SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

Tonka Blue Title Chances 2017 50/50

Plays Fusion B, average seed down 0.04 to 17.7

7 points 2-1-5

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/20	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
TwinStars 4 NW Kickers 0	-2.7		+0.2
Coon Rapids 2 Blaine 9	-2.1		+0.1
EPSC 1 Edina 4	+1.6		-0.2
Blackhawks B 6 North Oaks 1	+0.9		-0.1
Lakeville 3 Shakopee 1			+0.2
RYSA 5 Valley United 1			-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tonka Blue vs Fusion B	No-7.1+10.8		+2.3-0.6-2.2
Blackhawks A vs North Oaks	-2.4-2.2+2.7		+0.1+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/28	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
NW Kickers vs TwinStars	+6.3-0.3-6.3		-0.1+0.0+0.1
SCV Elite vs Woodbury	+2.6+0.8-2.8		-0.1-0.0+0.1
SCV Elite vs North Oaks	+0.2-1.9+0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion A vs Edina	-0.1*+0.1+0.1		+0.2+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tonka Blue finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	Relegated		Count

13		2	-	0	-	0	No		No												0	8	31	44	15	1											No		1,494,668
11		1	-	1	-	0	No		No															8	28	35	21	6	1								No		520,006
10		1	-	0	-	1	No		No															1	6	20	33	28	11	2	0						No		2,989,905
9		0	-	2	-	0	No		No															0	3	13	28	35	19	2	0						No		45,495
8		0	-	1	-	1	No		No																		0	2	13	32	34	15	3	0			2.8	%	518,981
7		0	-	0	-	2	No		No																					1	14	41	36	8			44.3		1,496,045

Total:							No		No												0	2	7	10	8	11	16	13	6	3	5	10	8	2			9.6	%	7,065,100

Points

Chance Will Win Championship