North Metro Title Chances 2017 50/50
Beat NSSA 3-0, title odds up 18.6 to 90.5%
27 points 9-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Gitchi Gummi 0 North Metro 2 | +3.5 | +12.8 | -4.4 | +2.1 | ||||
| EPSC 2 Fusion B 1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.3 | |||||
| Woodbury B 1 Blackhawks 4 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Blackhawks 2 Rev Green 1 | +0.4 | *-0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Fusion A 0 Valley United 2 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Rev Black 8 Shakopee 0 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| STMA 1 Maplebrook 2 | +0.1 | *+0.1 | ||||||
| RYSA 1 Woodbury B 1 | *+0.1 | +0.5 | +0.1 | |||||
| Woodbury A 0 North Oaks 9 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||||
| Shakopee 4 CC United 2 | *-0.1 | |||||||
| Fusion B 0 Tonka 2 | -0.0 | |||||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NSSA 0 North Metro 1 | +4.8 | +14.2 | -1.8 | +1.9 | ||||
| RYSA 2 Blackhawks 4 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| EPSC 0 STMA 2 | +0.8 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| White Bear 2 Rev Green 2 | +0.5 | *+0.2 | +0.0 | |||||
| Rev Black 2 CC United 0 | -0.4 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Prior Lake 1 CC United 1 | +0.2 | *-0.1 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| STMA 3 Fusion B 3 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +0.0 | |||||
| NSSA 2 Blaine 0 | +0.1 | +0.7 | ||||||
| Tonka 0 Maplebrook 0 | *+0.1 | +0.7 | +0.1 | |||||
| NSSA 6 Woodbury A 0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||||
| White Bear 1 Woodbury B 6 | -0.2 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the North Metro finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | State | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 28 | -30 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 190,316,754 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 79.4 | % | Yes | 79 | 21 | No | 162,126,590 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 90.5 | % | Yes | 91 | 9 | No | 352,443,344 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:19 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
