SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Owatonna Title Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, average seed up 0.2 to 38.5

4 points 1-1-5

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/6	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Lakeville 2 Austin 7					+0.1
Edina A 8 Shakopee 1			-0.2		+0.1
PVU 0 Edina B 4			-0.2		+0.1
Blackhawks 2 NSSA 3			-0.4		+0.0
Westonka 1 Fusion A 15			-0.4
Mankato 4 Rev Black 3			-0.4
JOTP 11 Woodbury B 1			-0.4
RYSA 9 Eagan - Tilseth 1			-0.3		-0.0
WBL 5 SCV 0			-0.3		+0.1
Blaine White 1 REV East 0			+0.3
RYSA 3 Lakeville 0			-0.2
Maplebrook 3 CMYSA 0			-0.2
MU A 1 Edina A 5			-0.2		+0.1
Lakes United 1 Eau Claire 1			*-0.1		+0.1

Week of 6/13	100.0*	State	100.0*	C3	100.0*	Average seed
Owatonna 3 Mankato 4	No		+6.0		-3.7
MU B 0 Edina B 4					+0.1
Woodbury A 5 Lakes United 1			-0.4		+0.1
Sartell 1 Three Rivers 2					-0.1
North Metro 1 Northern Lights 2					+0.1
Rev Black 0 Burnsville 6			-0.6
Westonka 0 Tonka Blue 4			-0.4		-0.0
SCV 5 Eau Claire 0			+0.3		+0.0
CMYSA 1 Fusion B 4			-0.3
PVU 1 Fusion A 5			-0.3
Eagan - Tilseth 0 Lakeville 11			-0.2
IGH Heat 5 River Falls 1			-0.2
Shakopee 0 Tonka White 5			+0.2
REV East 0 Blaine Blue 2			-0.2
Woodbury B 0 IGH Heat 7			-0.1		-0.1
MU A 2 CC United 2					+0.1
Princeton 0 STMA 2					+0.1
Valley Barca 8 Prior Lake 0					+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Owatonna finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43	44	45	46	47	48	49	50	51	52	C3		Count

13		3	-	0	-	0	No		No																												0	2	10	24	31	22	9	2	0	0																	No		343,358
11		2	-	1	-	0	No		No																													0	0	1	4	13	24	27	19	8	2	0	0														No		178,699
10		2	-	0	-	1	No		No																																0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1														No		1,030,139
9		1	-	2	-	0	No		No																																		0	1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0	0											No		30,633
8		1	-	1	-	1	No		No																																			0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0									No		357,963
7		1	-	0	-	2	No		No																																					0	0	3	13	28	30	18	7	1	0	0							No		1,030,659
		0	-	3	-	0	No		No																																						1	5	21	37	22	10	3	0									No		1,742
6		0	-	2	-	1	No		No																																							0	1	4	14	23	25	19	10	3	1	0	0				0.7	%	31,239
5		0	-	1	-	2	No		No																																								0	0	2	7	17	26	25	15	6	2	0	0			7.8		179,661
4		0	-	0	-	3	No		No																																								0	0	0	1	3	9	19	25	23	14	5	1	0		43.1		343,379

Total:							No		No																												0	0	1	2	3	3	3	5	9	10	7	5	7	10	10	6	3	3	3	3	3	1	1	0	0		4.6	%	3,527,472

Points

Chance Will Win Championship