How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Minnesota-7.1-1.8+8.5
-0.8-0.2+1.0
-1.5-0.6+2.0
+1.6+0.3-1.9
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Earthquakes vs Impact-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
DC United vs Sporting KC+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Union-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rapids vs Revolution-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Galaxy vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Dynamo vs Sounders-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.1-0.0
Crew vs Fire-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Atlanta+7.9-2.0-6.3
+0.9-0.3-0.7
+2.0-0.6-1.5
-1.9+0.3+1.7
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Dynamo vs Crew-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Impact vs Sounders+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fire vs Real Salt Lake+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Earthquakes vs Whitecaps-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Galaxy vs Timbers-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
NYCFC vs DC United-0.0+0.1-0.0
Revolution vs Orlando-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
74-102In99.9%100No14,622*
7322-7-5In99.71000No5,929*
7222-6-6In99.41000No9,101*
7121-8-5In99.110000No14,092*
7021-7-6In98.71000No21,640*
6921-6-7In97.99910No31,875*
6820-8-6In96.69910No47,018*
6720-7-7In95.09820No67,419*
6620-6-8In92.59730No95,317*
6519-8-7In89.09550No132,585*
6419-7-8In84.193700No179,752*
6318-9-7In77.8901000No241,255*
6218-8-8In69.9861410No318,305*
6118-7-9In60.38018100No411,906*
6017-9-8In49.27424200No521,352*
5917-8-9In37.66630400No653,676*
5817-7-10In26.456367100No804,865*
5716-9-9In16.4464112100No973,699*
5616-8-10100.0%8.83643183000No1,155,828*
5515-10-9100.04.02643246100No1,355,508*
5415-9-10100.01.4173931112000No1,558,183*
5315-8-11100.00.4103235184000No1,762,941*
5214-10-1099.90.1524362591000No1,964,967*
5114-9-1199.50.02153231154000No2,150,599*
5014-8-1298.30.01824332382000No2,314,797*
4913-10-1195.2No04163030154100No2,449,098*
4813-9-1288.7No01823322492000No2,551,786*
4713-8-1377.4No004152930175100No2,612,348*
4612-10-1261.5No001821312511200No2,628,994*
4512-9-1343.6No000313273119610No2,599,744*
4412-8-1426.8No00161932271220No2,530,359*
4311-10-1314.2No000311273320610.0%2,421,717*
4211-9-146.4No00161933291220.02,271,141*
4110-11-132.5No00021128352040.02,094,794*
4010-10-140.8No0001621362980.21,902,029*
3910-9-150.2No0002133337140.81,692,211*
389-11-140.1No00172742232.81,478,886*
379-10-150.0No00042044337.01,268,105*
369-9-160.0No00213424414.21,067,617*
358-11-150.0No0018375424.1882,535*
348-10-160.0No0004316536.1714,824*
338-9-17OutNo002247348.5566,699*
327-11-16OutNo001188160.4440,807*
317-10-17OutNo01138670.6335,928*
307-9-18OutNo0099179.2250,606*
296-11-17OutNo0069485.8183,568*
286-10-18OutNo049690.5130,570*
276-9-19OutNo039793.991,165*
265-11-18OutNo029896.161,817*
255-10-19OutNo19997.641,336*
245-9-20OutNo019998.626,587*
235-8-21OutNo010099.217,218*
224-10-20OutNo010099.510,299*
214-9-21OutNo010099.76,048*
0-20OutNo10099.913,369*
Total:54.6%4.5%999999999994.5%50,149,436

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeWhitecapsEarthquakesSoundersSporting KCFC DallasRapidsReal Salt LakeTimbersDynamoGalaxy
65-10212.6%Yes
6419-7-812.61000
6318-9-712.51000000000
6218-8-812.61000000000000
6118-7-912.51000000000000
6017-9-812.51000000000000
5917-8-912.41000000000000
5817-7-1012.4990000000000
16-10-812.5990000000000
5716-9-912.4980000000000
17-6-1112.5990000000000
5616-8-1012.2970000000000
15-11-812.2970000000000
5515-10-912.1931111111111
16-7-1112.0931111111111
5415-9-1011.7871111111111
16-6-1211.8881111111111
14-12-811.7871111111111
5315-8-1111.1782222222222
14-11-911.0772222222222
16-5-1311.2782222222222
5214-10-1010.1643333333333
15-7-1210.3663333333333
13-13-810.2643333333333
5114-9-119.1495555555555
13-12-98.9485555555555
15-6-139.2514455455454
5014-8-127.8356666666666
13-11-107.6326666666666
15-5-147.8346666666666
4913-10-116.1196666666666
14-7-136.4216666666666
12-13-96.2196666666666
4813-9-124.7106666655565
12-12-104.595555555555
14-6-144.8116666666666
4713-8-133.354444444444
12-11-113.144444444444
4612-10-122.013333333333
13-7-142.013333333333
4512-9-131.102222222222
4412-8-140.501111111111
4311-10-130.200000000000
4211-9-140.100000000000
4111-8-150.000000000000
4010-10-140.000000000000
3910-9-150.00000000000
3810-8-160.00000000000
379-10-15No00000
0-36No
Total:4.5%27.21.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers vs Minnesota+1.1+0.3-1.3
Earthquakes vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.0
Whitecaps vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.0
Rapids vs Revolution+0.1-0.0-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0
DC United vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Atlanta-1.3+0.3+1.0
Impact vs Sounders-0.0-0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Crew+0.1-0.0-0.0
Fire vs Real Salt Lake-0.0-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids-0.0-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
77-102100
7623-7-41000
7523-6-51000
7423-5-61000
7322-7-510000
7222-6-69900
7121-8-599100
7021-7-69910
6921-6-798110
6820-8-697210
6720-7-795320
6620-6-892430
6519-8-7896500
6419-7-88497000
6318-9-7781210000
6218-8-8701613010
6118-7-960201801000
6017-9-849242312000
5917-8-938282824000
5817-7-102630324701000
5716-9-916303471201000
5616-8-10927321217130000
5515-10-94222617222601000
5415-9-10116172226511020000
5315-8-110109232510171400000
5214-10-100532019172239010000
5114-9-1102114112123815140000
5014-8-1201084201815203802000
4913-10-1100411510202281514100
4813-9-12001083201616203920000
4713-8-1300041148212191661000
4612-10-120001072191418211341000
4512-9-130000301262119211241000
4412-8-14000106118122322124100
4311-10-130000301151625231241000
4211-9-1400010617182723124100
4110-11-130000202920282312300
4010-10-1400001003102229221020
3910-9-15000000141325302071
389-11-140000015173029153
379-10-1500000292334257
369-9-160000415323514
358-11-15000018264124
348-10-1600004184236
338-9-17001113949
327-11-16000163360
317-10-170032671
307-9-180011979
296-11-17011486
286-10-1800991
276-9-1900694
265-11-180496
255-10-190298
245-9-200199
235-8-21199
224-10-200100
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
193-10-21100
183-9-220100
16-17100
152-9-23199
0-14100
Total:5455555555555555555555