SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

NSSA Title Chances 2017

Lost to North Metro 0-3, average seed down 0.9 to 17.7

7 points 2-1-6

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/23	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fusion A 0 Valley United 2			+0.1		+2.7		-0.2
Rev Black 8 Shakopee 0					-0.3		+0.0
STMA 1 Maplebrook 2					+0.2
Woodbury A 0 North Oaks 9					-1.0		+0.0
EPSC 2 Fusion B 1					-0.5		+0.0
Woodbury B 1 Blackhawks 4					-0.1		+0.0
RYSA 1 Woodbury B 1					*-0.1
Shakopee 4 CC United 2					-0.5
Fusion B 0 Tonka 2					-0.2

Week of 5/30	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
STMA 3 Fusion B 3			+0.1		+0.2
NSSA 0 North Metro 1	No		-0.7		+3.2		-1.1
RYSA 2 Blackhawks 4	*No				-0.2		+0.0
Prior Lake 1 CC United 1			+0.1		+0.2
NSSA 2 Blaine 0			+0.1		-16.3		+2.1
NSSA 6 Woodbury A 0			+0.1		-13.6		+1.2
Tonka 0 Maplebrook 0					+0.5		-0.0
Rev Black 2 CC United 0					-0.4		+0.0
White Bear 2 Rev Green 2					+1.5		-0.1
White Bear 1 Woodbury B 6					-0.8
Shakopee 0 Valley United 3					+0.2		-0.0
EPSC 0 STMA 2					+0.2		-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NSSA finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Relegated		Count

10		1	-	0	-	0	No		No																		94	6	0	0					No		679,108,766
8		0	-	1	-	0	No		No																		40	32	23	4	0				0.0	%	86,714,821
7		0	-	0	-	1	No		No																			25	50	24	0				0.3		318,520,941

Total:							No		No																		62	14	17	8	0				0.1	%	1,084,344,528

Points

Chance Will Win Championship