"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Richmond vs Madison-6.2-0.5+11.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
Fort Lauderdale vs Omaha-0.1+0.5-0.2
Greenville vs Chattanooga-0.1+0.4-0.1
New England II vs Orlando II-0.1+0.4-0.1
Tucson vs Toronto II-0.1+0.4-0.1
South Georgia vs North Texas-0.1+0.4-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tucson vs Madison-6.2-0.5+11.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
North Texas vs Orlando II-0.2+0.4-0.1
New England II vs Richmond-0.1+0.4-0.2
Greenville vs South Georgia-0.1+0.4-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Madison finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
68-84In100242,591*
6721-4-3In100010,246*
6621-3-4In100019,380*
6520-5-3In100035,081*
6420-4-4In100062,664*
6320-3-5In1000108,293*
6219-5-4In1000183,666*
6119-4-5In1000302,076*
6018-6-4In1000486,728*
5918-5-5In9910764,518*
5818-4-6In99101,172,785*
5717-6-5In98201,752,186*
5617-5-6In97302,571,876*
5517-4-7In955003,683,418*
5416-6-6In928005,153,690*
5316-5-7In88120007,076,022*
5215-7-6In83171009,482,080*
5115-6-7In752320012,466,921*
5015-5-8In6630400016,036,607*
4914-7-7In5438700020,199,545*
4814-6-8100.0%424413100024,909,654*
4714-5-9100.03046213000030,104,309*
4613-7-8100.01843308100035,623,072*
4513-6-9100.010353815300041,308,411*
4413-5-10100.042339267100046,902,406*
4312-7-999.71123335163000052,182,242*
4212-6-1098.8042137279100056,867,409*
4111-8-995.00192936205000060,703,267*
4011-7-1084.400315343213200063,474,534*
3911-6-1163.70005213727810065,003,154*
3810-8-1037.50019273621500065,184,178*
3710-7-1116.200021433341520063,981,639*
3610-6-125.10000520372891061,510,191*
359-8-111.2000192837214057,869,336*
349-7-120.2000315353312153,264,381*
339-6-130.00017254023447,954,161*
328-8-120.000021537361042,256,795*
318-7-130.0001729441936,373,428*
308-6-140.0000319463130,613,350*
297-8-130.0000111434525,161,928*
287-7-14Out0006365720,199,797*
277-6-15Out0003286915,829,451*
266-8-14Out001207812,099,904*
256-7-15Out0114859,005,802*
246-6-16Out009916,538,951*
235-8-15Out006944,615,245*
225-7-16Out003973,174,466*
215-6-17Out02982,118,133*
204-8-16Out01991,372,216*
194-7-17Out0199860,720*
184-6-18Out0100523,674*
173-8-17Out0100307,480*
163-7-18Out0100175,116*
153-6-19Out010095,617*
142-8-18Out010049,782*
132-7-19Out010025,227*
0-12Out100253,673*
Total:50.0%8888888888881,120,303,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs