Los Angeles FC (LAFC Playoff Chances

Lost to Houston 10-28, playoff odds unchanged at 56.8%

21 points 7-0-9

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs Los Angeles FC	-9.8-0.5+15.0		-0.4-0.1+0.7		-0.0-0.0+0.1		-0.3-0.0+0.4
San Jose vs Minnesota	-6.1+3.9+7.5		+0.1+0.0-0.1				-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal	-0.3+0.2+0.6		-0.1+0.1+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Houston vs Vancouver	+0.2*-0.1-0.4		+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles FC finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed												Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Spoon	Count

57		12	-	0	-	0	In		76.3	%	77	22	1										No	1,822
55		11	-	1	-	0	In		48.9		50	41	9	0									No	876
54		11	-	0	-	1	In		28.8		30	49	21	1									No	1,162
53		10	-	2	-	0	In		19.9		22	47	29	3	0								No	3,770
52		10	-	1	-	1	In		7.8		10	40	43	7	0								No	10,699
51		9	-	3	-	0	In		3.4		5	30	50	14	1	0							No	17,490	*
50		9	-	2	-	1	In		0.9		2	18	51	26	3	0							No	41,356
49		9	-	1	-	2	In		0.2		0	9	45	38	8	0							No	73,767	*
48		8	-	3	-	1	In		0.0		0	3	33	45	17	1							No	120,195	*
47		8	-	2	-	2	100.0	%	No		0	1	20	46	28	4	0						No	211,577	*
46		8	-	1	-	3	99.9		No			0	11	40	39	10	0						No	165,723
		7	-	4	-	1	99.9		No		0	0	11	40	40	10	0						No	144,705
45		7	-	3	-	2	99.7		No			0	5	29	47	19	0	0					No	452,491	*
44		7	-	2	-	3	99.0		No			0	2	18	48	31	1	0					No	490,867
		6	-	5	-	1	98.7		No			0	2	17	48	32	1	0					No	151,937
43		6	-	4	-	2	97.2		No			0	0	10	42	45	3	0					No	489,493
		7	-	1	-	4	97.5		No			0	1	10	42	45	3	0					No	324,379	*
42		6	-	3	-	3	94.0		No				0	4	32	57	6	0					No	832,872
		5	-	6	-	1	93.0		No				0	4	31	58	7	0					No	190,084	*
41		6	-	2	-	4	88.6		No				0	2	22	65	11	0					No	783,484
		5	-	5	-	2	86.7		No				0	1	21	64	13	0					No	433,671	*
40		5	-	4	-	3	79.5		No				0	0	12	67	20	1					No	897,819
		6	-	1	-	5	80.1		No				0	0	12	67	19	1					No	446,918	*
39		5	-	3	-	4	69.6		No				0	0	6	63	29	2					No	1,109,985
		4	-	6	-	2	66.4		No				0	0	6	61	32	2					No	336,036	*
38		5	-	2	-	5	58.0		No					0	3	55	38	4					No	813,215
		4	-	5	-	3	55.2		No					0	3	53	41	4					No	658,401	*
37		4	-	4	-	4	44.5		No					0	1	43	49	7					No	973,243
		5	-	1	-	6	44.5		No					0	1	44	48	7					No	428,834	*
36		4	-	3	-	5	33.3		No					0	0	33	55	12					No	936,230
		3	-	6	-	3	30.2		No						0	30	57	12					No	358,251	*
35		4	-	2	-	6	23.3		No						0	23	57	20					No	553,775
		3	-	5	-	4	21.3		No						0	21	60	19					No	566,770	*
34		3	-	4	-	5	14.3		No						0	14	58	28					No	640,757
		4	-	1	-	7	13.9		No						0	14	57	29					No	274,914	*
33		3	-	3	-	6	8.5		No						0	9	53	38					No	499,269
		2	-	6	-	4	7.2		No						0	7	54	38					No	216,142	*
32		2	-	5	-	5	3.9		No							4	47	49					No	276,867	*
		3	-	2	-	7	4.5		No						0	4	45	50					No	246,505
31		2	-	4	-	6	2.0		No							2	38	60					No	250,724
		3	-	1	-	8	1.9		No							2	37	61					No	106,723	*
30		2	-	3	-	7	0.8		No							1	29	70					No	232,100	*
29		2	-	2	-	8	0.2		No							0	21	79					No	138,357	*
28		1	-	4	-	7	0.1		No							0	14	86					No	76,311	*
27		1	-	3	-	8	0.0		No							0	9	91					No	38,837	*
26		1	-	2	-	9	0.0		No							0	5	95					No	17,933	*
25		0	-	4	-	8	Out		No								3	97					No	7,212	*
24		0	-	3	-	9	Out		No								1	99					No	2,616	*
23		0	-	2	-	10	Out		No								0	100					No	750
21	-22						Out		No									100					No	1,896	*

