SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Shakopee Title Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, average seed up 0.1 to 18.5

3 points 1-0-5

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/23	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev Black 8 Shakopee 0	-0.9		-7.3		+9.7		-2.1
Shakopee 4 CC United 2	+0.3		+4.5		-13.2		+2.0
EPSC 2 Fusion B 1	-0.1		-0.4		-0.6		+0.0
Blackhawks 2 Rev Green 1	+0.1		-0.1		+0.1
Woodbury A 0 North Oaks 9			-0.3		-0.4		+0.0
Woodbury B 1 Blackhawks 4			-0.1		-0.4		+0.0
STMA 1 Maplebrook 2					*+0.1
RYSA 1 Woodbury B 1			+0.3		*-0.1		+0.1
Fusion A 0 Valley United 2			+0.2		+0.5
Gitchi Gummi 0 North Metro 2			-0.1		-0.2

Week of 5/30	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shakopee 0 Valley United 3	-0.4		-6.4		+10.1		-2.1
RYSA 2 Blackhawks 4	-0.1		-0.3		-0.5		+0.1
EPSC 0 STMA 2	+0.1				+0.4		-0.1
Rev Black 2 CC United 0			-0.5		-0.8
Tonka 0 Maplebrook 0			+0.2
NSSA 0 North Metro 1			-0.1		-0.5		+0.0
NSSA 2 Blaine 0			+0.2		+0.7		-0.0
STMA 3 Fusion B 3			*+0.1		-0.3
White Bear 2 Rev Green 2					-0.4		+0.0
NSSA 6 Woodbury A 0			-0.1		-0.1		-0.0
White Bear 1 Woodbury B 6			-0.1		-0.2		-0.0
Blaine 0 North Oaks 1			*-0.1
Prior Lake 1 CC United 1					-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Shakopee finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Relegated		Count

15		4	-	0	-	0	No		No											0	13	33	34	17	4	0									No		15,810,911
13		3	-	1	-	0	No		No														9	34	41	16									No		10,975,638
12		3	-	0	-	1	No		No															8	34	46	12								No		63,134,776
11		2	-	2	-	0	No		No																	37	48	15							No		2,859,875
10		2	-	1	-	1	No		No																		28	47	22	2					No		32,915,251
9		2	-	0	-	2	No		No																		15	39	34	11	1				1.2	%	94,667,651
		1	-	3	-	0	No		No																		24	47	26	3					No		332,420
8		1	-	2	-	1	No		No																		5	21	37	29	8				8.0		5,723,455
7		1	-	1	-	2	No		No																			1	16	49	34				34.2		32,905,254
		0	-	4	-	0	No		No																			5	30	45	20				20.5		14,557
6		1	-	0	-	3	No		No																				1	12	73	13			86.6		63,119,116
		0	-	3	-	1	No		No																				17	19	57	7			64.0		333,142
5		0	-	2	-	2	No		No																						46	45	9		Yes		2,862,283
4		0	-	1	-	3	No		No																						20	44	30	6	Yes		10,977,111
3		0	-	0	-	4	No		No																						5	28	46	21	Yes		15,811,904

Total:							No		No											0	1	1	2	3	8	9	9	15	13	10	18	5	3	1	27.6	%	352,443,344

Points

Chance Will Win Championship