How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs FC Dallas+8.9-2.6-7.2
+0.7-0.2-0.6
+0.3-0.1-0.2
-1.6+0.2+1.4
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Colorado vs Minnesota-7.2-2.5+8.8
-0.5-0.2+0.7
-0.2-0.1+0.2
+1.8+0.0-1.8
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Philadelphia vs Vancouver+1.0+0.3-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
RSL vs San Jose-1.0+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Atlanta vs Portland+0.8+0.2-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs Columbus-0.9+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.5+0.3-0.7
Seattle vs Chicago-0.6+0.2+0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas+0.3+0.0-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7620-0-0In100.0%1000No261,827
73-74In99.2100No255*
7218-2-0In99.51000No623
7118-1-1In98.91000No1,881
7017-3-0In98.2991No3,867*
6917-2-1In96.6991No11,162
6817-1-2In94.69820No23,634*
6716-3-1In91.89820No50,459*
6616-2-2In87.69640No109,653*
6515-4-1In81.89370No206,779*
6415-3-2In74.2901000No397,867*
6315-2-3In64.7851410No728,361*
6214-4-2In53.77920100No1,253,725*
6114-3-3In41.87127300No2,145,490*
6014-2-4In29.76134500No3,500,382*
5913-4-3In19.050419100No5,494,155*
5813-3-4In10.6384515200No8,473,464*
5712-5-3100.0%5.02746234000No12,535,941*
5612-4-4100.01.91743318100No18,021,362*
5512-3-5100.00.5103537152000No25,306,992*
5411-5-4100.00.152539246100No34,270,131*
5311-4-599.80.02163632122000No45,268,255*
5211-3-699.30.01827362161000No58,237,549*
5110-5-597.60.003173430122000No72,603,127*
5010-4-693.1No01927352161000No88,300,625*
499-6-584.0No004173330133000No104,510,730*
489-5-669.4No00182535237100No120,179,490*
479-4-750.8No000315323215300No134,739,308*
468-6-632.0No000172436257100No147,007,963*
458-5-717.0No000314323415200No155,899,988*
448-4-87.5No00017243825500No161,138,486*
437-6-72.7No000314353512100.0%161,992,175*
427-5-80.8No00017274121300.0158,268,305*
417-4-90.2No0003174131700.0150,511,738*
406-6-80.0No0001935401310.0139,065,587*
396-5-90.0No000426442230.2124,772,085*
386-4-100.0No000218443160.7108,774,738*
375-6-90.0No001103940102.291,978,550*
365-5-100.0No00063246175.575,392,996*
355-4-110.0No000323492511.259,873,965*
344-6-10OutNo00116483419.745,997,008*
334-5-11OutNo0110454430.334,142,269*
324-4-12OutNo006395542.224,455,297*
313-6-11OutNo003326454.216,883,251*
303-5-12OutNo02267365.211,194,145*
293-4-13OutNo01198074.77,133,333*
282-6-12OutNo00148682.34,342,039*
272-5-13OutNo00109088.12,519,639*
262-4-14OutNo069492.31,390,304*
251-6-13OutNo049695.2726,576*
241-5-14OutNo029897.2354,551*
231-4-15OutNo019998.3162,540*
221-3-16OutNo19999.068,845*
210-5-15OutNo010099.526,034*
200-4-16OutNo010099.78,964*
190-3-17OutNo0100100.02,706*
17-18OutNo100Yes722*
160-0-20OutNo0100100.0261,827
Total:28.9%0.3%124579111416151153.1%2,420,983,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasSporting KCLAFCPortlandHoustonRSLVancouverLA GalaxySeattleColoradoSan Jose
65-7612.5%Yes
6415-3-212.610000
6315-2-312.5100000000
6214-4-212.510000000000000
6114-3-312.510000000000000
6014-2-412.510000000000000
5913-4-312.49900000000000
5813-3-412.49800000000000
12-6-212.49800000000000
5712-5-312.29600110000000
13-2-512.29501111110000
5612-4-411.99111111111000
13-1-611.99011211111000
11-7-211.99111111111000
5512-3-511.48222332222000
11-6-311.48322332221000
5411-5-410.67034444333100
12-2-610.56934544443100
10-8-210.67034444332100
5311-4-59.55455765554100
10-7-39.55455765554100
12-1-79.35156776654100
5211-3-68.13667887775100
10-6-48.23767887775100
9-9-28.03467987775100
5110-5-56.72178998876200
11-2-76.62078998876200
9-8-36.62178998876200
5010-4-65.11067998876210
9-7-45.11067998776201
11-1-85.0967997776210
499-6-53.6456776665100
10-3-73.6456776665110
8-9-33.4355776664100
489-5-62.3134554443100
10-2-82.2134554443100
8-8-42.1133554443100
479-4-71.2022332222100
8-7-51.1022332222100
468-6-60.5011111111000
9-3-80.5011111111000
458-5-70.2000000000000
448-4-80.1000000000000
437-6-70.0000000000000
427-5-80.0000000000000
417-4-90.000000000000
406-6-80.000000000000
396-5-90.000000000
386-4-10No0
16-37No
Total:1.7%7.01.31.51.91.81.61.51.51.20.30.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Minnesota+1.1+0.3-1.3
Minnesota vs FC Dallas-1.3+0.4+1.1
Atlanta vs Portland-0.1-0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Columbus+0.1-0.0-0.0
Philadelphia vs Vancouver-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
7620-0-010000
7419-1-0991
7319-0-1991
7218-2-010000
7118-1-19910
7017-3-09811
6917-2-19731
6817-1-295420
6716-3-192620
6616-2-2888400
6515-4-18212700
6415-3-2741610000
6315-2-3652014010
6214-4-254252001000
6114-3-342292613000
6014-2-430313135000
5913-4-31931356901000
5813-3-4112835101502000
5712-5-3522311621140000
5612-4-42162220283801000
5512-3-519132230715020000
5411-5-4056202713221601000
5311-4-502214181828412020000
5211-3-60108819279211601000
5110-5-5000331519152731202000
5010-4-60010891827821161000
499-6-5000043141914283133000
489-5-600010881727822710000
479-4-70000032131715281640000
468-6-6000010771626271230000
458-5-70000032121730241020000
448-4-800001067223022920000
437-6-7000002210242921920000
427-5-800001031225292082000
417-4-90000014142629186100
406-6-80000001617292815410
396-5-9000000282031261120
386-4-1000000031125322161
375-6-9000015163131142
365-5-100000282536245
355-4-1100000416353411
344-6-1000019294120
334-5-110004214430
324-4-120002134342
313-6-1100183754
303-5-1200043165
293-4-130022375
282-6-1200011782
272-5-130001288
262-4-1400892
251-6-1300595
241-5-140397
231-4-150298
221-3-160199
210-5-15199
200-4-160100
190-3-170100
17-18100
160-0-200100
Total:01112233435477777777653