"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
EPSC 2 Fusion B 1 +7.6
+14.4
-0.7
+1.7
Woodbury B 1 Blackhawks 4 -1.5
-0.5
-0.1
Blackhawks 2 Rev Green 1 +0.8
-0.2
Woodbury A 0 North Oaks 9 -0.4
-0.6
-0.1
Gitchi Gummi 0 North Metro 2 -0.4
-0.2
-0.0
Fusion A 0 Valley United 2 +0.3
+0.5
+0.0
Rev Black 8 Shakopee 0 -0.2
-0.4
-0.0
STMA 1 Maplebrook 2 +0.1
+0.2
RYSA 1 Woodbury B 1 *+0.1
+0.6
Fusion B 0 Tonka 2 -0.2
Shakopee 4 CC United 2 -0.1
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
EPSC 0 STMA 2 -9.9
-13.7
-1.4
RYSA 2 Blackhawks 4 -2.3
-0.5
-0.1
Rev Black 2 CC United 0 -0.7
-1.0
-0.1
NSSA 0 North Metro 1 -0.5
-0.7
-0.1
White Bear 2 Rev Green 2 +0.4
+0.4
+0.1
Prior Lake 1 CC United 1 +0.3
*+0.1
+0.0
NSSA 2 Blaine 0 +0.3
+0.7
+0.0
Blaine 0 North Oaks 1 -0.1
*-0.1
STMA 3 Fusion B 3 +0.4
+0.0
White Bear 1 Woodbury B 6 -0.3
NSSA 6 Woodbury A 0 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the EPSC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
251-0-0NoYes7327No162,128,847
230-1-0NoYes226215No28,180,299
220-0-1No99.5%8523371No162,134,198
Total:No99.8%3521251530No352,443,344
Points
Chance Will Win Championship