How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
WBL 5 SCV 0 -1.6
-0.5
-0.1
Edina A 8 Shakopee 1 -0.5
-1.2
-0.1
PVU 0 Edina B 4 -0.4
-1.0
-0.1
MU A 1 Edina A 5 -0.3
-0.8
-0.0
Lakeville 2 Austin 7 -0.2
-1.1
-0.1
Blackhawks 2 NSSA 3 -0.7
-0.1
Three Rivers 4 Princeton 4 *+0.3
*+0.1
Mankato 4 Rev Black 3 -0.2
-0.1
Fusion B 1 STMA 2 -0.2
-0.1
JOTP 11 Woodbury B 1 -0.1
RYSA 3 Lakeville 0 -0.0
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
North Metro 1 Northern Lights 2 +3.2
+15.4
+3.2
NSSA 0 WBL 3 -1.6
+0.9
+0.1
EPSC 0 Edina A 7 -0.4
*-0.1
MU B 0 Edina B 4 -0.3
-0.8
Eagan - Vargas 3 JOTP 2 -0.1
-0.8
Woodbury A 5 Lakes United 1 -0.1
-1.0
-0.1
Cottage Grove 2 Southeast Strik 1 *+0.1
Sartell 1 Three Rivers 2 +0.6
MU A 2 CC United 2 *+0.4
+0.1
Princeton 0 STMA 2 -0.4
-0.1
Rev Black 0 Burnsville 6 -0.3
-0.1
Valley Barca 8 Prior Lake 0 -0.3
-0.0
Owatonna 3 Mankato 4 -0.2
-0.1
Westonka 0 Tonka Blue 4 -0.1
PVU 1 Fusion A 5 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Northern Lights finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152C3Count
303-0-056.3%Yes56404No343,076
282-1-035.5Yes365213No178,919
272-0-11.1Yes1143233173No1,030,035
261-2-0No98.6%4203529111No31,002
251-1-1No90.4192532228100No358,403
241-0-2No48.200210363514300No1,031,873
0-3-0No57.4031737291120No1,769
230-2-1No3.2323412671No30,901
220-1-2No0.00151526261772000No178,998
210-0-3NoNo0161727261661000No342,496
Total:7.6%68.2%811111311141152343210000No3,527,472
Points
Chance Will Win Championship