New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to New England 0-1, playoff odds down 8.2 to 36.2%
5 points   1-2-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England 1 NY Red Bulls 0 -7.7
-0.6
-0.3
+2.3
-0.6
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 -0.9
-0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 +0.7
+0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Columbus 1 Portland 3 +0.5
+0.1
+0.3
+0.0
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 0 -0.2
San Jose 4 Sporting KC 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs NYCFC+0.1+0.3-0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.2
New England vs Montreal-0.2+0.5-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs DC United-0.2+0.3+0.0
Seattle vs San Jose-0.2-0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati+9.0-2.3-7.5
+0.7-0.2-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.2
-3.2+0.6+2.9
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Sporting KC vs New England+0.7+0.2-0.8
-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.3-0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Columbus+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs DC United+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Portland-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.4-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Orlando-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.1
LA Galaxy vs RSL-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs San Jose-0.2-0.0+0.2
Colorado vs Vancouver+0.3-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
72-86In100.0%100No40,419*
7121-3-3In97.71000No2,748*
7020-5-2In96.71000No5,303*
6920-4-3In94.8991No9,742*
6820-3-4In92.1991No17,520*
6719-5-3In88.3982No30,311*
6619-4-4In83.59730No51,831*
6519-3-5In77.29640No86,175*
6418-5-4In69.194600No138,529*
6318-4-5In59.691900No218,687*
6217-6-4In49.0861310No337,882*
6117-5-5In37.6811810No508,263*
6017-4-6In26.87424200No746,613*
5916-6-5In17.265304000No1,076,081*
5816-5-6In9.655368100No1,515,231*
5716-4-7In4.6454112200No2,089,011*
5615-6-6In1.83444193000No2,809,792*
5515-5-7In0.62343267100No3,708,165*
5414-7-6100.0%0.11537331320000No4,792,400*
5314-6-7100.00.0829362051000No6,065,197*
5214-5-8100.00.04203528112000No7,521,745*
5113-7-799.90.02122933196100No9,134,388*
5013-6-899.6No16203227123000No10,870,263*
4913-5-998.6No021126322071000No12,676,705*
4812-7-895.4No015173028144100No14,483,764*
4712-6-988.2No0029233123102000No16,224,585*
4612-5-1075.2No0004142730186100No17,803,620*
4511-7-957.3No0001619312713300No19,145,626*
4411-6-1037.8No0000210253222810No20,177,672*
4310-8-921.2No0001516303015400.0%20,836,322*
4210-7-1010.0No00028233325810.021,078,352*
4110-6-114.0No000031431321630.020,882,776*
409-8-101.3No0001824362560.120,264,677*
399-7-110.4No00003153434120.319,258,032*
389-6-120.1No000192941201.317,919,975*
378-8-110.0No000042144303.616,314,461*
368-7-120.0No00021442428.214,524,376*
358-6-130.0No0019385315.512,661,325*
347-8-120.0No0005316425.310,780,884*
337-7-13OutNo002257336.68,976,833*
327-6-14OutNo001188148.57,300,111*
316-8-13OutNo001138759.95,797,438*
306-7-14OutNo0099169.94,491,127*
296-6-15OutNo0069478.13,388,324*
285-8-14OutNo0049684.62,493,551*
275-7-15OutNo029889.51,786,616*
265-6-16OutNo019993.01,245,906*
254-8-15OutNo019995.5842,208*
244-7-16OutNo0010097.2555,628*
234-6-17OutNo010098.3353,292*
223-8-16OutNo010099.0217,762*
213-7-17OutNo010099.4129,446*
203-6-18OutNo010099.674,600*
193-5-19OutNo010099.841,072*
182-7-18OutNo010099.921,930*
172-6-19OutNo010099.911,092*
5-16OutNo100100.047,296*
Total:36.2%0.4%23456789111214188.2%364,583,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCDC UnitedColumbusPhiladelphiaOrlandoMontrealChicagoCincinnatiAtlantaNYCFCNew England
65-8612.5%Yes
6418-5-412.51000
6318-4-512.5100000000
6217-6-412.6100000000000
6117-5-512.510000000000000
6017-4-612.510000000000000
5916-6-512.510000000000000
5816-5-612.59900000000000
5716-4-712.49800000000000
15-7-512.49800000000000
5615-6-612.29600000000000
16-3-812.39600000000000
5515-5-712.09211111110000
14-8-512.09211111110100
5414-7-611.58422222211111
15-4-811.58522221111111
5314-6-710.87433333322211
15-3-910.97533332222211
13-9-510.77233333332222
5214-5-89.96044444432222
13-8-69.65755554443322
15-2-109.85844554443222
5113-7-78.44166665553333
14-4-98.64466665553333
12-10-58.23966665554333
5013-6-87.02767776654444
12-9-66.72467776664444
14-3-107.12767776654444
4913-5-95.51466776654444
12-8-75.11366666654444
14-2-115.21366666654444
4812-7-83.6655555543333
13-4-103.8655555554333
11-10-63.4555554443333
4712-6-92.3233443332222
11-9-72.0233333332222
13-3-112.3233443332222
4612-5-101.2122222221111
11-8-81.1022222221111
4511-7-90.5011111111111
12-4-110.5011111111111
4411-6-100.2000000000000
4311-5-110.0000000000000
4210-7-100.0000000000000
4110-6-110.0000000000000
4010-5-120.000000000000
399-7-110.000000000000
389-6-12No000
379-5-13No0
5-36No
Total:1.9%9.71.21.21.31.31.11.11.10.80.80.70.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
New England 1 NY Red Bulls 0 +1.2
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 +0.1
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 +0.1
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 -0.1
Columbus 1 Portland 3 -0.0
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Montreal+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati-1.4+0.4+1.1
Houston vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
75-86100
7422-3-2991
7322-2-31000
7221-4-2991
7121-3-39820
7020-5-29730
6920-4-39551
6820-3-49271
6719-5-3881020
6619-4-48314300
6519-3-57719400
6418-5-469256000
6318-4-560319000
6217-6-44937121100
6117-5-53843162100
6017-4-627472042000
5916-6-51748228400000
5816-5-610462313701000
5716-4-7540202111220000
5615-6-62321528154300000
5515-5-71239331710611000
5414-7-601543315171122000000
5314-6-70812811261465010000
5214-5-8040205301413101200000
5113-7-7020122271022145501000
5013-6-8106019527141310130000
4913-5-90020111251022156701000
4812-7-80105017426141412241000
4712-6-9000209122923167920000
4612-5-1000004014324141615720000
4511-7-900001061188231816720000
4411-6-10000002010322142217820000
4310-8-900001051157192518820000
4210-7-10000020821122261882000
4110-6-11000000314142527187200
409-8-100000101616262716610
399-7-110000000271929261330
389-6-1200000031023312391
378-8-1100000014142832174
368-7-1200000172134288
358-6-1300000313323615
347-8-12000017254225
337-7-1300003174237
327-6-140001113949
316-8-1300063360
306-7-1400032770
296-6-150022078
285-8-140011585
275-7-15001090
265-6-1600793
254-8-1500496
244-7-1600397
234-6-170298
223-8-160199
213-7-170199
203-6-180100
193-5-190100
182-7-180100
172-6-190100
162-5-200100
151-7-19100
141-6-200100
5-13100
Total:021313142425354556677888