0.1+0.0+0.2
Philadelphia II vs Hartford+0.2-0.0-0.1
Col Springs vs El Paso+0.2-0.0-0.1
New York II vs Philadelphia II+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tacoma vs Sacramento+0.1-0.0-0.0
Salt Lake II vs New Mexico+0.1-0.0-0.0
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.0+0.0+0.1
RGV vs Austin-0.1-0.0+0.0
Miami vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.0-0.0
Miami vs Charleston+0.1-0.0-0.0
Col Springs vs Salt Lake II+0.0-0.1+0.0
Reno vs Las Vegas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs San Antonio+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
254-0-0200171533927600
233-1-0321422940
223-0-1173046161
212-2-0054345800
202-1-124591700
192-0-21054342000
1-3-095236200
181-2-12385270000
171-1-20215421400000
0-4-0016492871000
161-0-307383715300000
0-3-10533381951000
150-2-2113303117610000
140-1-3021023292210310000
130-0-400141528281761000
Total:0000000013102729137432100000