"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fort Lauderdale 2 Richmond 1 -0.2
Greenville 4 North Texas 0 *-0.1
Fort Lauderdale 0 Omaha 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tucson vs Madison-7.7-2.2+9.1
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Richmond vs South Georgia-0.2+0.5-0.1
New England II vs Omaha-0.2+0.4-0.1
North Texas vs Chattanooga-0.2+0.4-0.1
North Carolina vs Greenville-0.2+0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Madison finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
66-84In10029,180*
6520-5-3In10005,005*
6420-4-4In10008,717*
6320-3-5In100014,672*
6219-5-4In100024,157*
6119-4-5In1000038,787*
6018-6-4In99161,050*
5918-5-5In991093,718*
5818-4-6In9820141,102*
5717-6-5In9730206,573*
5617-5-6In9640296,814*
5517-4-7In94600417,956*
5416-6-6In901000572,714*
5316-5-7In851410773,047*
5215-7-6In7920101,022,664*
5115-6-7In71273001,324,538*
5015-5-8In61345001,679,153*
4914-7-7In494191002,089,554*
4814-6-8In3745162002,548,173*
4714-5-9100.0%25462450003,047,526*
4613-7-8100.01541331010003,574,044*
4513-6-9100.0731391940004,108,547*
4413-5-1099.93193829910004,637,975*
4312-7-999.61930371940005,129,051*
4212-6-1098.2031736311120005,562,285*
4111-8-993.1017253723610005,916,019*
4011-7-1080.20021232351630006,166,598*
3911-6-1157.50004183630111006,313,851*
3810-8-1031.8001724372461006,329,305*
3710-7-1112.90002113136173006,225,864*
3610-6-123.8000417363111106,000,479*
359-8-110.80017253823505,662,063*
349-7-120.100021434351315,236,875*
339-6-130.0001624402554,743,646*
328-8-120.0002133737114,208,570*
318-7-130.000162845203,655,718*
308-6-14Out0031846333,104,836*
297-8-13Out0011143462,580,669*
287-7-14Out00636582,100,561*
277-6-15Out00328701,666,365*
266-8-14Out0120791,293,209*
256-7-15Out001486978,525*
246-6-16Out00991722,555*
235-8-15Out0694519,929*
225-7-16Out0496363,376*
215-6-17Out0298249,842*
204-8-16Out0199164,661*
194-7-17Out199106,056*
184-6-18Out010066,469*
173-8-17Out010039,959*
163-7-18Out010023,326*
153-6-19Out010012,943*
143-5-20Out01007,097*
132-7-19Out01003,763*
0-12Out10026,549*
Total:48.7%888888888999111,896,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs