Los Angeles Galaxy Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 91.8%
18 points   6-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 -0.3
-0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 +0.3
-0.1
Columbus 1 Portland 3 -0.3
+0.3
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 +0.2
-0.1
San Jose 4 Sporting KC 1 -0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy-3.2-0.4+3.5
-0.8-0.2+1.0
-4.5-1.7+5.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Seattle vs San Jose+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.8+0.3+0.6
LAFC vs Seattle*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.3+0.6-0.2
DC United vs NYCFC-0.4+0.2+0.3
Columbus vs DC United+0.1+0.3-0.3
New England vs Montreal+0.1+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
LA Galaxy vs RSL+3.5-0.4-3.2
+1.0-0.2-0.8
+5.6-1.8-4.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Sporting KC vs New England-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs DC United-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Toronto FC vs Portland+0.3+0.1-0.3
-0.5+0.2+0.4
Vancouver vs Philadelphia-0.3+0.1+0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Houston vs Columbus-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado+0.2+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs San Jose+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.5+0.2+0.4
Colorado vs Vancouver+0.0+0.2-0.2
Seattle vs LAFC-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.6-0.3
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.1+0.1
NYCFC vs Orlando+0.1+0.1-0.1
Montreal vs Chicago-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Galaxy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
84-99InYes100No38,775*
8320-5-2In99.9%1000No4,628*
8220-4-3In99.91000No8,595*
8120-3-4In99.91000No15,510*
8019-5-3In99.91000No27,391*
7919-4-4In99.91000No46,630*
7819-3-5In99.91000No76,752*
7718-5-4In99.81000No124,566*
7618-4-5In99.81000No197,668*
7517-6-4In99.71000No304,342*
7417-5-5In99.51000No457,396*
7317-4-6In99.19910No675,346*
7216-6-5In98.69910No969,042*
7116-5-6In97.99820No1,364,993*
7016-4-7In96.79820No1,875,755*
6915-6-6In95.096400No2,530,679*
6815-5-7In92.595500No3,346,024*
6714-7-6In89.092800No4,317,727*
6614-6-7In84.3891100No5,466,206*
6514-5-8In78.1841510No6,773,796*
6413-7-7In70.37920100No8,229,500*
6313-6-8In61.07226200No9,796,132*
6213-5-9In50.464324000No11,421,869*
6112-7-8In39.155377100No13,060,659*
6012-6-9In28.04542121000No14,621,399*
5912-5-10In18.2354517300No16,047,891*
5811-7-9In10.42645245000No17,258,680*
5711-6-10100.0%5.017413191000No18,188,227*
5610-8-9100.02.0113536153000No18,781,236*
5510-7-10100.00.6627382261000No18,998,211*
5410-6-11100.00.13183630112000No18,820,349*
539-8-10100.00.01113035184000No18,262,793*
529-7-1199.90.00622352691000No17,362,114*
519-6-1299.60.002143132164000No16,155,008*
508-8-1198.50.001723342591000No14,706,752*
498-7-1295.7No003143132164000No13,093,240*
488-6-1389.7No001723342491000No11,411,952*
477-8-1279.3No0003143031164000No9,710,745*
467-7-1364.6No00172234259100No8,084,997*
457-6-1447.3No000314303216400No6,580,141*
446-8-1330.8No0017223425910No5,220,085*
436-7-1417.5No00031431321630No4,044,751*
426-6-158.7No0018243524710.0%3,052,918*
415-8-143.8No00031633321320.02,248,542*
405-7-151.4No0001927372140.11,609,038*
395-6-160.5No000420383080.41,121,964*
384-8-150.1No002133438131.5759,892*
374-7-160.0No00172843214.2498,277*
364-6-170.0No0042145309.5317,455*
353-8-160.0No00214444017.3195,756*
343-7-17OutNo019405128.2116,771*