Total:							56.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	4	12	38	31	12					No	16,049,810

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles FC finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Houston	Colorado	Vancouver	Minnesota	Portland	San Jose	Seattle

57		12	-	0	-	0	13.1	%	Yes
55		11	-	1	-	0	14.6		100				0
54		11	-	0	-	1	11.9		99		0	0	0
53		10	-	2	-	0	12.1		97	0	0	1	1	1	0
52		10	-	1	-	1	12.6		93	0	0	2	3	2	0
51		9	-	3	-	0	11.9		86	0	1	4	5	4	0	0
		10	-	0	-	2	11.5		83	1	1	5	6	5	0	0
50		9	-	2	-	1	11.2		71	1	1	8	10	8	1	0
49		9	-	1	-	2	10.2		54	2	2	12	15	13	1	0
		8	-	4	-	0	10.0		54	2	3	12	15	12	1	0
48		8	-	3	-	1	8.9		36	3	4	17	21	17	2	0
		9	-	0	-	3	8.8		35	2	3	18	21	17	2	0
47		8	-	2	-	2	7.5		21	3	4	21	25	20	2	0
		7	-	5	-	0	7.5		20	3	4	20	25	21	2	0
46		8	-	1	-	3	6.0		11	2	4	22	26	22	2	0
		7	-	4	-	1	6.1		11	3	4	22	26	22	2	0
45		7	-	3	-	2	4.8		5	2	4	21	25	21	2	0
		8	-	0	-	4	4.7		5	2	4	21	26	21	2	0
		6	-	6	-	0	4.4		4	2	4	21	25	20	3	0
44		7	-	2	-	3	3.5		2	2	3	18	22	18	2	0
		6	-	5	-	1	3.3		2	2	3	18	22	18	2	0
43		6	-	4	-	2	2.4		0	1	2	14	18	14	2	0
		7	-	1	-	4	2.4		1	1	2	14	18	15	2	0
		5	-	7	-	0	1.7		0	1	2	13	16	12	2	0
42		6	-	3	-	3	1.5		0	1	1	10	13	10	1	0
		5	-	6	-	1	1.4		0	1	1	10	12	9	1	0
		7	-	0	-	5	1.5		0	1	1	10	13	10	1	0
41		6	-	2	-	4	0.9		0	0	1	6	8	7	1	0
		5	-	5	-	2	0.9		0	0	1	6	8	6	1	0
		4	-	8	-	0	0.8		0	0	1	5	7	5	0	0
40		5	-	4	-	3	0.5		0	0	0	4	5	3	0	0
		6	-	1	-	5	0.5		0	0	0	4	5	4	0	0
		4	-	7	-	1	0.4		0	0	0	3	4	3	0	0
39		5	-	3	-	4	0.2		0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0
		4	-	6	-	2	0.2		0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0
		6	-	0	-	6	0.2			0	0	2	2	2	0	0
38		5	-	2	-	5	0.1			0	0	1	1	1	0	0
		4	-	5	-	3	0.1			0	0	1	1	1	0	0
		3	-	8	-	1	0.0			0	0	1	1	0	0
37		4	-	4	-	4	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	1	-	6	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		3	-	7	-	2	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		4	-	3	-	5	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0
		3	-	6	-	3	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35		4	-	2	-	6	0.0			0	0	0	0	0
		3	-	5	-	4	0.0			0	0	0	0	0
34		3	-	4	-	5	0.0				0	0	0	0
33		3	-	3	-	6	0.0				0	0	0	0
32		3	-	2	-	7	No						0
21	-31						No

