How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC 3 NY Red Bulls 2 -1.7
-1.2
-0.3
San Jose 2 Columbus 1 +0.7
+0.0
Philadelphia 3 FC Dallas 1 -0.5
+0.1
Chicago 4 New England 1 +0.3
-0.3
Montreal 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 1 Atlanta 1 +0.1
DC United 1 Toronto FC 1 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando+3.7-2.6-8.4
+0.6-0.7-1.0
No-0.0+0.0
+0.3-0.3-0.6
Columbus vs Chicago-1.4+0.4+1.0
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Montreal vs Chicago-0.9+0.3+0.6
+0.3+0.1-0.3
New England vs Vancouver-0.5+0.4+0.6
Philadelphia vs Montreal-0.3+0.7-0.1
Los Angeles vs NYCFC+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Portland-0.3+0.3+0.6
Seattle vs Sporting KC+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7112-0-0In99.7%1000No183,519
6911-1-0In98.2982No64,306
6811-0-1In93.79460No94,362
6710-2-0In92.59370No298,589
6610-1-1In82.8831700No867,833
659-3-0In74.2752410No1,448,700*
649-2-1In62.26334300No3,549,130
639-1-2In46.34844800No6,495,663*
628-3-1In33.335491510No10,792,237*
618-2-2In20.122502520No19,504,319*
608-1-3In9.0114439700No15,863,533
7-4-1In12.114463460No13,303,602
597-3-2In4.6635451310No43,004,275*
587-2-3In1.4223492230No47,716,749
6-5-1In2.0325472230No14,277,753
576-4-2100.0%0.51154533700No47,348,338
7-1-4In0.3113463470No32,177,736*
566-3-3100.00.10738421300No82,076,524
5-6-1100.00.10736431400No18,635,344*
556-2-4100.00.00327472300No78,398,021
5-5-2100.00.00326472400No42,474,727*
545-4-3100.00.001174635100No89,125,797
6-1-5100.00.00116463610No44,722,639*
535-3-4100.00.00094148200No111,231,070
4-6-2100.00.00083950200No33,430,712*
525-2-599.9No0043159500No81,426,811
4-5-399.8No0043060600No65,459,057*
514-4-499.4No002206612100No96,984,455
5-1-699.4No001206612100No42,699,818*
504-3-598.2No01126620200No92,850,603
3-6-397.8No00116522200No35,449,793*
494-2-695.0No00658315000No54,250,982
3-5-493.9No00556336000No56,039,974*
483-4-586.9No002444112100No71,377,819*
4-1-787.8No02454111100No17,740,110*
473-3-675.9No01304521300No47,862,926
2-6-472.3No01274523400No20,927,901*
462-5-555.6No001540331010No24,997,352
3-2-758.5No00174232910No24,463,205*
452-4-638.1No007313919300No33,220,739*
442-3-721.3No03193930910No21,081,878*
431-5-69.4No01930391930No12,292,606*
421-4-73.3No0319403170No6,571,325*
411-3-80.9No0193342150No3,260,516*
401-2-90.2No0032247280No1,438,794*
390-4-80.0No0112444210.0%554,049*
380-3-90.0No005355640.0187,980*
370-2-10OutNo02246680.051,045
360-1-11OutNo001468170.39,128
350-0-12OutNo0763300.6178,044
Total:92.4%1.4%2514233612521000.0%1,568,462,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/5100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC 3 NY Red Bulls 2 +0.6
San Jose 2 Columbus 1 -0.1
Chicago 4 New England 1 +0.1
DC United 1 Toronto FC 1 -0.0
Montreal 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando-0.6+0.5+1.2
Los Angeles vs NYCFC-0.1-0.0+0.2
Toronto FC vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7112-0-01000
6911-1-09802
6811-0-194060
6710-2-093070
6610-1-18301700
659-3-07402410
649-2-1621340300
639-1-2461440800
628-3-13324901510
618-2-220250025020
608-1-392440390700
7-4-112246034060
597-3-2523504501310
587-2-31122149022030
6-5-12124147022030
576-4-200131450330700
7-1-40011146034070
566-3-3006137142013000
5-6-1005135143014000
556-2-4002125147023000
5-5-2002125147024000
545-4-30001142461350100
6-1-5000014246136010
535-3-40000633924802000
4-6-20000633725002000
525-2-5000222755815000
4-5-3000222645916000
514-4-400001146623120100
5-1-600001137624120100
504-3-50000575510200200
3-6-30000565411210200
494-2-60001438202925000
3-5-40001437193126000
483-4-500002192535712100
4-1-70002192634711100
473-3-60017233015204000
2-6-40016222916225000
462-5-5000114182329132000
3-2-7000115182328122000
452-4-600007723302471000
442-3-70032172233185100
431-5-600108123130143000
421-4-7003420342710200
411-3-8001192635226100
401-2-9000314323415300
390-4-800052137288100
380-3-9000110303718300
370-2-10003193930810
360-1-1101829391930
350-0-120317403281
Total:10501312123061034210000000