How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
WBL 5 SCV 0 -0.1
-0.3
Edina A 8 Shakopee 1 -0.7
PVU 0 Edina B 4 -0.6
-0.1
MU A 1 Edina A 5 -0.4
Lakeville 2 Austin 7 -0.8
-0.1
Blackhawks 2 NSSA 3 -0.4
-0.1
JOTP 11 Woodbury B 1 -0.2
-0.1
Valley Fusion 2 RYSA 5 +0.2
-0.0
Three Rivers 4 Princeton 4 *+0.1
*+0.1
Fusion B 1 STMA 2 -0.1
-0.1
Blaine White 1 REV East 0 +0.1
+0.1
Mankato 4 Rev Black 3 -0.1
Westonka 1 Fusion A 15 -0.1
RYSA 3 Lakeville 0 -0.1
RYSA 9 Eagan - Tilseth 1 -0.1
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
Valley Barca 8 Prior Lake 0 +0.1
+6.9
+4.2
NSSA 0 WBL 3 No
+0.4
+0.1
MU B 0 Edina B 4 -0.4
+0.1
Woodbury A 5 Lakes United 1 -0.4
-0.1
Eagan - Vargas 3 JOTP 2 -0.4
+0.1
Sartell 1 Three Rivers 2 +0.3
North Metro 1 Northern Lights 2 -0.3
Princeton 0 STMA 2 -0.2
-0.1
MU A 2 CC United 2 *+0.2
+0.2
Owatonna 3 Mankato 4 -0.1
-0.1
Westonka 0 Tonka Blue 4 -0.1
-0.1
REV East 0 Blaine Blue 2 -0.1
-0.1
Cottage Grove 2 Southeast Strik 1 -0.0
PVU 1 Fusion A 5 -0.1
Rev Black 0 Burnsville 6 -0.1
CMYSA 1 Fusion B 4 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Valley Barca finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152C3Count
222-0-0No0.2%031532301441000No745,963
201-1-0NoNo014122125191152000No258,968
191-0-1NoNo000261421221710521000No1,494,298
180-2-0NoNo0027162626166100No22,794
170-1-1NoNo00137152224178200No258,510
160-0-2NoNo000271422241893000No746,939
Total:No0.0%01377433479975333566421000No3,527,472
Points
Chance Will Win Championship