Total:							1.0	%	1.6	0.4	0.8	4.6	5.8	4.6	0.5	0.1

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Los Angeles FC	+0.5+0.1-0.8
San Jose vs Minnesota	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal	+0.0-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston vs Vancouver	-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23

57	12	-	0	-	0	76	0	22		1
55	11	-	1	-	0	49	1	41		9		0
54	11	-	0	-	1	29	1	49		21		1
53	10	-	2	-	0	20	2	46	0	29		3		0
52	10	-	1	-	1	8	2	40	0	43	0	7		0
51	9	-	3	-	0	3	1	29	1	50	0	14		1		0
50	9	-	2	-	1	1	1	17	1	51	0	26		3		0
49	9	-	1	-	2	0	0	7	1	44	0	38	0	8		0
48	8	-	3	-	1	0	0	2	1	32	1	45	0	17		1
47	8	-	2	-	2		0	1	0	19	1	46	0	28		4		0
46	8	-	1	-	3			0	0	9	2	39	0	39		10		0
	7	-	4	-	1		0	0	0	8	2	39	1	40	0	10		0
45	7	-	3	-	2			0	0	3	2	28	1	47	0	19		0	0
44	7	-	2	-	3				0	1	1	16	2	47	0	31	0	1	0
	6	-	5	-	1				0	1	1	14	3	47	0	32		1	0
43	6	-	4	-	2				0	0	0	6	3	41	1	45	0	3	0
	7	-	1	-	4				0	0	0	7	3	41	1	45	0	3	0
42	6	-	3	-	3					0	0	2	2	30	3	57	0	6	0
	5	-	6	-	1					0	0	2	2	28	3	58	0	7	0
41	6	-	2	-	4					0	0	0	1	17	4	64	1	11	0
	5	-	5	-	2					0	0	0	1	16	5	64	1	13	0
40	5	-	4	-	3						0	0	0	7	5	64	3	20	1
	6	-	1	-	5						0	0	0	8	5	65	2	19	1
39	5	-	3	-	4						0	0	0	3	4	57	6	29	2	0
	4	-	6	-	2						0	0	0	2	4	53	8	32	2	0
38	5	-	2	-	5								0	1	2	44	11	38	4	0
	4	-	5	-	3								0	0	2	40	12	41	4	0
37	4	-	4	-	4								0	0	1	28	16	48	7	0
	5	-	1	-	6								0	0	1	28	16	48	8	0
36	4	-	3	-	5								0	0	0	16	17	53	14	0
	3	-	6	-	3									0	0	13	17	55	14	0
35	4	-	2	-	6									0	0	8	16	53	23	1
	3	-	5	-	4									0	0	6	15	55	22	1
34	3	-	4	-	5										0	3	12	50	33	3
	4	-	1	-	7										0	3	11	50	34	3
33	3	-	3	-	6										0	1	8	42	43	7
	2	-	6	-	4										0	1	7	42	44	7
32	2	-	5	-	5											0	4	32	51	13
	3	-	2	-	7										0	0	4	31	51	14
31	2	-	4	-	6											0	2	22	54	23
30	2	-	3	-	7											0	1	13	52	34
29	2	-	2	-	8											0	0	7	46	46
28	1	-	4	-	7												0	4	38	59
27	1	-	3	-	8												0	2	29	70
26	1	-	2	-	9												0	1	20	79
25	0	-	4	-	8													0	13	87
24	0	-	3	-	9														8	92
23	0	-	2	-	10														5	95
22	0	-	1	-	11														1	99
21	0	-	0	-	12														1	99

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	0	4	1	11	2	32	7	28	12	3