"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 2 NSSA 3 *No
-0.1
-0.0
WBL 5 SCV 0 *No
Lakeville 2 Austin 7 -0.2
-0.1
MU A 1 Edina A 5 -0.2
Three Rivers 4 Princeton 4 +0.2
+0.2
Edina A 8 Shakopee 1 -0.1
PVU 0 Edina B 4 -0.1
REV Green 2 Lakeville 1 +0.2
Fusion B 1 STMA 2 -0.0
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
Valley Barca 8 Prior Lake 0 +0.8
+2.6
MU B 0 Edina B 4 -0.5
+0.1
Eagan - Vargas 3 JOTP 2 -0.5
+0.1
NSSA 0 WBL 3 +0.4
+0.1
Sartell 1 Three Rivers 2 +0.3
-0.1
North Metro 1 Northern Lights 2 -0.3
+0.1
Cottage Grove 2 Southeast Strik 1 +0.2
-0.1
EPSC 0 Edina A 7 -0.2
-0.1
Woodbury A 5 Lakes United 1 -0.1
MU A 2 CC United 2 +0.1
+0.2
REV East 0 Blaine Blue 2 -0.1
Princeton 0 STMA 2 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Valley Barca finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152C3Count
222-0-0NoNo00192832198200No9,023,347
201-1-0NoNo00141221242012510No1,588,494
191-0-1NoNo00171823181712410No202,987
180-2-0NoNo00110323517400No69,944
170-1-1NoNo001925342371No17,686
160-0-2NoNo011336341510No1,622
Total:NoNo00072327179543211000000000No10,904,080
Points
Chance Will Win Championship