How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -6.4
-0.7
-1.1
+2.1
-0.5
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.2
+0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Rapids vs Minnesota-7.1-2.0+8.7
-0.7-0.2+0.8
-0.8-0.3+1.0
+2.6+0.5-3.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.2+0.5-0.2
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.3+0.4-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
76-96InYes100No13,106*
7523-6-3In99.8%1000No635*
7423-5-4In99.9100No1,190*
7323-4-5In99.51000No2,014*
7222-6-4In99.51000No3,661*
7122-5-5In99.0991No6,080*
7021-7-4In98.9991No10,113*
6921-6-5In98.0991No16,356*
6821-5-6In96.89910No25,947*
6720-7-5In95.19820No40,093*
6620-6-6In92.79630No61,515*
6519-8-5In89.59550No92,105*
6419-7-6In84.892700No134,112*
6319-6-7In78.7891100No192,286*
6218-8-6In70.78514100No271,001*
6118-7-7In61.37919100No374,322*
6018-6-8In50.57225300No507,864*
5917-8-7In38.96431500No677,973*
5817-7-8In27.555378100No884,314*
5716-9-7In17.4444212100No1,138,654*
5616-8-8In9.5344419300No1,435,770*
5516-7-9100.0%4.42443266100No1,779,583*
5415-9-8100.01.6163932112000No2,167,900*
5315-8-9100.00.493236184000No2,595,262*
5215-7-1099.90.1523362691000No3,049,469*
5114-9-999.50.02143232164000No3,519,857*
5014-8-1098.40.01824342481000No3,998,822*
4914-7-1195.4No03153130164100No4,457,499*
4813-9-1089.0No01823332492000No4,882,268*
4713-8-1177.7No003142931175100No5,253,726*
4612-10-1061.8No001721322610200No5,556,960*
4512-9-1143.6No000313283219510No5,766,854*
4412-8-1226.7No00162032271120No5,884,396*
4311-10-1114.1No00021127332050No5,897,496*
4211-9-126.3No00151933291110.0%5,803,909*
4111-8-132.4No00021129351930.05,606,204*
4010-10-120.8No001621372870.15,318,192*
3910-9-130.2No0002143437130.64,950,081*
3810-8-140.1No00182842212.34,518,212*
379-10-130.0No00042044316.04,052,219*
369-9-140.0No00214434212.63,561,850*
359-8-150.0No0018385322.23,069,603*
348-10-14OutNo005326333.82,592,679*
338-9-15OutNo003257246.42,144,528*
328-8-16OutNo001198058.41,741,150*
317-10-15OutNo01148569.01,382,058*
307-9-16OutNo00109077.91,073,606*
297-8-17OutNo0079384.7815,536*
286-10-16OutNo049689.8605,828*
276-9-17OutNo0039793.3439,532*
266-8-18OutNo029895.8309,905*
255-10-17OutNo019997.5215,637*
245-9-18OutNo19998.5145,089*
235-8-19OutNo010099.195,827*
224-10-18OutNo010099.560,965*
214-9-19OutNo010099.737,653*
204-8-20OutNo010099.922,737*
193-10-19OutNo010099.913,263*
183-9-20OutNo010099.97,494*
0-17OutNo100100.020,748*
Total:40.7%2.0%46778910111213158.0%109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasRapidsSporting KCSoundersWhitecapsReal Salt LakeGalaxy
65-9612.6%Yes
6419-7-612.710000
6319-6-712.610000
6218-8-612.410000000000
6118-7-712.51000000000000
6018-6-812.61000000000000
5917-8-712.51000000000000
5817-7-812.5990000000000
5716-9-712.5980000000000
17-6-912.4980000000000
5616-8-812.3970000000000
17-5-1012.3970000000000
5516-7-912.1931111111111
15-10-712.1931111111111
5415-9-811.6862222111111
16-6-1011.7872221111111
5315-8-911.1773332222222
14-11-710.9763333322222
16-5-1111.1783332222222
5215-7-1010.2654444433333
14-10-810.1634444433333
16-4-1210.1634444433333
5114-9-99.0486665544444
15-6-119.1505555544444
13-12-78.9466665554444
5014-8-107.7337776655555
13-11-87.5317776655555
15-5-127.7337776655555
4914-7-116.3207777665555
13-10-96.1187777665555
12-13-76.1187777666555
4813-9-104.696666655555
14-6-124.8106666655555
12-12-84.586666655555
4713-8-113.345555544444
12-11-93.135555444443
14-5-133.245555544444
4613-7-122.013333333333
12-10-101.913333333332
4512-9-111.002222221111
13-6-131.002222221111
4412-8-120.401111111111
4311-10-110.200000000000
4211-9-120.100000000000
4111-8-130.000000000000
4010-10-120.00000000000
3910-9-130.00000000000
3810-8-140.00000000000
378-13-11No000
0-36No
Total:3.0%16.31.81.81.81.71.61.51.41.41.41.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +1.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Rapids vs Minnesota+1.1+0.3-1.3
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.0-0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
76-96100
7523-6-31000
7423-5-41000
7323-4-59900
7222-6-410000
7122-5-59901
7021-7-49911
6921-6-59811
6821-5-6972100
6720-7-595320
6620-6-6934300
6519-8-5895500
6419-7-68587000
6319-6-7791011000
6218-8-67114140100
6118-7-76118190100
6018-6-851222413000
5917-8-739253015000
5817-7-8272734380100
5716-9-717273661201000
5616-8-892534101813000
5516-7-94202816242601000
5415-9-8214192028411020000
5315-8-9091021279171400000
5215-7-100541921152329010000
5114-9-902113122025715040000
5014-8-1001075192013222801000
4914-7-1100311412192471504100
4813-9-1000108419191421392000
4713-8-11000031139202381651000
4612-10-100001073181616221230000
4512-9-1100000301272121211130000
4412-8-120001062181425211031000
4311-10-11000020116182622113100
4211-9-1200010528202722113000
4111-8-1300002031022282210300
4010-10-12000101312242921820
3910-9-1300000151427291861
3810-8-140000016183028132
379-10-13000002102534236
369-9-1400001416333313
359-8-15000029274022
348-10-1400004194234
338-9-15002124046
328-8-1600173458
317-10-150042769
307-9-160022078
297-8-17011485
286-10-16001090
276-9-1700793
266-8-1800496
255-10-170397
245-9-180298
235-8-190199
224-10-18199
214-9-190100
204-8-200100
193-10-190100
183-9-200100
173-8-210100
163-7-22100
152-9-210100
0-14100
Total:2233334444445555666678