West Playoff Chances 50/50Sporting KC +8.9, San Jose -6.7 Chance Will Make Playoffs Explain Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination Tie Breakers: 1. Wins 2. Goal Differential 3. Goals Scored. Direct Comments/Corrections to u/bgix in Reddit Big GamesWho should we root for? Explain Week of 3/9 | RSL 1 Colorado 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Colorado | +8.4 | | +0.8 | | +1.1 | | -2.0 | | RSL | -6.8 | | -0.8 | | -1.1 | | +1.2 | | | San Jose 0 Vancouver 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Vancouver | +7.9 | | +0.9 | | +1.5 | | -1.6 | | San Jose | -7.2 | | -0.6 | | -0.7 | | +2.1 | | | Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Minnesota | +6.7 | | +0.9 | | +2.0 | | -1.0 | | Vancouver | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Portland | -0.5 | | | | | | | | St Louis | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Sporting KC | -0.5 | | | | | | | | LA Galaxy | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Houston | -0.6 | | | | | | | | Colorado | -0.6 | | | | | | | | RSL | -0.5 | | | | | | | | LAFC | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Seattle | -0.6 | | | | | | | | Dallas | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Austin | -0.5 | | | | | | | | San Jose | -0.6 | | | | | | | | | NYCFC 1 Portland 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Minnesota | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Vancouver | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Portland | +6.7 | | +0.9 | | +2.0 | | -1.0 | | Sporting KC | -0.5 | | | | | | | | LA Galaxy | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Houston | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Colorado | -0.5 | | | | | | | | RSL | -0.5 | | | | | | | | LAFC | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Seattle | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Dallas | -0.5 | | | | | | | | Austin | -0.5 | | | | | | | | San Jose | -0.6 | | | | | | | | | NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Minnesota | +0.4 | | | | | | | | Vancouver | +0.5 | | | | | | | | Portland | +0.4 | | | | | | | | St Louis | +0.4 | | | | | | | | Sporting KC | +0.5 | | | | | | | | LA Galaxy | +0.4 | | | | | | | | Houston | +0.5 | | | | | | | | Colorado | +0.5 | | | | | | | | RSL | +0.5 | | | | | | | | LAFC | +0.4 | | | | | | | | Seattle | +0.5 | | | | | | | | Dallas | -6.0 | | -0.7 | | -1.3 | | +1.1 | | Austin | +0.5 | | | | | | | | San Jose | +0.5 | | | | | | | | | LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Sporting KC | -1.8 | | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | +0.3 | | LAFC | -1.6 | | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | +0.2 | | | Austin 2 St Louis 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | St Louis | -1.5 | | -0.3 | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | Austin | -2.0 | | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | +0.3 | | | Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 | Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | LA Galaxy | -1.7 | | -0.3 | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | Houston | +0.1 | | | | | | | | San Jose | +0.1 | | | | | | | | | Philadelphia vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Vancouver | 79.879.578.9 | | 5.55.55.4 | | | | | | Portland | 74.874.573.7 | | 4.74.64.5 | | | | | | St Louis | 69.469.068.2 | | 3.93.93.8 | | | | | | Sporting KC | 69.369.068.2 | | 3.93.93.8 | | | | | | LA Galaxy | 69.368.968.1 | | 3.93.93.8 | | | | | | Houston | 67.066.765.8 | | 3.73.73.6 | | | | | | Colorado | 65.064.663.7 | | 3.43.43.3 | | | | | | RSL | 60.660.259.3 | | 3.03.02.9 | | | | | | LAFC | 60.460.159.2 | | 3.02.92.9 | | | | | | Seattle | 49.253.763.9 | | 2.02.43.3 | | 1.01.42.6 | | 7.15.63.1 | | Dallas | 55.855.454.5 | | | | | | | | Austin | 54.053.652.8 | | | | | | | | San Jose | 39.839.538.6 | | | | | | *11.011.011.1 | | | Week of 3/16 | Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Sporting KC | +8.4 | | +0.8 | | +1.1 | | -1.7 | | San Jose | -7.4 | | -0.5 | | -0.4 | | +2.6 | | | Houston 1 Portland 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Portland | -5.4 | | -0.9 | | -2.1 | | +0.5 | | Houston | +8.3 | | +0.8 | | +1.1 | | -1.9 | | | Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Vancouver | +7.2 | | +1.0 | | +2.0 | | -0.9 | | Dallas | -7.0 | | -0.7 | | -0.9 | | +1.4 | | | Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Minnesota | +6.2 | | +1.0 | | +2.7 | | -0.6 | | LAFC | -6.7 | | -0.8 | | -1.2 | | +1.1 | | | Seattle 1 Colorado 1 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Colorado | -1.7 | | -0.2 | | -0.5 | | +0.2 | | Seattle | -1.9 | | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | +0.3 | | | LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | St Louis | -1.6 | | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | LA Galaxy | -1.6 | | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | | Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 | Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win MLS Cup | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | Vancouver | +0.1 | | | | | | | | St Louis | +0.1 | | | | | | | | Sporting KC | +0.2 | | | | | | | | LA Galaxy | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Houston | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Colorado | +0.2 | | | | | | | | RSL | +0.2 | | | | | | | | LAFC | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Seattle | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Dallas | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Austin | -2.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | +0.3 | | San Jose | +0.2 | | | | | | | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know. First Round OpponentsWho is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs. Explain |