333-6-18OutNo006346039.866,605*
323-5-19OutNo03286952.136,964*
312-7-18OutNo01227763.019,325*
302-6-19OutNo01168474.19,945*
292-5-20OutNo0128880.84,779*
281-7-19OutNo079387.72,220*
271-6-20OutNo69491.0903*
261-5-21OutNo049693.5367*
251-4-22OutNo19998.0151*
21-24OutNo10098.567*
180-0-27OutNo0100100.034,053
Total:91.8%17.7%24191512975421100.1%328,574,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the LA Galaxy finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleFC DallasHoustonMinnesotaSporting KCRSLSan JosePortlandVancouverColorado
70-9912.5%Yes
6915-6-612.5100000
6815-5-712.5100000000
6714-7-612.510000000000
6614-6-712.510000000000000
6514-5-812.510000000000000
6413-7-712.510000000000000
14-4-912.510000000000000
6313-6-812.510000000000000
12-9-612.510000000000000
6213-5-912.510000000000000
12-8-712.510000000000000
6112-7-812.59900000000000
13-4-1012.510000000000000
6012-6-912.49900000000000
11-9-712.49900000000000
5912-5-1012.39800000000000
11-8-812.39700000000000
5811-7-912.29411111110000
12-4-1112.29511111110000
5711-6-1011.99011111111000
10-9-811.88911221111000
5610-8-911.38122332221110
11-5-1111.48322322221110
5510-7-1010.67143443332110
11-4-1210.87333443332110
9-10-810.56944443332110
5410-6-119.85855664443211
9-9-99.75755665443221
539-8-108.54166876554221
10-5-128.74466776553221
529-7-117.32877987664321
10-4-137.63177887664321
8-10-97.12677997664331
519-6-126.11777997664331
8-9-105.91577997664331
508-8-114.4766886664321
9-5-134.7877887664331
498-7-123.2355665553221
488-6-132.0133443332211
477-8-121.1022222221110
467-7-130.5011111111000
457-6-140.2000000000000
447-5-150.1000000000000
436-7-140.0000000000000
426-6-150.000000000000
416-5-160.000000000000
405-7-150.00000000000
395-6-16No000
18-38No
Total:8.6%58.02.52.53.02.92.42.22.21.51.00.90.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy+0.9+0.2-1.1
Seattle vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Seattle+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Lottery seed
LA Galaxy vs RSL-1.0+0.2+0.9
Houston vs Columbus+0.1-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs New England+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs LAFC+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
84-99100
8320-5-210000
8220-4-310000
8120-3-410000
8019-5-310000
7919-4-410000
7819-3-510000
7718-5-410000
7618-4-510000
7517-6-410000
7417-5-59900
7317-4-699010
7216-6-599010
7116-5-698120
7016-4-797120
6915-6-69514000
6815-5-79325000
6714-7-68938000
6614-6-784411000
6514-5-878615010
6413-7-7708200100
6313-6-861112502000
6213-5-9501331040000
6112-7-8391637170100
6012-6-9281740212010000
5912-5-1018174141703000
5811-7-9101538624050000
5711-6-1051232103019010000
5610-8-929221334215030000
5510-7-10151314335220601000
5410-6-1103613271028111020000
539-8-100129171331418040000
529-7-1100058142792519010000
519-6-120002311171329416040000
508-8-11000107815259231901000
498-7-120000321216152751604000
488-6-13000107617221123292000
477-8-1200000321313182561641000
467-7-13000107418191422112000
457-6-1400000311310202319820000
446-8-1300010731916241882000
436-7-14000003113820251882000
426-6-1500010731122261982000
415-8-140000314132427188200
405-7-150000101515262717610
395-6-1600000171828271440
384-8-150000029223124102
374-7-16000014132732194
364-6-170000162034299
353-8-16000212303817
343-7-170016234228
333-6-18003164240
323-5-19001103752
312-7-180053163
302-6-19022474
292-5-20011881
281-7-1901288
271-6-200991
261-5-210693
251-4-22298
240-6-21298
21-23100
180-0-270100
Total:186154124937252422211110000