How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 2 Miami 1 -4.9
-0.4
-0.5
+1.5
-0.4
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 *-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Miami vs LA Galaxy+6.0-4.5-8.6
+0.5-0.4-0.7
+0.4-0.3-0.5
-2.3+1.4+3.7
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.4+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.3-0.0-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.3+0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
74-96In100.0%100No8,941*
7323-4-5In99.41000No658*
7222-6-4In99.11000No1,161*
7122-5-5In99.21000No2,082*
7022-4-6In97.4991No3,545*
6921-6-5In95.9991No6,201*
6821-5-6In94.3991No10,571*
6720-7-5In91.49820No17,024*
6620-6-6In87.39640No27,294*
6520-5-7In82.39460No43,170*
6419-7-6In75.591800No65,353*
6319-6-7In66.8881200No98,249*
6219-5-8In57.0831610No144,824*
6118-7-7In45.97722200No208,407*
6018-6-8In34.16928300No292,876*
5917-8-7In23.45934600No405,567*
5817-7-8In14.14939101000No547,627*
5717-6-9In7.43843163000No729,229*
5616-8-8In3.22843235100No946,999*
5516-7-9100.0%1.1184030102000No1,208,573*
5416-6-10100.00.31133351740000No1,510,050*
5315-8-9100.00.0624362592000No1,855,888*
5215-7-10100.00.021531311641000No2,234,490*
5115-6-1199.80.017233324102000No2,634,621*
5014-8-1098.9No031428301861000No3,051,655*
4914-7-1196.4No0172031261230000No3,466,139*
4813-9-1089.9No0021125312182000No3,861,111*
4713-8-1177.4No0015152829165100No4,213,069*
4613-7-1259.0No00017203025123000No4,507,088*
4512-9-1138.4No0003112430218200No4,735,204*
4412-8-1220.8No0001515282916510No4,874,590*
4312-7-139.2No000182131261120No4,917,818*
4211-9-123.3No000312273220610.0%4,860,635*
4111-8-131.0No000161832291220.04,713,213*
4011-7-140.2No00021127352140.14,474,612*
3910-9-130.0No001519363090.44,167,406*
3810-8-140.0No0002123138161.53,799,942*
3710-7-150.0No000162443264.33,389,897*
369-9-140.0No00031743379.92,965,803*
359-8-15OutNo00111404818.52,537,375*
349-7-16OutNo0006345929.72,125,774*
338-9-15OutNo0003276942.11,739,158*
328-8-16OutNo002217754.61,393,460*
318-7-17OutNo001158466.01,088,922*
307-9-16OutNo00118975.5835,572*
297-8-17OutNo0079383.0625,450*
287-7-18OutNo0059588.6454,953*
276-9-17OutNo039792.6324,134*
266-8-18OutNo029895.3225,278*
256-7-19OutNo019997.1152,143*
245-9-18OutNo019998.299,995*
235-8-19OutNo010099.064,351*
225-7-20OutNo010099.339,980*
214-9-19OutNo010099.624,212*
204-8-20OutNo010099.814,080*
194-7-21OutNo010099.97,838*
0-18OutNo10099.917,291*
Total:37.2%0.9%345567889101112137.3%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoNYCFC
65-9612.6%Yes
6419-7-612.410000
6319-6-712.510000
6219-5-812.4100000000000
6118-7-712.4100000000000000
6018-6-812.5100000000000000
5917-8-712.5100000000000000
5817-7-812.499000000000000
18-4-1012.599000000000000
5717-6-912.497000000000000
16-9-712.397000000000000
5616-8-812.394111111000000
17-5-1012.294111111000000
5516-7-911.988111111111110
15-10-711.987111111111111
17-4-1111.989111111111110
5416-6-1011.479222222111111
15-9-811.377222222221111
17-3-1211.478222222221111
5315-8-910.565444443222221
16-5-1110.666333333222221
14-11-710.363444443332222
5215-7-109.249555554333332
14-10-89.046555554443332
16-4-129.349555554333332
5115-6-117.733666665444443
14-9-97.430666665444443
13-12-77.128666665444443
16-3-137.632666665444443
5014-8-105.617666665444443
15-5-125.718666665444443
13-11-85.315666665444443
4914-7-113.88555554444433
13-10-93.57555554443333
15-4-133.78555554444433
4814-6-122.23444443333332
13-9-102.03333333332222
12-12-82.02333333332222
4713-8-111.01222222221111
14-5-131.11222222222211
12-11-90.91222222111111
4613-7-120.40111111111111
12-10-100.40111111111110
4512-9-110.10000000000000
4412-8-120.00000000000000
4312-7-130.00000000000000
4212-6-140.0000000000000
4111-8-130.0000000000000
4011-7-140.0000000
0-39No
Total:2.1%11.21.21.21.21.21.21.00.90.90.80.80.80.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.9
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs LA Galaxy-1.1+0.8+1.6
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
75-96100
7423-5-41000
7323-4-59900
7222-6-49910
7122-5-59910
7022-4-69721
6921-6-59631
6821-5-69441
6720-7-591620
6620-6-6879400
6520-5-78212600
6419-7-675168000
6319-6-7672112000
6219-5-85726150100
6118-7-746312012000
6018-6-834352533000
5917-8-723362956000
5817-7-81435301010010000
5717-6-9731271515130000
5616-8-83242222203501000
5516-7-9117142623710020000
5416-6-1001072621141524000000
5315-8-905221152120580200000
5215-7-100211472419121424010000
5115-6-11010722113191959020000
5014-8-100030136231713152501000
4914-7-1100107118102019811130000
4813-9-1000020114211416174820000
4713-8-11000105115722171115610000
4613-7-12000010721810201814620000
4512-9-11000030114211421168200000
4412-8-120000105115717231910310000
4312-7-130000107281824211241000
4211-9-12000030281825221351000
4111-8-13000010028182524145100
4011-7-140000002818262414510
3910-9-13000000392028241230
3810-8-1400000131123302391
3710-7-150000014142731184
369-9-1400001720332910
359-8-150000312293718
349-7-160016224130
338-9-150003154042
328-8-1600193655
318-7-1700052966
307-9-160022275
297-8-170011683
287-7-18001189
276-9-1700793
266-8-1800595
256-7-190397
245-9-180298
235-8-190199
225-7-20199
214-9-190100
204-8-200100
194-7-210100
183-9-200100
173-8-210100
163-7-220100
0-15100
Total:12122323243434344555566677