| Week of 7/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maryland 1 Northern Virginia 0 | +15.3 | | +2.1 | |
| West Virginia 2 Northern Virginia 0 | -11.8 | | -0.3 | |
| Maryland 2 Carolina 4 | -7.3 | | -0.8 | |
| Nashville 0 West Virginia 0 | +3.9 | | +0.2 | |
| West Virginia 1 Palmetto 1 | +1.0 | | +0.0 | |
| Ottawa 4 Worcester 0 | -1.0 | | | |
| Fredericksburg 2 SW Virginia 1 | -0.8 | | | |
| Reading 4 Brooklyn 0 | -0.7 | | | |
| Bermuda 3 Long Island 1 | +0.6 | | +0.3 | |
| Baltimore 3 Express 2 | +0.5 | | | |
| Ft. Lauderdale 1 Jax 0 | +0.4 | | | |
| Mississippi 1 Tampa 0 | +0.4 | | | |
| River City 1 Inferno 2 | -0.3 | | | |
| Toronto Lynx 1 Fire-PDL 0 | +0.3 | | | |
| Hamilton 2 Forest City 4 | -0.3 | | | |
| Virginia Beach 1 SW Virginia 3 | -0.2 | | | |
| Kitsap 2 North Sound 1 | +0.2 | | | |
| Hamilton 1 Fire-PDL 4 | -0.2 | | | |
| Kansas City 5 St. Louis 1 | +0.2 | | | |
| Crossfire 0 Sounders-U23 1 | -0.2 | | | |
| Orlando City 2 Mississippi 1 | +0.2 | | | |
| Brooklyn 1 Westchester 0 | +0.2 | | | |
| Ventura County 0 Fresno 2 | -0.2 | | | |
| NJ Rangers 3 Baltimore 2 | +0.2 | | -0.1 | |
| NJ Rangers 4 Spartans 0 | +0.2 | | | |
| West-Texas 1 El Paso 4 | -0.2 | | | |
| BYU 3 Ogden 1 | +0.2 | | | |
| Seacoast 1 Boston 1 | *-0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Laredo 1 New Orleans 1 | *-0.1 | | | |
| Fire-PDL 0 Michigan 2 | *-0.1 | | | |
| Jax 1 Panama City 3 | *-0.1 | | | |
| Ocean City 2 NJ Rangers 1 | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Week of 7/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maryland 7 Fredericksburg 1 | +17.9 | | +1.0 | |
| Virginia Beach 2 West Virginia 0 | +12.2 | | +0.0 | |
| Ottawa 1 Western Mass 1 | -1.9 | | -0.2 | |
| Fresno 3 Southern Cal 1 | -1.8 | | | |
| Baltimore 2 Brooklyn 2 | -1.8 | | -0.2 | |
| El Paso 1 Laredo 4 | -1.8 | | -0.2 | |
| Seacoast 0 Worcester 2 | -1.7 | | | |
| West-Texas 2 Texas 0 | -1.7 | | | |
| Long Island 0 Express 2 | -1.7 | | -0.2 | |
| Winnipeg 2 Springfield 1 | -1.7 | | -0.2 | |
| Spartans 0 NJ Rangers 1 | -1.6 | | -0.2 | |
| Portland Phoenix 5 Boston 0 | -1.6 | | -0.4 | |
| Vermont 2 Azul 4 | -1.5 | | -0.2 | |
| Thunder Bay 3 Kansas City 1 | -1.5 | | -0.2 | |
| New Orleans 1 Austin 0 | -1.2 | | | |
| Carolina 1 Northern Virginia 1 | -0.9 | | -0.2 | |
| Ottawa 1 Azul 0 | | | -0.0 | |
| Ottawa 5 Portland Phoenix 1 | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Week of 7/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maryland 2 West Virginia 2 | In | | +0.4 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.